Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
76
lifetime
Volume
$930
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$285
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 06-18 10:00
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
42%
Other
29%
Crypto
27%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? No +189 $170 92¢ $173 +$3 06-18 10:00
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +22 $20 92¢ $20 +$0 06-04 09:01
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +22 $20 92¢ $20 $-0 06-04 09:01
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 $-0 06-18 09:57
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 93¢ $10 $-0 06-04 09:02
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 86¢ $9 $-1 06-04 09:01
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -8 $-8 97¢ $-8 $-0 06-18 09:52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -6 $-5 92¢ $-5 $-0 06-18 09:48
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$0 06-04 08:59
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +7 $5 74¢ $5 +$0 06-18 09:54
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? No +6 $5 89¢ $5 +$0 06-18 09:55
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31? No +6 $5 88¢ $5 $-0 06-18 09:54
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? No +6 $5 63¢ $4 $-1 06-18 09:55
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +3 $3 88¢ $3 $-0 06-18 09:51
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No -2 $-2 95¢ $-2 +$0 06-18 09:52