Realized P&L
+$118
Unrealized P&L
+$35
Hit rate
68.5%
Resolved
75
Trades
186
lifetime
Volume
$2.58K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$220
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 10-16 10:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 49 days
Categories
Other
53% 64% -$32
Politics
45% 68% +$103
Sports
2% 100% +$48
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +83 $57 92¢ $76 +$19 10-16 10:05
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +79 $65 48¢ $38 -$27 10-16 09:57
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +28 $22 94¢ $26 +$4 10-04 18:27
Will The Black Ball win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +26 $20 84¢ $21 +$1 09-21 00:21
pedro snchez out as pm of spain by january 31 2027 Yes +16 $10 78¢ $13 +$3 10-16 10:07
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +58 $10 15¢ $9 -$1 08-28 15:37
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +83 $10 8¢ $7 -$3 07-25 21:44
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -102 -$21 6¢ $-7 +$14 10-16 10:04
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No -6 -$5 86¢ $-5 $0 05-16 22:56
Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote? No +9 $5 54¢ $5 +$0 10-16 10:09
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +30 $5 12¢ $3 -$2 10-16 10:07
Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +26 $7 12¢ $3 -$4 09-21 00:21
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%? Yes +14 $4 15¢ $2 -$2 10-04 18:23
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +14 -$37 14¢ $2 +$39 10-16 10:06
Spain General Election: PP + Vox Majority? No +13 $2 11¢ $1 -$1 10-16 10:08
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +266 $7 0¢ $1 -$6 07-25 21:43
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +56 $1 1¢ $1 $0 07-25 21:44