Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$440

Unrealized P&L

-$20

Hit rate

34.9%

Resolved

260

Trades

594

lifetime

Volume

$7.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$104

2 positions

First seen

2026-07-02

last 10-23 19:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

62% 33% -$388

Crypto

22% 53% -$127

Politics

12% 33% +$89

Sports

4% 60% -$11

Tech

1% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will ansem flip pump by december 31 2026 20260702152126830	No		+104	$93	95¢	$98	+$5	07-04 01:29
will ansem flip pump by december 31 2026 20260702152126830	Yes		+104	$30	5¢	$5	-$25	07-02 21:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	2	$510	326	326	+0	No	+$114	08-22 13:42
will canvas valuation hit low 39 by july 31 20260629184737588	10	$256	445	45	+400	No	-$34	07-05 15:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 05:25 UTC	4	$203	502	0	+502	Up	+$49	07-05 05:30
will ansem flip pump by december 31 2026 20260702152126830	14	$174	244	36	+207	open	—	07-04 01:29
will canvas valuation hit low 40 by july 31 20260629184737587	6	$172	300	0	+300	No	-$22	07-03 08:24
will abigail anderson be one of taylor swifts bridesmaids	6	$153	300	0	+300	No	-$3	07-02 21:23
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$148	171	171	+0	No	-$43	07-06 21:33
will revoluts valuation hit high 90b by july 31 20260630204859527	5	$134	97	97	+0	Yes	-$10	07-06 21:35
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?	2	$129	200	0	+200	Yes	-$29	07-03 11:44
will canvas valuation hit low 36 by july 31 20260629184737590	6	$111	250	50	+200	No	-$7	07-03 16:09
will databricks valuation hit high 165 by july 31 20260629184745126	4	$106	150	50	+100	Yes	+$9	07-03 23:07
will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	2	$101	200	0	+200	No	-$1	07-02 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$100	304	0	+304	Down	-$100	10-20 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$100	116	0	+116	Down	+$16	10-20 15:34
will este haim be one of taylor swifts bridesmaids	6	$98	112	49	+63	No	-$7	07-03 16:09
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	5	$96	100	100	+0	No	-$2	07-06 21:35
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%?	5	$93	95	95	+0	open	—	07-06 21:36
will pltr reach 150 in july 2026	6	$86	151	51	+100	No	-$3	07-06 21:36
will majid takht ravanchi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260622201044264	4	$81	127	27	+100	No	-$4	07-04 01:30
will canvas valuation hit low 35b by december 31	5	$80	51	51	+0	Yes	-$4	07-05 19:07
will googl reach 370 in july 2026	2	$80	50	50	+0	Yes	-$2	07-03 16:09
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in June 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?	5	$79	51	51	+0	Yes	-$6	07-06 21:35
will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260623205144679 693 339	6	$75	134	34	+100	No	$0	07-05 15:40
will spy reach 770 in july 2026	3	$74	100	100	+0	No	-$2	07-04 01:29
will ishaq dar attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260622201044270	4	$74	99	99	+0	No	-$19	07-06 21:35
will bytedances valuation hit high 600b by july 31 20260630205251339	2	$73	50	50	+0	No	-$3	07-06 15:01
will canvas valuation hit high 45 by july 31 20260629184737583	7	$69	200	100	+100	No	-$3	07-04 01:30
will pltr reach 138 in july 2026	3	$64	50	50	+0	Yes	-$2	07-06 08:02
will rklb reach 108 in july 2026	2	$62	50	50	+0	No	-$12	07-06 21:31
will ewy reach 222 in july 2026	2	$60	50	50	+0	No	-$3	07-06 21:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 19:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x6c47fd…
10-23 16:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xa4fb17…
10-23 16:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x74eec8…
10-23 15:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x76ba97…
10-23 15:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	54¢	$5	0x91ed14…
10-23 15:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x977b54…
10-23 14:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xda36bd…
10-23 14:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$4	0x133ad1…
10-23 14:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xf948b4…
10-23 14:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x97fac2…
10-23 14:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xb32bd3…
10-23 14:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xde92f0…
10-23 14:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x22cf10…
10-23 13:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xfff5da…
10-23 13:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x56a9ee…
10-23 13:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x2a0e2b…
10-23 13:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x6e13f2…
10-23 13:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x1fe4d1…
10-23 13:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	61¢	$5	0x71d138…
10-23 13:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xdf3db9…
10-23 13:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	66¢	$4	0x50ecc8…
10-23 13:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7ff339…
10-23 13:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x9d4c8f…
10-23 12:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x3100a6…
10-23 12:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4e0574…
10-23 02:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x817077…
10-23 02:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x3658ed…
10-23 02:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x20e05d…
10-22 22:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x809251…
10-22 21:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0xc35c92…
10-22 17:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x4b3873…
10-22 17:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$4	0x6e00ec…
10-22 17:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x5eb1be…
10-22 14:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xbb943d…
10-22 14:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x5e6473…
10-22 13:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xc56a44…
10-22 13:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x230d19…
10-22 13:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x0075d6…
10-22 13:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xce4cb7…
10-22 13:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	65¢	$4	0xa4af96…
10-22 12:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	18¢	$3	0xdc35e3…
10-22 10:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	62¢	$5	0x3590fd…
10-22 09:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x42a8dc…
10-22 08:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0xe6f356…
10-22 08:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x835b6a…
10-22 07:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x3831e9…
10-22 07:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x7c2944…
10-22 04:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	42¢	$4	0x90cd8b…
10-22 02:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xf3eab9…
10-22 02:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$5	0xff9ff2…
10-22 02:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x1e9b56…
10-22 02:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x7fbe13…
10-22 02:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x88bfac…
10-22 02:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x4e381a…
10-22 02:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x60e47c…
10-22 02:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2adb83…
10-22 02:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	65¢	$4	0x7700e9…
10-22 01:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x38f446…
10-21 21:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x307fdb…
10-21 20:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xe96644…
10-21 19:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xdc0286…
10-21 19:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x365453…
10-21 19:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x549b89…
10-21 18:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xf3cd7e…
10-21 18:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x150883…
10-21 18:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x499e1f…
10-20 15:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x197aec…
10-20 15:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	304	33¢	$100	0x95bcae…
10-20 15:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x15ddd9…
10-19 13:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	57¢	$9	0x645d94…
10-19 13:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x1483d4…
10-19 13:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0xe7a660…
10-19 13:00:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	51¢	$8	0x2495e8…
10-19 12:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	70¢	$9	0xebd15f…
10-19 12:50:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	61¢	$9	0xb55f70…
10-19 12:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	57¢	$9	0xf71be6…
10-19 12:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	54¢	$8	0x263bd6…
10-19 12:35:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	60¢	$9	0x87ec01…
10-19 12:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0x7dfcdc…
10-19 12:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	77¢	$9	0xdf5db2…
10-19 12:15:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0xc1e1c2…
10-19 12:10:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	71¢	$9	0x72fe2d…
10-19 12:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	62¢	$9	0x555570…
10-19 12:05:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x3b0049…
10-19 12:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0x7e6b28…
10-19 11:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	51¢	$8	0x60cf5f…
10-19 11:45:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x5c49c8…
10-19 11:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0xd9e832…
10-19 11:40:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	76¢	$9	0x2025e8…
10-19 11:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x2173ae…
10-19 10:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0xcda785…
10-19 10:40:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	70¢	$9	0x279e4c…
10-19 10:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	50¢	$8	0xdbe1c9…
10-19 10:30:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	60¢	$8	0xb4618e…
10-19 10:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	66¢	$9	0xa7d98a…
10-19 10:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	60¢	$8	0x15de81…
10-19 10:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	67¢	$8	0xbd2b32…
10-19 10:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0xcfb8dd…
10-19 10:20:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	16	54¢	$9	0x3855ed…
10-19 10:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	70¢	$9	0xed7cd7…