Realized P&L
+$196
Unrealized P&L
+$1.11K
Hit rate
74.8%
Resolved
592
Trades
3,973
lifetime
Volume
$86.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$5.05K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-04 09:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 190 days
Categories
Other
66% 53% +$207
Politics
30% 67% +$155
Crypto
2% 42% -$95
Tech
1% 62% -$104
Sports
1% 47% +$37
Pop-Culture
0% 67% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -2,068 -$1,747 85¢ $-1761 -$13 09-16 13:35
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,933 $1,610 91¢ $1.8K +$146 05-07 03:25
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +800 -$315 98¢ $788 +$1,103 11-04 07:08
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -2,077 -$322 15¢ $-308 +$14 09-17 08:58
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,932 $332 9¢ $177 -$156 05-07 14:15
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +135 $90 87¢ $117 +$28 11-04 09:27
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +45 -$8 81¢ $36 +$45 11-04 07:28
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +30 $15 73¢ $22 +$7 11-03 07:00
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? Yes -118 -$12 18¢ $-21 -$9 06-24 17:17
Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat? Yes +20 $3 98¢ $20 +$17 11-04 04:52
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $14 67¢ $13 -$1 11-04 08:16
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +399 $27 2¢ $10 -$17 09-30 13:59
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +215 $47 4¢ $8 -$38 10-27 10:58
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,000 $7 0¢ $4 -$4 11-04 08:17
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +50 $37 3¢ $1 -$35 11-04 01:51
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -162 -$15 1¢ $-1 +$14 08-29 15:25
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -55 -$14 2¢ $-1 +$13 06-04 08:40
Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? Yes +222 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 11-03 05:03