Boiling-Institute — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$36

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,777

lifetime

Volume

$52.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$165

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 18:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

75% 0% $-36

Politics

22% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	+50	$49	99¢	$50	+$0	06-09 14:23
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	-87	$-24	32¢	$-28	$-4	06-04 08:40
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	+29	$26	98¢	$28	+$2	06-09 18:36
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+71	$15	30¢	$21	+$7	06-08 09:40
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	+31	$24	64¢	$20	$-4	06-03 08:26
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	Yes	-74	$-9	12¢	$-8	+$0	06-07 11:24
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	+9	$8	89¢	$8	$-0	06-09 14:24
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?	Yes	+32	$2	4¢	$1	$-1	06-02 21:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	111	$12.2K	6,325	6,113	+212	open	—	05-28 11:30
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	33	$4.1K	2,266	2,266	+0	open	—	03-23 11:10
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	66	$3.8K	1,805	2,065	-260	open	—	05-29 16:51
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	93	$3.0K	1,570	1,541	+29	open	—	06-09 18:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	31	$2.1K	1,165	1,116	+49	open	—	04-27 15:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	39	$2.1K	1,434	1,675	-241	open	—	04-08 06:55
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	17	$2.0K	1,041	1,041	+0	open	—	03-09 04:46
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	18	$1.2K	823	534	+289	open	—	05-15 05:20
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	15	$1.0K	599	457	+142	open	—	04-30 12:58
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	13	$868	450	425	+25	open	—	05-29 02:12
netanyahu out by march 31 854	10	$858	448	448	-0	open	—	03-25 19:50
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	14	$729	376	398	-22	open	—	03-16 10:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	15	$683	400	375	+25	open	—	05-29 21:25
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	27	$668	345	345	+0	open	—	04-26 06:39
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	31	$633	391	427	-36	open	—	02-01 04:44
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	8	$556	361	200	+161	open	—	04-28 15:25
lol red vks 2026 04 19 game2	3	$540	630	630	+0	open	—	04-19 12:52
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	13	$464	280	280	+0	open	—	03-27 19:59
will microstrategy be delisted from the msci index by march 31	1	$451	0	496	-496	open	—	01-06 21:21
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	3	$391	202	202	+0	open	—	03-21 13:53
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	26	$385	692	336	+356	open	—	02-08 11:14
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	11	$355	180	180	+0	open	—	06-09 14:23
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	6	$323	170	170	+0	open	—	01-27 06:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	29	$300	450	405	+45	open	—	05-30 06:25
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	47	$300	591	454	+137	open	—	06-01 11:57
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	12	$266	155	155	+0	open	—	06-06 02:59
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	2	$253	130	130	+0	open	—	02-19 02:32
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	10	$239	250	25	+225	open	—	01-21 04:10
Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?	20	$237	472	582	-110	open	—	01-27 09:40
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	8	$233	254	0	+254	open	—	02-19 10:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 18:36:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$30	0x74209b…
06-09 16:36:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x2072c2…
06-09 16:23:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xf1363b…
06-09 14:24:10	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x44514d…
06-09 14:23:22	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x49b738…
06-09 13:50:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x8c9714…
06-09 09:12:21	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x0b5cbf…
06-09 09:06:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x675328…
06-09 08:31:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x0bcc76…
06-09 07:04:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xc1491c…
06-09 06:55:07	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x5cba61…
06-09 05:16:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x83c080…
06-09 05:05:33	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	No	SELL	22	23¢	$5	0x6d4452…
06-09 04:30:45	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xb15c18…
06-09 03:03:48	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026	No	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x1b2e9c…
06-09 02:56:39	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026	No	BUY	21	21¢	$4	0x6cf3cc…
06-08 20:33:40	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x6393da…
06-08 17:24:51	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x8d25e5…
06-08 17:21:00	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x93ce71…
06-08 11:26:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x58b358…
06-08 09:40:51	Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0x16c2e0…
06-08 04:46:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0xaf65b4…
06-08 04:41:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0xcc213a…
06-08 03:52:09	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	69¢	$20	0xdf2015…
06-08 02:19:27	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	35	39¢	$14	0xa8d00f…
06-08 02:12:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xb07fcc…
06-08 02:09:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0xbf07b3…
06-08 01:19:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xd7887c…
06-07 20:49:54	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x0ebdb4…
06-07 19:37:57	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x51a7e3…
06-07 18:58:37	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x51d91a…
06-07 18:34:01	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xe4a536…
06-07 11:24:54	Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	74	12¢	$9	0x5c643c…
06-07 08:41:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0xb6e8df…
06-07 03:42:24	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd292f3…
06-07 03:27:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xc28543…
06-07 03:27:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x9a6ad7…
06-07 03:27:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x4f3462…
06-06 16:57:12	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x9b9514…
06-06 13:01:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0x0a6fe3…
06-06 10:38:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x6326c6…
06-06 10:37:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x281fea…
06-06 10:37:01	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3c3bcc…
06-06 10:35:57	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xe6659d…
06-06 10:35:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x27adb5…
06-06 10:31:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0x1ff2e5…
06-06 07:39:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	49	98¢	$48	0xf14910…
06-06 07:36:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe5a16f…
06-06 06:35:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x44caeb…
06-06 04:48:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x4c9cdd…
06-06 04:48:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x43fc59…
06-06 03:24:57	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	SELL	15	41¢	$6	0x2d489e…
06-06 02:59:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0xdd191a…
06-05 16:49:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xdc2c85…
06-05 14:20:42	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x0c38b6…
06-05 14:10:45	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0x2858a4…
06-05 13:52:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x6c7f37…
06-05 13:51:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0x51110c…
06-05 12:10:10	Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x18f622…
06-05 11:10:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xbc3d70…
06-05 09:56:00	Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0xa515c3…
06-05 09:09:36	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x08a5b4…
06-05 07:41:36	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xe641ba…
06-05 05:06:07	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x7bb766…
06-05 05:05:57	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf5aad6…
06-05 05:05:25	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0x872526…
06-05 05:01:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x64ed01…
06-05 04:04:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x4d96d7…
06-05 03:36:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xaa5255…
06-05 02:59:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0xaa3a25…
06-05 02:39:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x846177…
06-05 02:39:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x8aff18…
06-04 16:32:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x826788…
06-04 14:05:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x50badc…
06-04 13:51:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	75	98¢	$73	0xd4242c…
06-04 13:21:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xe3dc69…
06-04 13:03:54	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x87170a…
06-04 12:58:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0xc852c1…
06-04 11:49:15	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xc0de1e…
06-04 09:13:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$0	0x33b618…
06-04 09:11:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x6507a0…
06-04 09:11:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x37f27e…
06-04 09:10:07	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xe75269…
06-04 09:08:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x03ed91…
06-04 09:07:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	65	98¢	$64	0x78aa43…
06-04 08:40:42	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	87	28¢	$24	0x1b188b…
06-04 08:37:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x442558…
06-04 07:30:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x3ca313…
06-04 07:20:57	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	75	98¢	$73	0x1ea48c…
06-04 05:13:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xf2ae77…
06-04 04:24:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x9aacc8…
06-04 04:20:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xbad64d…
06-04 04:10:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x3009fc…
06-04 04:09:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4b28f3…
06-04 03:48:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0xd82b4c…
06-04 03:44:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x8b0f91…
06-04 03:35:45	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xda44e8…
06-04 02:38:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	54	98¢	$53	0x126d38…
06-03 20:03:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x983d77…
06-03 14:04:25	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfd3f63…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	221	$2.09M	33,439	06-10 00:05
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	218	$55.1M	68,587	06-10 00:14
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	213	$390.9K	2,465	06-08 20:34
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	206	$631.8K	52,465	06-01 04:50
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	205	$90.1K	8,117	06-09 16:21
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	194	$29.5K	5,918	06-09 16:23
Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389	187	$517.0K	58,675	06-10 00:14
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	177	$238.8K	21,145	04-07 21:29