Realized P&L
-$36
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
2,160
lifetime
Volume
$62.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$377
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 16:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
78% 0% $-36
Politics
19%
Crypto
2%
Tech
1%
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +125 $118 100¢ $125 +$6 06-30 01:56
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? No +68 $67 99¢ $67 +$0 06-30 10:13
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +50 $49 100¢ $50 +$1 06-09 14:23
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +34 $31 100¢ $34 +$3 06-30 16:03
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -87 $-24 22¢ $-19 +$5 06-04 08:40
Will Gigi Hadid be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids? Yes +38 $25 47¢ $18 $-7 06-24 02:57
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -15 $-27 100¢ $-15 +$12 06-20 05:59
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 +$0 06-30 02:05
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? Yes -148 $-15 $-13 +$1 06-24 17:17
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? Yes +40 $1 32¢ $13 +$12 06-25 03:20
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes -5 $-3 85¢ $-4 $-1 06-24 17:16
Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids? Yes +6 $4 57¢ $4 $-0 06-28 21:39
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +85 $7 $0 $-7 06-19 18:51
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +10 $2 $0 $-2 06-13 16:32
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026? Yes +32 $2 $0 $-2 06-02 21:29
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +17 $7 $0 $-7 06-18 17:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +0 $5 99¢ $0 $-5 06-29 12:52