Boiling-Institute — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$36

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,378

lifetime

Volume

$66.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 04:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

78% 0% $-36

Politics

18% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	111	$12.2K	6,325	6,113	+212	open	—	05-28 11:30
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	130	$4.5K	2,315	2,281	+34	open	—	06-30 16:03
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	33	$4.1K	2,266	2,266	+0	open	—	03-23 11:10
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	66	$3.8K	1,805	2,065	-260	open	—	05-29 16:51
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	49	$3.1K	1,600	1,570	+30	open	—	06-18 22:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	67	$2.3K	1,213	1,213	+0	open	—	07-06 03:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	31	$2.1K	1,165	1,116	+49	open	—	04-27 15:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	39	$2.1K	1,434	1,675	-241	open	—	04-08 06:55
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	17	$2.0K	1,041	1,041	+0	open	—	03-09 04:46
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	49	$1.4K	800	650	+150	open	—	06-30 01:56
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	28	$1.4K	697	697	+0	open	—	07-18 16:38
kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	23	$1.3K	725	625	+100	open	—	06-22 13:03
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	18	$1.2K	823	534	+289	open	—	05-15 05:20
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	15	$1.0K	599	457	+142	open	—	04-30 12:58
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	13	$868	450	425	+25	open	—	05-29 02:12
netanyahu out by march 31 854	10	$858	448	448	-0	open	—	03-25 19:50
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	14	$729	376	398	-22	open	—	03-16 10:59
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	21	$693	348	348	+0	open	—	07-15 03:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	15	$683	400	375	+25	open	—	05-29 21:25
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	27	$668	345	345	+0	open	—	04-26 06:39
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	31	$633	391	427	-36	open	—	02-01 04:44
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	8	$556	361	200	+161	open	—	04-28 15:25
lol red vks 2026 04 19 game2	3	$540	630	630	+0	open	—	04-19 12:52
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	13	$464	280	280	+0	open	—	03-27 19:59
will microstrategy be delisted from the msci index by march 31	1	$451	0	496	-496	open	—	01-06 21:21
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	3	$391	202	202	+0	open	—	03-21 13:53
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	26	$385	692	336	+356	open	—	02-08 11:14
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	11	$355	180	180	+0	open	—	06-09 14:23
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	6	$349	175	175	+0	open	—	06-26 17:58
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	6	$323	170	170	+0	open	—	01-27 06:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 04:25:46	Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0x0c9400…
08-09 08:09:03	Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x13fbd2…
08-08 11:36:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	17	88¢	$15	0x9d6da6…
08-08 09:24:30	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x2ad282…
08-08 07:17:09	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	No	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0xa761c4…
08-08 07:16:45	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x228ac5…
08-08 04:43:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0xa3eee9…
08-08 03:50:36	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	SELL	56	2¢	$1	0x2bd16e…
08-07 14:36:51	grok 4pt6 released by august 7 2026 20260804192931962	Yes	BUY	46	7¢	$3	0xe0d389…
08-07 09:57:13	Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xb86b8f…
08-07 06:29:49	grok 4pt6 released by august 7 2026 20260804192931962	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x71351b…
08-07 03:16:33	grok 4pt6 released by august 7 2026 20260804192931962	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x8108c6…
08-06 13:17:57	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	49	12¢	$6	0x6ad164…
08-06 09:58:14	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0xb1db75…
08-05 17:29:35	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x0aa199…
08-03 17:44:03	Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	25¢	$8	0x32cef4…
08-03 15:10:56	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	Yes	BUY	22	28¢	$6	0xb957aa…
08-03 09:55:42	Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x2353e6…
08-03 07:20:06	Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x25e162…
08-02 10:04:08	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x11c151…
08-02 04:14:05	Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	43¢	$5	0x8afac2…
08-01 02:54:11	Will JetBlue Airways announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x1fe3bf…
07-31 05:03:48	Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x99b11f…
07-31 03:44:21	Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?	Yes	BUY	110	5¢	$5	0x804651…
07-30 20:50:09	Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x5d320d…
07-30 16:54:32	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x43560d…
07-30 09:09:27	Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	40¢	$13	0xc0efc7…
07-29 21:45:14	Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x7d7d5e…
07-29 13:10:45	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x750123…
07-27 15:31:09	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0xa3fe8f…
07-27 05:46:58	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	Yes	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0xed01f9…
07-27 05:40:10	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x074667…
07-27 05:36:16	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x7d145f…
07-27 04:18:04	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x9cd639…
07-27 03:43:00	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb199ec…
07-26 11:25:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x093aab…
07-26 06:13:33	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0xfbd3dd…
07-26 06:11:21	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x8c4622…
07-26 06:10:57	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x10c4e2…
07-26 06:10:49	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x66dfb4…
07-26 06:00:31	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x985b87…
07-26 04:32:43	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0xb043d9…
07-25 14:29:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xafaa0c…
07-25 13:12:09	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x919300…
07-25 13:03:22	will trump meet with netanyahu by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	12	96¢	$11	0x4259d1…
07-25 13:01:13	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa5ce94…
07-25 08:59:39	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xd1d09c…
07-25 08:02:21	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x94c5b2…
07-25 07:30:19	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xb17045…
07-25 06:29:27	Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xec6a70…
07-25 04:18:16	Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	20¢	$5	0xb21846…
07-25 03:48:31	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x73cc69…
07-24 11:11:22	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xe585cd…
07-24 10:41:07	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4e69df…
07-24 10:40:33	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf48483…
07-24 09:56:01	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x3890bc…
07-24 07:26:48	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x168680…
07-23 15:30:33	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x9016a2…
07-23 14:58:36	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x36f11a…
07-23 06:37:00	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x24a1a4…
07-23 03:38:40	will russia enter svitle by september 30	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2018e3…
07-23 03:34:10	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1ef850…
07-22 04:02:28	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcae913…
07-22 00:04:27	mex caz pue 2026 07 21 spread home 1pt5	CF Cruz Azul	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x448a1d…
07-21 07:55:28	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0x610717…
07-21 07:43:46	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x358f70…
07-21 02:40:30	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	Yes	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x63ac9c…
07-20 13:39:28	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb62829…
07-20 13:03:46	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x8a4a1d…
07-19 15:45:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x68f20f…
07-19 15:25:45	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xcfa439…
07-18 17:23:31	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x420c14…
07-18 16:38:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xa12c52…
07-18 11:21:40	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xcb4c7b…
07-18 09:45:28	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xb63844…
07-18 04:31:55	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8c8ae7…
07-17 04:10:45	mls sea por 2026 07 16 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xf65c91…
07-17 04:06:07	mls sea por 2026 07 16 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x792d4a…
07-16 16:43:38	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xd5c691…
07-16 11:22:29	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	Yes	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0xa7ab40…
07-16 05:17:07	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0xcc7862…
07-16 03:14:47	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0xc9f478…
07-15 16:37:31	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	51	46¢	$23	0x3ecf6f…
07-15 15:31:16	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0xa2f838…
07-15 03:50:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x2b3c3f…
07-14 16:08:46	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 spread away 1pt5	France	SELL	11	88¢	$10	0x390344…
07-14 16:08:28	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x12b880…
07-14 16:05:43	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 spread away 1pt5	France	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x3f2ac0…
07-14 16:03:22	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0x53909a…
07-14 04:52:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x53e458…
07-13 18:16:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x698747…
07-13 14:38:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xbec005…
07-13 14:07:10	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0xb2fe77…
07-13 09:18:29	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	8	86¢	$6	0xf2c696…
07-12 23:44:11	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	Yes	SELL	11	78¢	$9	0x2cc062…
07-12 17:01:58	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	No	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x28ca9b…
07-12 15:55:59	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x9e6d42…
07-12 14:41:05	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x222eae…
07-12 10:11:55	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x27997b…
07-12 04:23:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xedf808…