Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.55K

Unrealized P&L

-$92

Hit rate

50.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,127

lifetime

Volume

$62.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

$2.56K

9 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 10-11 05:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Politics

47% 41% -$1,141

Other

40% 47% +$890

Sports

13% 25% -$1,279

Crypto

0% 33% -$24

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+1,387	$811	58¢	$804	-$7	08-06 10:40
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+648	$354	72¢	$467	+$113	10-05 09:23
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	+1,500	$664	30¢	$458	-$207	07-03 02:53
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	+500	$391	80¢	$397	+$6	06-14 15:02
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	+538	$393	58¢	$315	-$78	06-10 07:07
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+200	$160	62¢	$123	-$37	06-05 01:33
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	+0	$8	62¢	$0	-$8	07-02 00:20
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+0	-$197	38¢	$0	+$197	10-04 20:43
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	+0	$72	17¢	$0	-$72	10-07 01:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	13	$4.0K	3,000	3,000	+0	Knicks	-$225	06-11 02:44
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	41	$3.9K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	10-04 20:43
us strike on somalia by january 31 956	40	$3.5K	2,143	2,143	+0	Yes	+$750	01-26 20:58
will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	8	$3.4K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$0	07-08 14:17
will israel strike gaza on february 10 2026	28	$3.1K	2,818	2,818	+0	Yes	-$832	02-12 20:16
us strike on somalia by january 31 563	9	$2.3K	1,723	1,723	-0	Yes	+$146	01-29 19:01
us strike on somalia by february 7	16	$2.2K	2,289	289	+2,000	Yes	+$286	02-03 14:53
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?	24	$1.8K	1,263	1,263	+0	Yes	-$6	06-05 23:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	10-02 20:51
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	8	$1.6K	1,014	1,014	+0	open	—	10-03 15:14
will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	4	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$640	07-07 18:33
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$1.3K	4,773	2,273	+2,500	No	-$1,111	07-19 20:43
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	20	$1.3K	920	920	+0	No	+$21	02-01 01:16
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	14	$1.2K	1,127	927	+200	No	-$80	06-04 16:43
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	17	$1.2K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	-$9	02-03 00:04
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	8	$980	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$20	02-09 02:34
us strike on somalia by february 7 553	46	$948	6,523	6,536	-12	No	-$14	02-10 07:00
fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 btts	24	$904	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$56	06-19 19:44
will drake perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	5	$870	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$130	02-08 22:30
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?	20	$839	828	828	+0	Yes	-$181	05-19 23:48
will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	5	$815	2,000	2,000	+0	No	-$645	08-09 18:32
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	42	$811	1,387	0	+1,387	open	—	08-06 10:40
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	7	$784	800	800	+0	open	—	10-05 06:28
will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	5	$717	500	500	+0	Yes	+$7	01-29 16:37
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	16	$664	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	07-03 02:53
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	20	$660	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	10-11 05:06
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	16	$605	815	167	+648	open	—	10-05 09:23
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?	6	$604	473	473	+0	open	—	10-05 12:20
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	2	$520	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$20	07-06 21:37
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	9	$500	300	300	+0	open	—	10-02 21:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-11 05:06:54	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	27¢	$270	0xd1c767…
10-10 15:13:19	Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	140	39¢	$55	0x78c70c…
10-10 15:09:51	Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x9b3f7b…
10-10 11:21:42	Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	350	39¢	$136	0xdd3d07…
10-07 02:24:30	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	28¢	$140	0x81ef69…
10-07 01:29:17	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	106	33¢	$35	0x0da1c8…
10-07 01:28:08	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	33¢	$33	0x8e514f…
10-07 01:28:02	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	33¢	$20	0xec2ff5…
10-06 16:47:00	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	500	27¢	$135	0xe3a82f…
10-06 10:55:37	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0x3504c4…
10-06 10:55:37	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0x0e7563…
10-06 10:55:37	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	33¢	$33	0x096ff8…
10-06 06:48:19	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x9ecaf6…
10-06 05:50:06	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	36¢	$180	0xf1f9a2…
10-05 19:55:05	Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?	No	SELL	99	64¢	$63	0x8675c3…
10-05 18:25:53	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	500	34¢	$170	0xd2763f…
10-05 17:46:17	Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?	No	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0x32c80d…
10-05 12:20:25	Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?	Yes	SELL	348	63¢	$219	0xb22617…
10-05 09:23:26	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	75¢	$7	0xf8863c…
10-05 08:14:53	Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?	Yes	SELL	19	63¢	$12	0x875247…
10-05 07:29:55	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	75¢	$29	0xfb3575…
10-05 07:29:53	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	75¢	$90	0xc02fea…
10-05 06:49:22	Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?	Yes	SELL	106	63¢	$67	0xa0cb43…
10-05 06:28:07	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	34	39¢	$13	0x77ff15…
10-05 06:28:05	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	47	39¢	$19	0x514b2d…
10-05 06:26:10	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	51	39¢	$20	0x31689d…
10-05 00:57:05	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	668	39¢	$260	0x89179a…
10-04 20:43:32	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,031	41¢	$833	0xd74a7a…
10-04 16:43:20	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0xbba555…
10-04 16:37:46	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0x337ac8…
10-04 15:11:46	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0x9cf2a4…
10-04 13:59:34	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	103	41¢	$42	0x1cfb5a…
10-04 13:22:25	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	41¢	$41	0x81f728…
10-04 09:31:28	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	41¢	$41	0x39b5c5…
10-03 21:13:04	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	No	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x5bbd6a…
10-03 19:22:30	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	No	SELL	10	45¢	$5	0xd9b95e…
10-03 18:48:27	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	No	SELL	10	45¢	$5	0x47519e…
10-03 17:46:09	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,937	41¢	$794	0x65b26a…
10-03 16:24:24	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x43a6ee…
10-03 15:14:36	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	939	96¢	$901	0xbfd919…
10-03 14:49:38	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x50ce8a…
10-03 14:47:11	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	No	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0xd6f916…
10-03 14:32:45	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	No	SELL	34	45¢	$15	0x58bae0…
10-03 13:05:39	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	41¢	$12	0x79a961…
10-03 13:05:18	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	41¢	$123	0xce6581…
10-03 12:10:03	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	374	41¢	$153	0x6f32ac…
10-03 11:12:30	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	96¢	$7	0x7d3134…
10-03 11:01:15	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x4ffefb…
10-03 08:04:06	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x0f58b6…
10-03 05:43:12	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x02de10…
10-03 05:07:36	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	No	SELL	16	45¢	$7	0xba2505…
10-03 04:46:00	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	96¢	$46	0x639dc2…
10-03 00:59:59	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0x6ac1dc…
10-02 23:49:53	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	No	SELL	50	45¢	$22	0x063d5e…
10-02 21:39:09	Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	139	75¢	$104	0x29f896…
10-02 21:14:00	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	87¢	$174	0xf79361…
10-02 21:12:38	Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	91¢	$273	0x867581…
10-02 21:09:18	Will the Republican Party win the CA-48 House seat?	No	SELL	150	91¢	$136	0xdf1237…
10-02 21:06:42	Will the Democrats win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	172	97¢	$167	0xdbfa40…
10-02 21:05:48	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-48 House seat?	Yes	SELL	236	90¢	$212	0x132e9c…
10-02 21:05:06	Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat?	Yes	SELL	151	72¢	$109	0x6f0c04…
10-02 21:04:17	Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	113	84¢	$95	0x0e1dbe…
10-02 21:03:05	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	151	83¢	$125	0x9838fb…
10-02 20:54:20	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	No	SELL	30	45¢	$14	0x944817…
10-02 20:51:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,000	84¢	$840	0xbddc9a…
10-02 20:48:51	Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	102	93¢	$95	0xb885d4…
10-02 20:46:42	Will the Republican Party win the FL-16 House seat?	Yes	SELL	57	82¢	$47	0x80177d…
10-02 20:46:24	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-45 House seat?	Yes	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0x883a73…
10-02 20:45:56	Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	88¢	$38	0x634f63…
10-02 20:44:54	Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	97¢	$23	0xd7e850…
10-02 20:44:24	Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	91¢	$21	0xfbef9c…
10-02 20:43:45	Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x11ccab…
10-02 20:43:17	Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x876876…
10-02 20:27:05	Will Republicans win 0 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0xd5f4be…
10-02 20:26:39	Will Republicans win 3 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0xfe8113…
10-02 20:26:30	Will Republicans win 4 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?	Yes	SELL	47	7¢	$4	0x2467fd…
10-02 20:26:18	Will Republicans win 5 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0x93f8d8…
10-02 20:26:06	Will Republicans win 6 or more Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?	Yes	SELL	68	1¢	$1	0xf7fd85…
10-02 20:21:59	Will Rahm Emanuel be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?	Yes	SELL	47	7¢	$3	0x85e8f1…
10-02 20:21:36	Will Rahm Emanuel be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?	Yes	SELL	153	8¢	$12	0x35da12…
10-02 20:21:26	Will Ro Khanna be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?	Yes	SELL	200	13¢	$26	0x8588fc…
10-02 20:21:09	Will Gavin Newsom be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?	No	SELL	60	84¢	$50	0xc6cc13…
10-02 20:20:51	Will Andy Beshear be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?	Yes	SELL	40	20¢	$8	0x854d1c…
10-02 20:20:38	Will Pete Buttigieg be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?	Yes	SELL	57	20¢	$11	0xefce1d…
10-02 20:19:26	Will Kamala Harris be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xccd7d9…
10-02 20:17:30	Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	4¢	$24	0x6b0579…
10-02 20:16:51	Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	500	18¢	$88	0xebea67…
10-02 20:15:09	Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	526	9¢	$47	0xd3f30a…
10-02 20:14:57	Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0xee6be5…
08-09 18:32:12	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	SELL	2,000	4¢	$85	0xa599f5…
08-09 10:57:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	83¢	$830	0x2f16e9…
08-08 22:35:27	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	BUY	631	18¢	$114	0xb089bc…
08-08 22:23:16	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	BUY	193	18¢	$35	0x33b716…
08-08 22:14:42	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	BUY	175	18¢	$32	0x74b659…
08-08 00:51:30	Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	191	29¢	$55	0x069e45…
08-07 20:18:18	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	Yes	SELL	500	43¢	$215	0xbe0868…
08-07 16:41:43	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	BUY	1,000	55¢	$550	0xdfaf1d…
08-07 06:33:40	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	Yes	BUY	132	33¢	$43	0xf1097f…
08-07 06:25:22	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe73af7…
08-07 06:09:57	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	Yes	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x1572ee…