Realized P&L
+$1.85K
Unrealized P&L
-$37
Hit rate
60.5%
Resolved
10,546
Trades
21,139
lifetime
Volume
$219.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$398
29 positions
First seen
2026-03-02
last 09-02 20:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 186 days
Categories
Other
84% 60% +$2,798
Sports
10% 52% -$796
Politics
4% 54% -$311
Crypto
1% 72% +$184
Tech
1% 81% -$26
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 141 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026? Yes +74 $38 86¢ $63 +$25 08-20 22:47
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +50 $40 98¢ $49 +$9 08-28 11:46
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +70 $38 61¢ $43 +$5 08-29 08:11
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? No +40 $19 95¢ $38 +$19 08-28 04:23
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? Yes +50 $22 64¢ $32 +$9 08-30 04:01
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +71 $33 39¢ $27 -$6 08-16 12:36
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? No +35 $13 75¢ $26 +$13 08-29 08:11
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +30 $18 80¢ $24 +$6 08-28 14:22
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +20 $7 97¢ $19 +$12 08-28 13:53
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? No +50 $29 36¢ $18 -$10 08-28 06:41
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? Yes +20 $7 54¢ $11 +$4 08-28 13:53
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026? No +73 $44 14¢ $10 -$33 08-27 09:02
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? No +20 $13 46¢ $9 -$4 08-28 13:53
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? Yes +35 $22 25¢ $9 -$13 08-28 15:58
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +30 $13 20¢ $6 -$7 08-28 00:01
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 -$4 77¢ $-4 +$0 08-29 08:11
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? Yes +40 $13 5¢ $2 -$11 08-28 04:23
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? No +50 $27 2¢ $1 -$26 08-28 11:37
will openais valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 882 628 No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 08-07 10:39
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 +$0 08-07 10:39
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 $0 08-07 10:39
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +1 $2 95¢ $1 -$1 08-16 11:52
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +20 $13 3¢ $1 -$12 08-28 13:53
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +1 $3 55¢ $1 -$3 08-20 03:00
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? Yes +1 $12 60¢ $1 -$12 08-23 21:47
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +1 $0 43¢ $0 +$0 08-28 14:15
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 $0 07-27 05:44
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +0 $6 57¢ $0 -$6 08-29 08:11
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +1 -$5 14¢ $0 +$5 08-07 10:39