Realized P&L
-$500
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
60.4%
Resolved
235
Trades
10,951
lifetime
Volume
$108.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$229
15 positions
First seen
2026-03-02
last 06-30 12:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
83% 60% $-548
Sports
13% 50% +$44
Politics
2% 75% +$4
Crypto
2%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 303 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +119 $43 40¢ $48 +$5 06-29 08:15
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +20 $17 100¢ $20 +$3 06-01 04:05
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +35 $22 55¢ $19 $-3 06-29 08:33
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30? No +19 $17 99¢ $19 +$2 06-01 11:12
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? No +21 $19 87¢ $18 $-1 06-24 18:45
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No +18 $17 100¢ $18 +$1 06-02 19:44
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026? No +17 $16 99¢ $17 +$1 06-02 10:33
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +16 $15 100¢ $16 +$1 06-01 13:36
Will Canada reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +14 $14 98¢ $14 $-0 06-29 03:42
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +10 $9 99¢ $10 +$1 06-01 09:59
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No +10 $9 99¢ $10 +$1 06-22 03:42
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026? No +9 $8 97¢ $9 +$1 06-26 04:42
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +8 $7 82¢ $7 $-0 06-29 17:31
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 06-21 19:48
Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30? Yes +5 $4 $0 $-3 06-01 03:39