Realized P&L
-$120
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
53.8%
Resolved
564
Trades
1,724
lifetime
Volume
$17.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$31
16 positions
First seen
2026-07-25
last 10-27 00:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 84 days
Categories
Other
76% 32% -$423
Politics
24% 53% +$298
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Sports
0% 67% +$1
Crypto
0% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +23 $7 44¢ $10 +$3 08-23 11:08
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +22 $7 25¢ $6 -$2 08-15 14:56
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +16 $7 30¢ $5 -$2 08-04 08:57
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +13 $7 34¢ $4 -$3 08-02 19:32
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? Yes +18 $5 16¢ $3 -$2 10-05 08:47
Pan Pacific Open: Maya Joint vs Sorana Cirstea Sorana Cirstea — +21 $7 4¢ $1 -$6 10-27 02:15
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes +1 $0 77¢ $1 +$0 10-02 02:16
will byd be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230559 No +1 -$2 84¢ $1 +$2 08-18 00:29
skin cancer vaccine fda approved by december 31 2027 Yes +1 -$1 64¢ $0 +$1 08-19 22:04
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? No +0 -$1 74¢ $0 +$1 09-09 21:04
skin cancer vaccine bla submitted by june 30 2027 Yes +0 -$3 76¢ $0 +$3 08-21 09:07
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? Yes +0 $0 47¢ $0 +$0 08-15 02:15
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? Yes +0 $1 64¢ $0 $0 09-21 10:40
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +0 $0 68¢ $0 +$0 10-19 10:10
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +0 -$1 26¢ $0 +$1 08-26 12:14
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +0 $0 86¢ $0 $0 10-07 14:32