Noxious-Newsletter 0xb902b0…5e31e2
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Realized P&L
-$272
Unrealized P&L
-$117
Hit rate
25.6%
Resolved
3
Trades
502
lifetime
Volume
$9.03K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$2.10K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-01
last 06-30 12:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
39% 0% $-290
Other
35% 100% +$18
Tech
20% — —
Crypto
6% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +300 $276 86¢ $256 $-20 06-01 17:29
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +267 $116 55¢ $147 +$31 06-03 01:16
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +200 $100 72¢ $143 +$43 06-02 17:12
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +267 $152 45¢ $120 $-32 06-02 19:10
Will s1mple retire by June 30? No +100 $97 100¢ $100 +$3 06-01 10:42
Will Donald Trump visit South Dakota in 2026? Yes +100 $97 99¢ $99 +$2 06-26 11:56
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? No +187 $135 52¢ $98 $-37 06-22 23:31
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? Yes +187 $100 48¢ $89 $-11 06-05 08:06
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +96 $60 84¢ $80 +$20 06-18 00:42
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +98 $69 74¢ $73 +$4 06-22 11:11
Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7? No +83 $54 84¢ $70 +$16 06-01 17:14
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? Yes +172 $97 40¢ $69 $-28 06-12 11:15
SlingshotDAO FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +100 $83 68¢ $67 $-15 06-26 21:14
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? No +112 $71 60¢ $67 $-4 06-06 20:42
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $62 66¢ $66 +$5 06-07 09:41
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +66 $50 92¢ $60 +$11 06-22 03:05
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +100 $65 57¢ $57 $-8 06-19 00:15
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +171 $87 29¢ $49 $-39 06-02 14:01
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +100 $42 43¢ $43 +$1 06-19 11:39
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +76 $44 50¢ $39 $-5 06-17 00:48
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +76 $34 50¢ $38 +$4 06-22 23:31
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? Yes +300 $45 12¢ $36 $-9 06-01 18:45
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +100 $53 34¢ $34 $-18 05-29 18:10
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $24 34¢ $33 +$9 06-22 23:30
SlingshotDAO FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +100 $33 32¢ $32 $-1 06-26 20:44
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? Yes +61 $35 52¢ $31 $-3 06-22 12:55
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? No +61 $28 48¢ $29 +$1 06-22 23:29
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +100 $30 26¢ $26 $-4 06-01 17:43
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +98 $37 26¢ $26 $-11 06-22 23:29
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +96 $38 16¢ $15 $-23 06-17 10:19