Noxious-Newsletter 0xb902b0…5e31e2
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Realized P&L
-$272
Unrealized P&L
-$135
Hit rate
25.6%
Resolved
3
Trades
571
lifetime
Volume
$11.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$1.92K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-01
last 07-05 00:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
40% 100% +$18
Politics
32% 0% $-290
Tech
19% — —
Crypto
5% — —
Sports
4% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +300 $276 92¢ $274 $-2 06-01 17:29
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +267 $116 70¢ $186 +$69 06-03 01:16
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +200 $100 78¢ $157 +$57 06-02 17:12
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? Yes +187 $100 50¢ $95 $-5 06-05 08:06
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? No +187 $135 50¢ $93 $-42 06-22 23:31
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +96 $60 86¢ $83 +$23 06-18 00:42
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +98 $69 84¢ $83 +$13 06-22 11:11
SlingshotDAO FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +100 $83 82¢ $82 $-1 06-26 21:14
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +267 $152 30¢ $81 $-71 06-02 19:10
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? No +112 $71 64¢ $72 +$1 06-06 20:42
Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7? No +83 $54 77¢ $65 +$11 06-01 17:14
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? Yes +172 $97 36¢ $61 $-36 06-12 11:15
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +76 $44 78¢ $60 +$16 06-17 00:48
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +100 $42 59¢ $59 +$17 06-19 11:39
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +66 $50 86¢ $56 +$7 06-22 03:05
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $24 50¢ $50 +$26 06-22 23:30
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $62 50¢ $50 $-12 06-07 09:41
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? Yes +61 $35 82¢ $50 +$15 06-22 12:55
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +100 $65 41¢ $41 $-24 06-19 00:15
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +171 $87 22¢ $37 $-51 06-02 14:01
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +100 $53 35¢ $35 $-17 05-29 18:10
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? Yes +300 $45 8¢ $25 $-20 06-01 18:45
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +100 $30 22¢ $22 $-8 06-01 17:43
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +30 $18 70¢ $21 +$3 07-03 14:00
SlingshotDAO FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +100 $33 18¢ $18 $-15 06-26 20:44
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +76 $34 22¢ $17 $-17 06-22 23:31
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +98 $37 16¢ $16 $-21 06-22 23:29
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +96 $38 14¢ $13 $-25 06-17 10:19
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? No +61 $28 18¢ $11 $-17 06-22 23:29
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +66 $18 15¢ $10 $-8 06-26 21:15