Noxious-Newsletter 0xb902b0…5e31e2 Create alert
bot cold 9L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.13K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.31K
Hit rate
17.4%
Resolved
140
Trades
1,485
lifetime
Volume
$27.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$4.54K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-01
last 10-23 10:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 85 days
Categories
Other
57% 30% -$369
Politics
19% 26% -$344
Tech
16% 12% -$268
Sports
5% 10% -$151
Crypto
3% 67% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +419 $210 98¢ $409 +$199 06-26 15:45
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +367 $152 96¢ $352 +$200 06-03 01:16
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +300 $276 98¢ $295 +$19 06-01 17:29
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +300 $222 97¢ $292 +$70 07-04 12:30
Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026? No +290 $278 90¢ $260 -$18 09-27 23:37
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? No +246 $234 97¢ $240 +$6 10-16 14:55
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T? No +220 $199 94¢ $207 +$8 09-07 12:17
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +200 $51 98¢ $196 +$145 05-27 03:21
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +200 $100 96¢ $192 +$92 06-02 17:12
us government removes public access to another major ai model in 2026 20260703202936862 No +166 $111 84¢ $139 +$29 07-04 21:53
will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date No +132 $72 92¢ $122 +$50 06-25 01:12
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? No +212 $114 55¢ $118 +$3 06-06 20:42
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +120 $71 94¢ $113 +$41 05-17 17:30
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? No +107 $101 94¢ $101 -$1 09-13 04:09
Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award? No +100 $79 100¢ $100 +$21 05-30 07:35
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +100 $82 100¢ $100 +$18 05-20 23:19
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +100 $89 100¢ $100 +$11 05-22 13:28
Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? Yes +100 $25 99¢ $99 +$75 05-20 19:01
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +100 $25 98¢ $98 +$72 05-18 11:32
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-17 House election by 5%-10%? Yes +100 $10 97¢ $97 +$87 09-26 19:35
Discord IPO before 2027? No +100 $46 97¢ $97 +$51 06-01 18:57
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +137 $86 70¢ $97 +$10 05-08 21:23
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +100 $88 96¢ $96 +$8 05-31 13:00
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +100 $65 95¢ $95 +$30 06-19 00:15
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +98 $69 95¢ $94 +$25 06-22 11:11
Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +100 $81 93¢ $93 +$12 07-01 15:11
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +100 $62 92¢ $92 +$30 05-10 08:03
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +100 $49 87¢ $87 +$38 05-31 16:20
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? Yes +192 $108 44¢ $85 -$23 06-12 11:15
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day? No +70 $69 99¢ $69 $0 10-20 18:20