Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$677
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
631
lifetime
Volume
$89.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$141
Open exposure
$2.49K
13 positions
First seen
2026-05-30
last 06-09 02:37
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
65%
Other
26%
Crypto
9%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 144 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -1,869 $-916 50¢ $-944 $-28 06-07 22:01
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires? Yes +488 $452 94¢ $461 +$9 06-09 23:40
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +459 $304 64¢ $296 $-8 06-09 23:48
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -300 $-258 90¢ $-268 $-10 06-07 21:32
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -150 $-147 98¢ $-147 $-1 06-07 21:56
Epstein client list released by June 30? No -121 $-115 98¢ $-119 $-4 06-03 02:13
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +2,125 $105 $95 $-10 06-05 15:38
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? No +400 $52 20¢ $78 +$26 06-05 12:17
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? Yes +108 $29 50¢ $53 +$24 06-05 07:24
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +545 $21 $14 $-7 05-31 01:32
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? Yes +8 $7 93¢ $7 +$1 06-01 18:22
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes +1,976 $682 $3 $-679 06-06 03:30
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No -500 $-11 $-0 +$11 06-07 19:29