Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$6.70K
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
3,241
lifetime
Volume
$559.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$173
Open exposure
$4.53K
16 positions
First seen
2026-05-30
last 06-30 08:58
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
74%
Other
21%
Tech
2%
Sports
2%
Crypto
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 459 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +2,340 $1,574 66¢ $1.5K $-42 06-26 01:14
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -1,869 $-916 54¢ $-1000 $-84 06-07 22:01
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? No -408 $-391 98¢ $-401 $-9 06-26 04:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +2,200 $308 18¢ $385 +$77 06-27 20:09
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +714 $315 39¢ $279 $-36 06-25 13:06
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -300 $-258 90¢ $-268 $-10 06-07 21:32
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No +200 $164 86¢ $173 +$9 06-27 00:02
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +4,727 $2,942 $121 $-2,822 06-28 16:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +28,825 $4,238 $101 $-4,137 06-27 21:34
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes +1,126 $125 $84 $-41 06-10 22:30
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +233 $58 22¢ $52 $-6 06-23 18:58
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? Yes +108 $29 48¢ $51 +$22 06-05 07:24
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +99 $58 30¢ $30 $-28 06-14 19:40
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? No +27 $24 89¢ $24 +$1 06-11 15:18
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes -17 $-422 100¢ $-17 +$405 06-28 16:13
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? Yes +8 $7 98¢ $8 +$1 06-01 18:22