Realized P&L
+$3.11K
Unrealized P&L
+$11.3K
Hit rate
68.8%
Resolved
413
Trades
6,761
lifetime
Volume
$980.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$145
Open exposure
$38.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-30
last 08-18 02:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 85 days
Categories
Politics
64% 64% +$6,749
Other
22% 52% -$14,898
Sports
10% 89% +$4,029
Tech
4% 52% +$4,136
Crypto
1% 100% +$3,051
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$45
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +10,000 $1,687 88¢ $8.9K +$7,163 07-23 22:48
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +8,818 $7,318 92¢ $8.2K +$839 07-14 18:58
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +3,025 $1,270 94¢ $2.8K +$1,558 07-24 18:33
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes -6,064 -$2,124 36¢ $-2213 -$89 06-25 14:48
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +2,592 $1,776 77¢ $2.0K +$220 06-26 01:14
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,800 $1,117 68¢ $1.9K +$801 06-07 16:55
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No +2,065 $1,626 80¢ $1.7K +$26 07-30 22:44
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -1,869 -$916 84¢ $-1570 -$654 06-07 22:01
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +2,710 $992 44¢ $1.2K +$191 07-16 17:15
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5,861 $744 16¢ $947 +$202 07-30 22:44
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -1,019 -$923 92¢ $-943 -$20 07-21 05:28
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +1,324 $824 64¢ $841 +$17 07-09 20:51
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +30,000 $300 2¢ $750 +$450 07-27 00:18
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +1,000 $430 68¢ $685 +$255 07-14 08:57
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +1,078 $600 62¢ $674 +$74 07-17 20:30
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +957 $603 62¢ $598 -$5 07-09 20:20
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +673 $303 66¢ $441 +$138 05-31 20:57
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? No -351 -$315 91¢ $-319 -$4 07-06 22:33
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -300 -$258 92¢ $-278 -$20 06-07 21:32
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,923 $100 13¢ $249 +$149 06-25 21:03
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +700 $226 29¢ $203 -$23 07-17 15:18
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? Yes +218 $99 86¢ $189 +$90 07-29 01:13
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +435 $100 41¢ $178 +$78 07-14 23:01
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +150 $118 88¢ $133 +$14 07-29 14:18
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes +2,364 $249 4¢ $97 -$152 07-03 21:49
iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by december 31 128 No +115 $80 84¢ $97 +$16 07-17 11:32
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +100 $74 82¢ $82 +$8 07-04 04:10
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +333 $47 13¢ $43 -$3 07-17 05:43
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +46 $27 70¢ $32 +$4 07-02 20:10
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +46 $73 38¢ $17 -$56 07-07 10:20