Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$3.18K
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
4,273
lifetime
Volume
$712.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$167
Open exposure
$9.63K
15 positions
First seen
2026-05-30
last 07-21 18:34
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
61%
Other
22%
Sports
13%
Tech
3%
Crypto
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 459 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +8,000 $837 48¢ $3.8K +$2,963 07-22 13:26
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +2,666 $1,094 62¢ $1.7K +$559 07-08 22:21
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +2,340 $1,574 66¢ $1.6K $-18 06-26 01:14
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -1,869 $-916 58¢ $-1093 $-178 06-07 22:01
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? No -351 $-315 93¢ $-325 $-9 07-06 22:33
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +714 $315 40¢ $289 $-26 06-25 13:06
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -300 $-258 90¢ $-268 $-10 06-07 21:32
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No +326 $260 80¢ $262 +$2 07-20 19:48
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes +2,364 $249 $117 $-132 07-03 21:49
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +100 $74 78¢ $78 +$4 07-04 04:10
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes +88 $63 69¢ $61 $-2 07-06 09:26
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? Yes +108 $29 51¢ $55 +$26 06-05 07:24
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +333 $47 13¢ $43 $-3 07-17 05:43
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes -50 $-24 38¢ $-19 +$5 07-07 15:29
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No +20 $8 50¢ $10 +$3 07-08 21:50