Realized P&L
-$748
Unrealized P&L
+$167
Hit rate
60.2%
Resolved
24
Trades
3,375
lifetime
Volume
$395.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$117
Open exposure
$17.3K
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-29 23:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
50% 83% +$71
Politics
35% 50% $-468
Sports
14% 75% $-352
Tech
1%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 119 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2,000 $1,820 90¢ $1.8K $-10 06-26 17:19
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -1,500 $-1,497 100¢ $-1499 $-2 06-26 17:22
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -1,750 $-1,413 84¢ $-1461 $-49 06-29 00:42
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +1,500 $1,410 94¢ $1.4K +$6 06-28 20:50
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +1,073 $1,017 95¢ $1.0K +$7 06-27 04:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +1,000 $988 100¢ $996 +$7 06-28 20:31
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -969 $-970 100¢ $-968 +$2 06-26 18:56
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +1,000 $915 92¢ $915 $-0 06-29 07:03
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +1,000 $840 84¢ $835 $-5 06-28 17:23
Epstein client list released by June 30? No +824 $806 100¢ $821 +$15 06-24 04:55
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -750 $-794 100¢ $-749 +$45 06-26 17:58
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +741 $698 94¢ $695 $-4 06-26 18:56
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +625 $525 86¢ $534 +$9 06-26 19:31
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -500 $-528 100¢ $-500 +$28 06-26 19:43
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +500 $465 94¢ $468 +$2 06-27 15:43
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? No +450 $407 98¢ $439 +$32 06-28 21:13
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +500 $435 86¢ $432 $-2 06-26 19:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +500 $440 86¢ $428 $-12 06-26 18:29
Kurds declare independence from Iran? No +325 $324 100¢ $323 $-0 06-28 20:53
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? No +324 $319 100¢ $323 +$3 06-16 10:46
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -300 $-305 100¢ $-300 +$6 06-28 17:45
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No -175 $-174 100¢ $-174 $-0 06-29 11:17
Hurupay FDV above $20M one day after launch? No +80 $74 94¢ $75 +$1 06-28 20:59
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? No +58 $53 92¢ $54 +$0 06-29 23:32
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No -41 $-128 100¢ $-41 +$88 06-27 02:15