Realized P&L
-$748
Unrealized P&L
-$163
Hit rate
60.2%
Resolved
24
Trades
3,696
lifetime
Volume
$417.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$113
Open exposure
$13.0K
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 10:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
48% 83% +$71
Politics
36% 50% $-468
Sports
14% 75% $-352
Tech
1%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 128 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2,000 $1,820 90¢ $1.8K $-30 06-26 17:19
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -1,750 $-1,413 88¢ $-1531 $-119 06-29 00:42
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -1,000 $-981 96¢ $-956 +$26 07-16 00:30
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +1,000 $933 94¢ $935 +$2 07-17 19:40
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +1,000 $922 92¢ $920 $-2 07-17 19:59
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? No +756 $737 99¢ $745 +$9 07-17 21:39
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? No +741 $686 98¢ $723 +$37 07-19 10:05
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +741 $698 95¢ $701 +$2 06-26 18:56
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +750 $677 93¢ $697 +$20 07-19 09:59
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +682 $573 88¢ $597 +$23 07-06 21:06
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? No +640 $589 93¢ $595 +$6 07-17 02:57
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? No +500 $470 94¢ $472 +$2 07-03 02:31
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +500 $435 86¢ $428 $-8 06-26 19:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +500 $435 72¢ $362 $-72 07-08 18:04
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +357 $300 86¢ $309 +$9 07-05 18:56
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +386 $318 74¢ $284 $-34 07-05 21:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +250 $246 99¢ $247 +$1 07-18 00:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -351 $-148 55¢ $-192 $-43 07-08 18:35
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -176 $-191 97¢ $-171 +$20 07-17 19:13
Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch? No +151 $117 66¢ $100 $-17 07-06 20:14
Hurupay FDV above $20M one day after launch? No +99 $92 95¢ $94 +$2 07-06 20:17
Hurupay FDV above $30M one day after launch? No +93 $88 95¢ $89 +$1 07-06 20:18
Hurupay FDV above $40M one day after launch? No +26 $25 95¢ $25 +$0 07-06 20:17
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +26 $24 96¢ $25 +$0 07-10 07:08
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? Yes +34 $14 47¢ $16 +$2 07-06 20:30