Realized P&L
+$5.41K
Unrealized P&L
+$871
Hit rate
87.9%
Resolved
620
Trades
4,276
lifetime
Volume
$491.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$115
Open exposure
$24.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 21:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 142 days
Categories
Other
49% 79% +$2,368
Politics
35% 85% +$1,216
Sports
14% 63% +$1,708
Tech
1% 85% +$63
Crypto
1% 100% +$57
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +4,500 $4,210 94¢ $4.3K +$43 10-11 23:36
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +2,000 $1,725 94¢ $1.9K +$155 06-26 19:44
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +1,993 $1,756 90¢ $1.8K +$47 10-13 16:45
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +1,750 $1,432 94¢ $1.7K +$221 10-05 18:23
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +1,500 $1,374 95¢ $1.4K +$57 08-11 17:28
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +1,689 $1,439 77¢ $1.3K -$134 08-08 17:33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,250 $1,002 82¢ $1.0K +$16 08-07 23:23
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +1,039 $970 97¢ $1.0K +$37 10-05 17:37
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $945 97¢ $966 +$20 10-13 11:27
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +1,000 $922 96¢ $962 +$40 07-17 19:59
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $898 94¢ $945 +$47 10-14 13:34
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,014 $840 86¢ $870 +$30 07-05 19:03
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +750 $705 99¢ $744 +$39 10-05 22:52
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +741 $698 96¢ $707 +$9 06-26 18:56
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? No +654 $602 96¢ $625 +$23 08-10 17:17
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +542 $519 98¢ $530 +$12 07-24 22:09
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +500 $430 97¢ $487 +$57 07-29 23:57
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +490 $470 98¢ $480 +$10 10-28 21:00
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +500 $442 91¢ $455 +$13 10-12 01:54
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +1,774 $135 18¢ $310 +$175 08-08 23:24
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +488 $372 60¢ $290 -$81 07-10 21:28
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +270 $256 97¢ $262 +$6 08-08 02:21
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? No +250 $238 98¢ $245 +$7 08-25 05:49
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? No +250 $234 98¢ $244 +$10 08-25 11:50
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +250 $238 97¢ $243 +$5 08-08 00:22
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No +250 $240 97¢ $242 +$2 07-28 15:58
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +179 $164 94¢ $167 +$3 08-25 00:13
Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? No +100 $83 82¢ $82 $0 10-04 20:32
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No +33 $32 96¢ $32 $0 10-05 18:18
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +26 $24 97¢ $25 +$1 07-10 07:08