(anonymous) 0x715728…68e799 Create alert
bot 5L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$49
Unrealized P&L
+$89
Hit rate
52.7%
Resolved
445
Trades
1,624
lifetime
Volume
$15.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$482
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-24
last 11-10 19:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 94 days
Categories
Other
59% 48% -$213
Politics
33% 55% +$50
Crypto
5% 79% +$122
Tech
1% 40% -$17
Sports
1% 80% +$8
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +30 $15 94¢ $28 +$14 09-03 19:44
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF? Yes +24 $7 90¢ $22 +$14 08-14 07:20
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? No +22 $15 90¢ $20 +$5 09-06 12:34
will samuel alito announce his retirement by june 30 2027 20260630164636932 777 232 No +24 $15 80¢ $20 +$5 08-03 13:35
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026? Yes +23 $8 85¢ $19 +$11 09-05 23:14
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +20 $15 92¢ $19 +$4 07-26 10:45
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? No +18 $14 100¢ $18 +$4 10-23 16:31
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +20 $14 88¢ $18 +$4 07-30 05:59
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder? No +18 $15 98¢ $18 +$3 09-01 14:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +19 $15 92¢ $18 +$3 10-16 05:05
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +18 $15 92¢ $17 +$2 10-30 07:55
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +17 $15 96¢ $17 +$2 11-01 09:52
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31 No +17 $16 94¢ $17 +$0 08-23 00:41
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +48 $15 34¢ $16 +$1 09-09 20:23
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +18 $15 86¢ $16 +$1 09-09 13:18
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +17 $15 90¢ $15 +$1 11-01 10:38
Clavicular sentenced to prison? No +16 $15 94¢ $15 +$0 09-22 03:10
Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027? No +16 $15 93¢ $15 +$0 10-12 01:47
Brazil presidential election annulled by December 31? No +15 $15 98¢ $15 +$0 10-27 02:22
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +15 $15 98¢ $15 +$0 08-24 07:17
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? No +15 $15 98¢ $15 +$0 11-01 10:38
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +15 $14 97¢ $15 +$1 09-06 12:36
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +15 $15 98¢ $15 +$0 10-03 08:10
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +17 $14 82¢ $14 +$0 08-03 13:21
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +20 $15 70¢ $14 -$1 10-12 07:51
Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026? Yes +40 $7 27¢ $11 +$4 09-21 22:22
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +23 $7 47¢ $11 +$3 08-23 11:08
Will Mina the Hollower win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes +32 $7 34¢ $11 +$3 08-29 09:33
Trump goes to space in 2026? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 09-02 16:08
Will Babalwa Lobishe be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay? No +10 $7 100¢ $10 +$3 08-21 07:34