Daring-Pirate 0x5446fe…2218f6 Create alert
whale
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Realized P&L (7d)
+$177
Unrealized P&L
+$534
Hit rate
86.6%
Resolved (7d)
25
Trades (7d)
75
1,629 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$5.06K
$108.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$66
Open exposure
$8.54K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-05
last 11-11 16:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 94 days
Categories
Other
58% 65% +$982
Politics
30% 53% +$279
Sports
8% 46% +$326
Tech
2% 0% -$32
Pop-Culture
2% 75% +$324
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? No +964 $785 96¢ $930 +$144 07-12 07:48
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027? No -580 -$531 96¢ $-557 -$26 09-04 20:04
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? No +474 $361 96¢ $453 +$92 09-10 20:42
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? No -469 -$436 96¢ $-452 -$15 06-03 21:46
Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +497 $171 65¢ $323 +$152 09-12 16:31
us treasury transactions on blockchain by december 31 20260629152656715 No +330 $281 98¢ $323 +$42 07-09 22:39
Will Trump be impeached by June 30, 2027? Yes +931 $446 34¢ $321 -$124 11-04 16:20
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30, 2027? Yes +475 $224 66¢ $316 +$92 11-04 05:56
Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be above 4%? No +415 $260 68¢ $284 +$24 11-01 19:25
Will Digger win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards? No +306 $234 88¢ $271 +$37 09-22 21:42
Will Jimmy Lai win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027? No +300 $270 90¢ $268 -$2 11-04 22:20
Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026? Yes +359 $314 74¢ $265 -$49 09-16 18:24
Will Jon Ossoff win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary? No +387 $247 68¢ $261 +$14 11-11 16:11
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 0%-3%? No +260 $188 96¢ $248 +$60 09-23 01:46
Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine? No +301 $211 80¢ $241 +$29 08-07 06:34
Will the Democrats win Maine in the 2028 Presidential Election? Yes +314 $235 75¢ $235 +$0 11-07 21:10
will gustavo petro be charged in the us by december 31 No +243 $191 94¢ $227 +$36 07-25 07:04
will the republic of the congo have an ebola case in 2026 No +251 $193 90¢ $225 +$31 08-02 20:19
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive 24% or more of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? No +305 $216 72¢ $220 +$4 11-10 19:11
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk? Yes -268 -$148 76¢ $-205 -$57 07-10 04:34
Will Jordan Love finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing yards? No +266 $231 77¢ $205 -$26 09-02 21:16
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027? No +221 $203 92¢ $204 +$1 11-04 15:57
Pete Hegseth impeached by March 31, 2027? Yes +362 $153 55¢ $201 +$48 11-04 16:32
Will Brian Kemp be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? No +201 $188 97¢ $196 +$7 11-05 22:06
Will Waymo launch in New Orleans, LA by December 31 2026? No +191 $154 98¢ $187 +$33 10-14 08:27
Will Raphinha score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? No +224 $188 83¢ $186 -$2 11-09 20:42
Will Aloizio Mercadante be the next Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs? No +196 $171 94¢ $186 +$15 11-10 03:50
Will Renee Rapp win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? No +187 $135 99¢ $185 +$50 10-21 14:25
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027? No +200 $184 92¢ $185 +$1 11-04 21:29
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +537 $257 34¢ $180 -$77 11-10 13:36