(anonymous) 0xdb2db9…4e1dc7 Create alert
bot 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$108
Unrealized P&L
+$112
Hit rate
79.6%
Resolved
1,169
Trades
6,886
lifetime
Volume
$27.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$279
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 07-11 21:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 133 days
Categories
Other
56% 71% -$139
Politics
30% 77% +$217
Crypto
9% 67% -$33
Sports
3% 82% +$59
Tech
1% 93% +$6
Pop-Culture
0% 60% -$1
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-11).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +546 $150 45¢ $243 +$93 07-10 22:04
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? Yes -10 -$6 62¢ $-6 $0 07-10 22:02
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes -6 -$1 76¢ $-5 -$3 07-11 08:48
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes -4 -$2 98¢ $-4 -$2 07-11 21:48
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes -7 -$4 44¢ $-3 +$1 07-10 22:02
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -6 -$2 47¢ $-3 -$1 07-11 21:48
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -17 -$4 16¢ $-3 +$1 07-10 22:02
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -8 -$3 28¢ $-2 +$1 07-10 22:02
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? Yes -91 -$4 2¢ $-2 +$2 07-10 22:02
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -3 -$2 40¢ $-1 +$1 07-11 21:48
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? Yes -14 -$2 9¢ $-1 +$1 07-10 22:40
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes -33 -$2 3¢ $-1 +$1 07-10 22:02
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes -38 -$3 2¢ $-1 +$2 07-10 22:02
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? Yes -8 -$3 11¢ $-1 +$3 07-10 22:02
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -1 -$1 79¢ $-1 $0 07-11 21:48
Ramp IPO before 2027? Yes -35 -$4 2¢ $-1 +$3 07-10 22:02
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? Yes -9 -$2 6¢ $-1 +$1 07-10 22:02
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 Yes -17 -$3 2¢ $-0 +$2 07-10 22:02
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? Yes -1 $0 36¢ $-0 +$0 07-11 21:51
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -6 $0 5¢ $-0 +$0 07-10 22:02
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? Yes -20 -$1 1¢ $-0 +$1 07-10 22:02
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -8 -$1 3¢ $-0 +$1 07-10 22:30
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? Yes -8 -$1 2¢ $-0 +$1 07-10 22:02
Deel IPO before 2027? Yes -16 -$1 1¢ $-0 +$1 07-10 22:02
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes -22 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 07-10 22:02
Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award? Yes -3 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 07-11 21:48