(anonymous) 0xdb2db9…4e1dc7
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
73.0%
Resolved
11
Trades
6,866
lifetime
Volume
$27.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$52
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 07-11 21:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
56% 50% +$0
Politics
30% 80% +$4
Crypto
9% 50% +$0
Sports
3% 50% $-6
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? Yes -10 $-6 62¢ $-6 $-0 07-10 22:02
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? Yes -14 $-2 34¢ $-5 $-2 07-10 22:40
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -17 $-4 25¢ $-4 $-0 07-10 22:02
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -8 $-3 50¢ $-4 $-1 07-10 22:02
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? Yes -7 $-5 52¢ $-4 +$1 07-10 22:02
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes -38 $-3 8¢ $-3 $-0 07-10 22:02
Ramp IPO before 2027? Yes -35 $-4 9¢ $-3 +$0 07-10 22:02
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 Yes -17 $-3 16¢ $-3 $-0 07-10 22:02
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes -33 $-2 6¢ $-2 +$0 07-10 22:02
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -3 $-2 61¢ $-2 +$0 07-11 21:48
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? Yes -8 $-3 20¢ $-2 +$2 07-10 22:02
Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026? Yes -40 $-1 4¢ $-2 $-0 07-10 22:02
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes -30 $-2 5¢ $-2 +$1 07-10 22:02
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? Yes -9 $-2 16¢ $-1 +$0 07-10 22:02
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -6 $-2 24¢ $-1 +$0 07-11 21:48
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? Yes -91 $-4 2¢ $-1 +$3 07-10 22:02
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? Yes -20 $-1 7¢ $-1 $-0 07-10 22:02
Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026? Yes -9 $-1 15¢ $-1 +$0 07-10 22:02
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? Yes -8 $-1 12¢ $-1 +$0 07-10 22:02
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -8 $-1 11¢ $-1 $-0 07-10 22:30
Deel IPO before 2027? Yes -16 $-1 4¢ $-1 $-0 07-10 22:02
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? Yes -1 $-0 54¢ $-1 $-0 07-11 21:51
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? Yes -1 $-0 50¢ $-0 $-0 07-11 21:51
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -1 $-1 48¢ $-0 +$0 07-11 21:48
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -6 $-0 5¢ $-0 +$0 07-10 22:02