Thorough-Fault 0x7f334b…23914e
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$339
Unrealized P&L
-$365
Hit rate
59.3%
Resolved
31
Trades
2,981
lifetime
Volume
$150.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$50
Open exposure
$11.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-02
last 06-12 00:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
45% 40% $-1
Crypto
35% 33% +$324
Sports
12% 71% +$16
Tech
8% — —
Politics
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 247 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Yes +6,804 $5,944 84¢ $5.7K $-195 06-11 21:20
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes +1,092 $803 70¢ $759 $-44 06-11 21:20
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +1,018 $526 50¢ $504 $-22 06-04 19:21
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? Yes +454 $431 95¢ $433 +$2 06-02 10:33
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +491 $379 84¢ $410 +$31 06-11 12:18
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No +548 $370 74¢ $409 +$39 06-11 16:24
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes +441 $317 84¢ $368 +$51 06-02 08:40
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Yes +689 $368 48¢ $334 $-34 06-11 19:37
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? Yes +325 $315 97¢ $316 +$1 06-12 00:04
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? No +887 $319 30¢ $270 $-48 06-10 16:34
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes -1,440 $-135 16¢ $-238 $-102 06-11 10:05
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +381 $228 52¢ $196 $-32 06-03 23:44
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? No +371 $213 52¢ $191 $-22 06-11 15:49
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? No +178 $116 82¢ $146 +$29 06-10 23:10
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? Yes +559 $126 26¢ $142 +$17 06-11 20:58
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? No +797 $223 16¢ $132 $-92 06-04 12:09
Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +265 $72 44¢ $117 +$45 06-04 12:30
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -200 $-98 50¢ $-99 $-1 06-02 16:36
Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026? No -98 $-98 99¢ $-98 $-0 06-07 21:08
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T Yes +1,435 $73 6¢ $86 +$13 06-11 22:17
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +172 $80 44¢ $77 $-3 06-11 22:40
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -124 $-71 56¢ $-69 +$2 06-01 17:40
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +67 $39 82¢ $55 +$16 05-27 22:53
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +59 $35 64¢ $38 +$3 06-10 07:49
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? Yes -118 $-28 22¢ $-26 +$2 06-01 13:21
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? Yes +128 $52 18¢ $23 $-29 06-11 19:01
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? No +414 $20 5¢ $20 $-0 06-11 21:21
Abstract FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? No -22 $-20 85¢ $-18 +$2 06-10 13:51
o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +75 $12 24¢ $18 +$6 06-11 07:52
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes -52 $-17 32¢ $-16 +$0 06-01 19:53