Realized P&L
+$339
Unrealized P&L
+$146
Hit rate
59.3%
Resolved
31
Trades
3,422
lifetime
Volume
$199.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$58
Open exposure
$10.00K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-02
last 07-02 18:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
48%
40%
$-1
Crypto
32%
33%
+$324
Sports
13%
71%
+$16
Tech
7%
—
—
Politics
0%
—
—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk
• peak 144 trades/day
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | +2,939 | $1,433 | 46¢ | $1.4K | $-66 | 07-02 13:33 | |
| Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | +1,747 | $1,223 | 68¢ | $1.2K | $-34 | 06-22 14:06 | |
| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | +1,625 | $1,138 | 66¢ | $1.1K | $-57 | 06-17 23:06 | |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | +1,878 | $820 | 54¢ | $1.0K | +$185 | 06-20 12:10 | |
| Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | +486 | $418 | 92¢ | $447 | +$29 | 06-15 17:52 | |
| Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Yes | +531 | $271 | 76¢ | $403 | +$132 | 06-30 17:46 | |
| GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | +459 | $276 | 86¢ | $395 | +$119 | 06-22 15:59 | |
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | +685 | $340 | 50¢ | $342 | +$2 | 06-22 13:51 | |
| Decibel FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | +472 | $321 | 72¢ | $340 | +$19 | 06-26 23:04 | |
| Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | +966 | $235 | 32¢ | $309 | +$74 | 07-01 19:46 | |
| Will Oro launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | +308 | $271 | 91¢ | $280 | +$9 | 06-24 01:28 | |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | +502 | $255 | 54¢ | $269 | +$13 | 06-28 13:21 | |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | No | +588 | $285 | 44¢ | $262 | $-23 | 06-15 18:33 | |
| Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | +1,018 | $526 | 24¢ | $244 | $-281 | 06-04 19:21 | |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | +317 | $137 | 75¢ | $238 | +$101 | 06-19 01:54 | |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | +269 | $199 | 76¢ | $203 | +$4 | 06-17 23:08 | |
| Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | +289 | $195 | 68¢ | $198 | +$3 | 06-25 02:40 | |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | +840 | $218 | 24¢ | $197 | $-21 | 06-30 13:27 | |
| Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? | Yes | +484 | $194 | 39¢ | $189 | $-5 | 06-22 15:57 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | -200 | $-98 | 64¢ | $-127 | $-29 | 06-02 16:36 | |
| Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch? | No | +425 | $225 | 28¢ | $117 | $-108 | 06-19 18:22 | |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? | Yes | +459 | $136 | 25¢ | $115 | $-21 | 06-27 03:43 | |
| Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? | $140 | +497 | $85 | 23¢ | $114 | +$30 | 06-22 22:39 | |
| Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | +119 | $86 | 80¢ | $95 | +$9 | 06-29 20:27 | |
| StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | +100 | $90 | 94¢ | $94 | +$4 | 06-24 09:05 | |
| Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | +401 | $73 | 21¢ | $85 | +$12 | 06-17 19:59 | |
| Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | +403 | $45 | 20¢ | $83 | +$38 | 06-25 03:02 | |
| Will Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | +101 | $82 | 78¢ | $79 | $-3 | 06-25 22:05 | |
| Decibel FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | +117 | $76 | 64¢ | $75 | $-0 | 06-26 23:00 | |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | -124 | $-71 | 46¢ | $-58 | +$13 | 06-01 17:40 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? | 17 | $6.1K | 7,566 | 0 | +7,566 | open | — | 06-12 16:25 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June? | 11 | $6.0K | 3,512 | 3,512 | +0 | open | — | 06-18 12:58 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | 52 | $5.6K | 8,087 | 5,435 | +2,652 | open | — | 06-22 00:34 |
| will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118 | 23 | $3.3K | 5,085 | 10 | +5,075 | open | — | 07-01 16:08 |
| megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733 | 36 | $3.2K | 2,345 | 2,007 | +338 | open | — | 05-01 09:46 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | 42 | $2.9K | 3,364 | 1,347 | +2,017 | open | — | 05-29 22:29 |
| Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | 59 | $2.9K | 4,649 | 584 | +4,065 | open | — | 04-29 18:21 |
| megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352 | 47 | $2.5K | 11,337 | 1,988 | +9,349 | open | — | 04-30 23:20 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | 11 | $2.3K | 4,817 | 0 | +4,817 | open | — | 07-02 13:33 |
| nba atl cle 2026 04 08 | 11 | $2.0K | 4,804 | 0 | +4,804 | open | — | 04-08 22:01 |
| cs2 mibra fdb 2026 04 09 | 159 | $2.0K | 0 | 2,000 | -2,000 | open | — | 04-08 22:00 |
| fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5 | 2 | $2.0K | 3,234 | 0 | +3,234 | open | — | 06-24 20:57 |
| mlb sd phi 2026 06 04 | 2 | $1.7K | 0 | 1,683 | -1,683 | open | — | 06-04 19:53 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | 20 | $1.7K | 3,186 | 154 | +3,032 | open | — | 06-12 15:16 |
| Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch? | 28 | $1.5K | 2,740 | 235 | +2,504 | open | — | 05-26 09:35 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | 6 | $1.5K | 2,713 | 0 | +2,713 | open | — | 07-01 19:46 |
| megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681 | 16 | $1.4K | 2,268 | 300 | +1,968 | open | — | 04-30 22:45 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | 64 | $1.3K | 2,870 | 0 | +2,870 | open | — | 04-27 15:56 |
| ethereum up or down on april 6 2026 | 30 | $1.3K | 4,152 | 150 | +4,002 | open | — | 04-06 15:35 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? | 16 | $1.2K | 3,821 | 474 | +3,346 | open | — | 06-12 18:20 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | 9 | $1.2K | 649 | 649 | +0 | open | — | 05-01 09:45 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? | 10 | $1.2K | 507 | 1,346 | -838 | open | — | 04-17 20:43 |
| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | 1 | $1.1K | 1,625 | 0 | +1,625 | open | — | 06-17 23:06 |
| will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament | 3 | $1.1K | 1,516 | 0 | +1,516 | open | — | 04-06 21:23 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | 17 | $1.1K | 1,572 | 363 | +1,209 | open | — | 06-12 19:58 |
| USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch? | 11 | $1.1K | 1,519 | 0 | +1,519 | open | — | 04-21 14:14 |
| ethereum up or down on april 8 2026 | 11 | $1.0K | 0 | 1,047 | -1,047 | open | — | 04-08 11:15 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | 24 | $1.0K | 4,666 | 683 | +3,983 | open | — | 06-22 02:56 |
| will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament | 33 | $1.0K | 3,327 | 0 | +3,327 | open | — | 04-12 22:51 |
| bitcoin above 70k on april 4 | 3 | $998 | 100 | 1,093 | -993 | open | — | 04-03 21:36 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||