Informal-Tensor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

-$22

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

304

lifetime

Volume

$3.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$48

1 position

First seen

2026-02-18

last 07-22 11:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

81% 0% $-6

Crypto

17% 0% $-1

Politics

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	Yes		+1,173	$70	4¢	$48	$-22	06-30 16:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will xauusd dip to 3900 in june 2026	8	$319	1,198	1,198	+0	open	—	06-30 07:00
will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	5	$248	1,187	1,187	+0	open	—	07-22 03:32
will gold gc hit high 4400 by end of june copy 20260609185905943	2	$145	111	111	+0	open	—	06-22 01:41
bitcoin above 58k on june 26 2026	2	$122	741	741	+0	open	—	06-26 10:01
will xauusd dip to 4000 by june 22 2026	2	$121	102	102	+0	open	—	06-24 12:53
bitcoin above 58k on june 27 2026	2	$103	1,667	1,667	+0	open	—	06-25 10:40
xauusd up or down on june 10 2026	4	$87	680	680	+0	open	—	06-10 12:51
will xauusd dip to 4200 by june 15 2026	4	$86	157	157	+0	open	—	06-19 04:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	6	$82	200	200	+0	open	—	05-06 02:15
will xauusd dip to 3900 by june 22 2026	1	$70	976	0	+976	open	—	06-22 03:36
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	1	$70	1,173	0	+1,173	open	—	06-30 16:01
will xauusd dip to 4150 by june 15 2026	3	$70	417	417	+0	open	—	06-19 05:12
will xauusd dip to 4100 by july 6 2026	2	$68	113	113	+0	open	—	07-06 14:48
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	2	$66	600	600	+0	open	—	07-06 11:41
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?	9	$65	415	415	+0	open	—	05-28 14:16
will xauusd dip to 4150 by june 8 2026	3	$64	95	72	+24	open	—	06-10 08:06
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in April?	6	$53	107	104	+3	open	—	04-20 01:46
will xauusd dip to 4400 by june 1 2026	2	$44	40	40	+0	open	—	06-05 13:34
will bitcoin dip to 56k june 22 28 2026	2	$43	469	469	+0	open	—	06-25 10:40
bitcoin above 68k on march 29	2	$41	48	47	+0	open	—	03-27 10:43
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	2	$39	40	40	+0	open	—	05-18 02:41
bitcoin above 58k on june 29 2026	2	$37	200	200	+0	open	—	06-28 09:52
will xauusd dip to 4100 by june 8 2026	2	$37	50	50	+0	open	—	06-10 12:48
will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	2	$36	198	198	+0	open	—	06-10 16:08
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in April?	2	$35	60	58	+2	open	—	04-29 15:25
will xauusd reach 4450 by june 15 2026	2	$32	72	72	+0	open	—	06-16 01:01
will xauusd dip to 3800 by june 29 2026	2	$32	244	244	+0	open	—	06-30 07:00
will xauusd dip to 4000 by june 29 2026	2	$31	69	69	+0	open	—	06-29 15:16
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 Week of May 18 2026?	2	$31	30	30	+0	open	—	05-20 11:00
xagusd up or down on june 25 2026	1	$30	200	0	+200	open	—	06-25 13:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 13:46:40	will xauusd reach 4150 by july 20 2026	No	SELL	29	8¢	$2	0x7d3dc1…
07-22 11:54:04	will xauusd reach 4150 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x6f96c6…
07-22 03:32:54	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	739	3¢	$23	0x7118a2…
07-15 02:56:38	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	350	13¢	$45	0x2d6ee1…
07-13 06:47:43	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	389	14¢	$54	0xb88fae…
07-12 10:23:31	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	448	13¢	$58	0x47732f…
07-06 16:22:14	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	448	15¢	$67	0xca8330…
07-06 14:48:32	will xauusd dip to 4100 by july 6 2026	No	SELL	113	29¢	$33	0xd324fa…
07-06 11:41:11	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	600	6¢	$36	0xb70c7d…
07-06 05:31:20	will xauusd dip to 4100 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	113	31¢	$35	0x5b57ca…
07-06 01:35:53	will xauusd dip to 4150 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x3cd18f…
07-02 12:39:41	will xauusd reach 4200 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0xa288bc…
07-02 09:23:26	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	600	5¢	$30	0xf15710…
06-30 16:01:05	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,173	6¢	$70	0xcaf146…
06-30 15:22:32	will xauusd dip to 3750 by june 29 2026	Yes	SELL	227	2¢	$4	0xe9ad63…
06-30 07:00:59	will xauusd dip to 3800 by june 29 2026	Yes	SELL	244	5¢	$12	0xd0a54b…
06-30 07:00:08	will xauusd dip to 3900 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	97	5¢	$5	0x67a13e…
06-30 05:14:43	will xauusd dip to 3900 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	97	10¢	$10	0xfaa857…
06-30 02:13:29	will xauusd dip to 3750 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	227	4¢	$10	0x01d181…
06-30 02:10:14	will xauusd dip to 3800 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	244	8¢	$20	0x8ba577…
06-29 15:16:19	will xauusd dip to 4000 by june 29 2026	No	SELL	69	16¢	$11	0x4fdc63…
06-29 10:52:26	will xauusd dip to 4000 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0xe61b7e…
06-28 09:52:29	bitcoin above 58k on june 29 2026	No	SELL	200	9¢	$17	0x8d1c0b…
06-27 02:28:17	bitcoin above 58k on june 29 2026	No	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x339d8d…
06-26 11:45:50	wti closes above 69 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x9e9ec0…
06-26 10:07:40	will xauusd dip to 3950 by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	152	5¢	$8	0x26d892…
06-26 10:01:32	bitcoin above 58k on june 26 2026	No	SELL	741	12¢	$92	0xdcf1dc…
06-25 15:55:49	xauusd up or down on june 25 2026	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xa42264…
06-25 13:02:26	xagusd up or down on june 25 2026	Down	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x24eebc…
06-25 11:21:35	bitcoin above 58k on june 26 2026	No	BUY	741	4¢	$30	0x4aecd5…
06-25 10:40:50	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 22 28 2026	Yes	SELL	469	3¢	$13	0x76bd98…
06-25 10:40:11	bitcoin above 58k on june 27 2026	No	SELL	1,667	3¢	$53	0xc81dcb…
06-24 12:53:29	will xauusd dip to 4000 by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	102	99¢	$101	0x178eec…
06-23 08:12:46	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 22 28 2026	Yes	BUY	469	6¢	$30	0x2e1bb0…
06-23 03:19:58	will xauusd dip to 3950 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	152	13¢	$20	0xabf32a…
06-22 18:07:16	bitcoin above 62k on june 23 2026	No	SELL	625	3¢	$17	0x57b330…
06-22 16:23:16	will xauusd dip to 4000 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	102	20¢	$20	0x1121e4…
06-22 15:08:11	bitcoin above 62k on june 23 2026	No	BUY	625	2¢	$10	0xc3940e…
06-22 03:36:20	will xauusd dip to 3900 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	976	7¢	$70	0x5fbd3f…
06-22 01:41:46	will gold gc hit high 4400 by end of june copy 20260609185905943	No	SELL	111	85¢	$95	0xe12d8e…
06-22 01:40:08	will xauusd dip to 3900 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	901	17¢	$154	0x3e52dd…
06-21 17:00:47	bitcoin above 58k on june 27 2026	No	BUY	1,667	3¢	$50	0xa3992f…
06-19 10:01:26	will xauusd dip to 3900 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	310	13¢	$40	0xa551b1…
06-19 05:12:47	will xauusd dip to 4150 by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	417	5¢	$20	0xeb57a9…
06-19 04:50:53	will xauusd dip to 3900 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	198	10¢	$20	0x62ad2f…
06-19 04:44:25	will xauusd dip to 3900 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	393	10¢	$40	0x3ef2bb…
06-19 04:36:37	will xauusd dip to 4200 by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	87	20¢	$17	0x572195…
06-19 03:36:40	will xauusd dip to 4150 by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	333	12¢	$40	0x4219c6…
06-19 03:16:20	will xauusd dip to 4150 by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x9921c4…
06-19 02:09:46	will xauusd dip to 4200 by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x3554fd…
06-18 17:11:52	will xauusd dip to 4200 by june 15 2026	No	SELL	70	30¢	$21	0x495361…
06-18 10:37:13	will gold gc hit high 4400 by end of june copy 20260609185905943	No	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x02861d…
06-18 09:22:23	wti closes above 73 on june 18 2026	No	SELL	51	25¢	$13	0x92cc7b…
06-18 07:34:47	wti closes above 73 on june 18 2026	No	BUY	51	20¢	$10	0x7bc5c8…
06-18 07:23:49	wti closes above 72 on june 18 2026	No	SELL	104	9¢	$9	0x2f64e2…
06-18 05:23:52	wti closes above 72 on june 18 2026	No	BUY	104	10¢	$10	0x9261e9…
06-18 03:07:17	will xauusd reach 4400 by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	28	43¢	$12	0x62f2b6…
06-17 15:20:34	will xauusd reach 4400 by june 15 2026	No	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xce26b5…
06-16 01:01:48	will xauusd reach 4450 by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	72	17¢	$12	0xaa144c…
06-15 18:51:34	will xauusd reach 4450 by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	72	28¢	$20	0x8c5f8a…
06-15 04:07:48	will xauusd dip to 4200 by june 15 2026	No	BUY	70	39¢	$27	0x3ce636…
06-15 00:47:12	will xauusd dip to 3900 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	200	5¢	$11	0x92d3b2…
06-14 15:11:43	bitcoin above 62k on june 16 2026	No	BUY	80	13¢	$10	0xfd1668…
06-14 11:04:51	bitcoin up or down on june 14 2026	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xd639cd…
06-14 06:08:01	bitcoin above 62k on june 16 2026	No	BUY	110	9¢	$10	0xe33ca5…
06-12 05:37:48	will xauusd dip to 3900 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$39	0xb4761f…
06-10 16:08:28	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	SELL	198	8¢	$16	0x939e50…
06-10 12:51:18	xauusd up or down on june 10 2026	Up	SELL	430	2¢	$9	0xecb1f4…
06-10 12:48:06	will xauusd dip to 4100 by june 8 2026	No	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0x28d3cb…
06-10 12:27:01	will xauusd dip to 4100 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x82736f…
06-10 08:20:31	xauusd up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	430	7¢	$30	0xcfeec0…
06-10 08:06:21	will xauusd dip to 4150 by june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x29c1f2…
06-10 08:04:31	xauusd up or down on june 10 2026	Up	SELL	251	7¢	$18	0x6ef453…
06-10 07:32:06	will xauusd dip to 4150 by june 8 2026	Yes	SELL	72	34¢	$24	0xbcf3a2…
06-10 07:31:43	xauusd up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	251	12¢	$30	0xce684e…
06-10 07:14:09	will xauusd dip to 4150 by june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	72	42¢	$30	0x500f21…
06-10 05:13:10	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	BUY	198	10¢	$20	0x528729…
06-09 14:11:51	xagusd up or down on june 9 2026	Up	SELL	35	35¢	$12	0x44e655…
06-09 10:01:03	will xauusd dip to 4200 by june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	300	5¢	$15	0xcc2003…
06-09 03:16:00	xagusd up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xc439c5…
06-09 03:13:55	xagusd up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x4742a0…
06-08 16:53:24	xagusd up or down on june 8 2026	Up	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0xb7fffd…
06-08 09:00:07	xauusd up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xfeedaa…
06-08 05:38:01	xagusd up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x3e132d…
06-05 15:02:21	bitcoin above 60k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	47	11¢	$5	0x84c7b4…
06-05 13:46:15	will xauusd dip to 4100 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xae073c…
06-05 13:35:33	will xauusd dip to 4100 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0xa9f2c8…
06-05 13:34:15	will xauusd dip to 4400 by june 1 2026	Yes	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xe969bf…
06-04 11:52:28	will xauusd dip to 4400 by june 1 2026	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x2db57b…
06-04 02:46:48	will xauusd dip to 4350 by june 1 2026	Yes	SELL	42	12¢	$5	0x2a68b9…
06-03 08:34:01	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,350 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x410a04…
06-03 03:16:29	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in June?	Yes	BUY	97	10¢	$10	0x38a306…
06-03 01:18:21	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	12¢	$2	0x7ce6c9…
06-02 23:41:58	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	71	6¢	$4	0xe0fe9d…
06-02 18:46:55	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xb3c186…
06-02 18:15:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of June 1 2026?	No	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x2d62b1…
06-02 18:12:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x6f52d9…
06-02 17:45:13	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,550 Week of June 1 2026?	No	SELL	30	43¢	$13	0x213ff0…
06-02 11:09:14	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,550 Week of June 1 2026?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf3f1ba…
06-02 06:44:46	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	40	17¢	$7	0x10d530…