Realized P&L
+$66
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
99.3%
Resolved
53
Trades
195
lifetime
Volume
$3.15K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$485
16 positions
First seen
2026-10-30
last 11-10 20:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
61% 100% +$19
Other
28% 96% +$46
Sports
9% — —
Tech
1% 100% +$0
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Crypto
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Illinois win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? No +84 $75 90¢ $75 $0 11-10 20:09
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +74 $73 99¢ $74 +$1 11-04 01:38
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +84 $73 86¢ $73 $0 11-09 15:50
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? No +58 $57 98¢ $57 +$0 11-09 15:43
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? No +54 $35 67¢ $36 +$2 10-30 03:17
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +41 $36 84¢ $35 -$1 11-03 09:14
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? No +35 $35 98¢ $35 $0 11-09 15:52
Will Loe Shimmy win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? No +24 $24 100¢ $24 $0 10-30 07:32
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? No +27 $23 86¢ $23 +$0 10-30 05:34
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +21 $16 84¢ $18 +$2 10-30 14:00
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? No +12 $12 99¢ $12 $0 11-09 15:50
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $75M and $100M by November 30? No +22 $7 40¢ $9 +$2 10-30 06:52
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between January 25 and January 31, 2027? No +7 $7 99¢ $7 $0 10-30 12:07
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026-27 NHL Atlantic Division? No +8 $7 80¢ $7 -$1 10-30 06:37
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 6%-9%? No +18 $16 6¢ $1 -$15 10-30 12:09
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No +11 $2 1¢ $0 -$2 11-04 01:37