Realized P&L
+$44
Unrealized P&L
+$23
Hit rate
93.8%
Resolved
85
Trades
1,117
lifetime
Volume
$4.61K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.28K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-26
last 10-29 09:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
57% 86% +$48
Politics
38% — —
Tech
4% — —
Sports
1% 0% -$3
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 882 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +190 $190 100¢ $190 +$0 10-28 11:10
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5,329 $83 2¢ $80 -$3 10-27 21:57
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,184 $75 4¢ $80 +$5 10-27 21:57
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +436 $79 18¢ $77 -$2 10-27 21:57
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +197 $76 38¢ $75 -$1 10-27 21:57
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +4,105 $78 2¢ $74 -$4 10-27 21:57
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,804 $71 2¢ $70 -$1 10-27 21:57
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +66 $65 100¢ $66 +$1 10-28 01:27
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +66 $61 99¢ $65 +$4 10-28 02:11
Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +65 $60 100¢ $65 +$5 10-28 12:00
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,907 $59 2¢ $58 -$1 10-27 21:57
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,871 $58 3¢ $56 -$2 10-27 21:57
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +50 $50 100¢ $50 +$0 10-27 19:13
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +101 $55 44¢ $44 -$11 10-28 10:10
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +88 $39 46¢ $40 +$1 10-28 10:52
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +49 $16 64¢ $31 +$15 10-28 03:43
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +50 $23 48¢ $24 +$1 10-28 19:34
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes -21 -$13 68¢ $-14 -$1 10-27 10:11
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +13 $13 99¢ $13 $0 10-28 16:10
Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +13 $11 99¢ $13 +$2 10-28 15:29
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? No +14 $11 87¢ $12 +$1 10-28 00:41
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +12 $3 100¢ $12 +$9 10-27 16:09
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No -19 -$13 61¢ $-12 +$1 10-27 10:11
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? No +10 $9 99¢ $10 +$0 10-28 21:49
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +11 $10 88¢ $10 -$1 10-29 09:47
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? No +10 $9 91¢ $9 $0 10-28 23:43
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No -29 -$9 32¢ $-9 +$0 10-27 10:11
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +29 $3 29¢ $8 +$5 10-29 02:22
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +11 $9 75¢ $8 $0 10-29 09:47
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? No +12 $10 68¢ $8 -$1 10-28 01:55