Realized P&L
+$52
Unrealized P&L
+$77
Hit rate
91.9%
Resolved
133
Trades
1,265
lifetime
Volume
$5.71K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$1.53K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-26
last 10-30 09:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
57% 85% +$44
Politics
34% 100% +$12
Sports
5% 0% -$3
Tech
4% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 882 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +190 $190 100¢ $190 +$0 10-28 11:10
Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +101 $86 99¢ $100 +$14 10-28 15:00
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +436 $79 18¢ $81 +$2 10-27 21:57
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,184 $75 4¢ $78 +$3 10-27 21:57
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +197 $76 39¢ $77 +$1 10-27 21:57
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5,329 $83 1¢ $77 -$6 10-27 21:57
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,804 $71 2¢ $70 -$1 10-27 21:57
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +4,105 $78 2¢ $70 -$8 10-27 21:57
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +66 $65 100¢ $66 +$1 10-28 01:27
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +66 $61 100¢ $66 +$4 10-28 02:11
Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +65 $60 100¢ $65 +$5 10-28 12:00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +89 $43 68¢ $61 +$18 10-29 19:46
Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +60 $50 99¢ $60 +$9 10-28 15:27
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,907 $59 2¢ $58 -$1 10-27 21:57
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,871 $58 3¢ $55 -$3 10-27 21:57
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +50 $50 100¢ $50 +$0 10-27 19:13
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +98 $38 48¢ $47 +$8 10-29 14:21
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +101 $55 40¢ $41 -$14 10-28 10:10
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +88 $39 44¢ $38 $0 10-28 10:52
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +29 $3 98¢ $28 +$25 10-29 02:22
Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +26 $19 99¢ $26 +$7 10-28 12:12
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +50 $23 50¢ $25 +$2 10-28 19:34
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? No +110 $18 15¢ $17 -$1 10-29 15:20
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes -21 -$13 64¢ $-14 $0 10-27 10:11
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +13 $13 100¢ $13 +$0 10-28 16:10
Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +13 $11 99¢ $13 +$2 10-28 15:29
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No -19 -$13 67¢ $-13 $0 10-27 10:11
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +16 $12 74¢ $12 +$0 10-29 20:36
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +12 $3 100¢ $12 +$9 10-27 16:09
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? No +12 $12 100¢ $12 +$0 10-28 01:55