(anonymous) 0x350475…f5a832
bot new 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$35
Unrealized P&L
+$69
Hit rate
91.0%
Resolved (30d)
108
Trades (30d)
1,256
1,255 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$5.49K
$5.46K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.52K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-26
last 10-29 20:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
56% 84% +$26
Politics
35% 100% +$12
Sports
5% 0% -$3
Tech
4% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 882 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +190 $190 100¢ $190 $0 10-28 11:10
Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +101 $86 97¢ $98 +$12 10-28 15:00
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5,329 $83 2¢ $80 -$3 10-27 21:57
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +197 $76 40¢ $79 +$3 10-27 21:57
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,184 $75 4¢ $79 +$4 10-27 21:57
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +436 $79 18¢ $77 -$2 10-27 21:57
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,804 $71 3¢ $72 +$1 10-27 21:57
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +4,105 $78 2¢ $70 -$8 10-27 21:57
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +66 $65 100¢ $66 +$1 10-28 01:27
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +66 $61 99¢ $66 +$4 10-28 02:11
Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +65 $60 100¢ $65 +$5 10-28 12:00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +89 $43 68¢ $60 +$17 10-29 19:46
Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +60 $50 99¢ $60 +$9 10-28 15:27
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,907 $59 2¢ $58 -$1 10-27 21:57
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,871 $58 3¢ $56 -$2 10-27 21:57
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +50 $50 100¢ $50 +$0 10-27 19:13
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +101 $55 41¢ $41 -$13 10-28 10:10
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +98 $38 38¢ $37 -$1 10-29 14:21
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +88 $39 41¢ $36 -$2 10-28 10:52
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +29 $3 98¢ $29 +$25 10-29 02:22
Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +26 $19 100¢ $26 +$7 10-28 12:12
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +50 $23 49¢ $24 +$1 10-28 19:34
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? No +110 $18 16¢ $18 +$1 10-29 15:20
Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +13 $11 99¢ $13 +$2 10-28 15:29
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? No +14 $11 90¢ $13 +$2 10-28 00:41
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +13 $13 99¢ $13 $0 10-28 16:10
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No -19 -$13 66¢ $-13 +$0 10-27 10:11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes -21 -$13 58¢ $-12 +$1 10-27 10:11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No -29 -$9 42¢ $-12 -$3 10-27 10:11
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +12 $3 100¢ $12 +$9 10-27 16:09