Realized P&L (24h)
+$33
Unrealized P&L
+$351
Hit rate
93.4%
Resolved (24h)
25
Trades (24h)
84
2,145 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$1.41K
$21.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$3.12K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-26
last 11-05 23:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
58% 84% +$312
Politics
33% 94% -$40
Sports
7% 0% -$29
Tech
2% 100% +$7
Crypto
1% 25% +$0
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 882 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +320 $315 98¢ $315 $0 11-03 01:11
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,184 $75 13¢ $283 +$208 10-27 21:57
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +367 $294 68¢ $248 -$46 11-04 14:27
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? No +150 $148 98¢ $147 -$1 11-05 17:08
Will the Winnipeg Jets be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? No +114 $114 100¢ $114 $0 11-03 09:14
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-11-06? No +110 $102 99¢ $109 +$7 11-04 22:16
Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? No +114 $109 95¢ $108 $0 11-03 09:14
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +101 $55 100¢ $101 +$46 10-28 10:10
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 +$0 11-05 17:08
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +98 $98 100¢ $98 +$0 11-04 21:12
Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? No +99 $93 96¢ $95 +$1 11-03 17:44
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-11-06? No +95 $22 99¢ $94 +$72 11-03 08:17
Will Viper have the most kills at Worlds 2026? No — +90 $90 99¢ $89 -$1 11-05 08:34
highest temperature in san francisco on november 6 2026 62 63f No +89 $89 100¢ $89 $0 11-05 07:04
Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist for 2026? No +88 $88 100¢ $88 $0 11-05 00:40
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +89 $43 99¢ $88 +$45 10-29 19:46
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +436 $79 20¢ $85 +$6 10-27 21:57
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%? No +76 $68 99¢ $76 +$8 11-04 01:39
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix? No +100 $39 76¢ $76 +$36 11-03 02:34
Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat? No +83 $42 90¢ $74 +$33 10-30 18:19
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +197 $76 38¢ $74 -$2 10-27 21:57
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,804 $71 3¢ $72 +$1 10-27 21:57
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-35 House election by 12% or more? No +140 $119 50¢ $71 -$48 11-03 19:27
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5,329 $83 1¢ $69 -$14 10-27 21:57
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +98 $38 70¢ $69 +$31 10-29 14:21
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +4,105 $78 2¢ $68 -$10 10-27 21:57
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,871 $58 3¢ $64 +$6 10-27 21:57
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KY-03 House election by 25%-30%? No +77 $76 72¢ $55 -$21 11-05 02:25
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +67 $60 80¢ $54 -$7 11-03 16:57
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027? No +50 $50 100¢ $50 +$0 11-01 22:04