(anonymous) 0x350475…f5a832
bot new 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$56
Unrealized P&L
+$63
Hit rate
91.5%
Resolved (90d)
174
Trades (90d)
1,549
1,549 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$8.82K
$8.82K lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$1.69K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-26
last 10-31 11:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
55% 85% +$42
Politics
37% 100% +$12
Sports
3% 0% -$3
Tech
3% 100% +$6
Crypto
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 882 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +190 $190 100¢ $190 +$0 10-28 11:10
Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +101 $86 98¢ $99 +$13 10-28 15:00
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +436 $79 20¢ $88 +$9 10-27 21:57
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026? No +80 $80 100¢ $80 +$0 10-31 10:10
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,184 $75 4¢ $80 +$5 10-27 21:57
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5,329 $83 1¢ $77 -$6 10-27 21:57
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +197 $76 38¢ $74 -$2 10-27 21:57
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,804 $71 2¢ $70 -$1 10-27 21:57
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +4,105 $78 2¢ $70 -$8 10-27 21:57
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +66 $65 100¢ $66 +$1 10-28 01:27
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +66 $61 99¢ $66 +$4 10-28 02:11
Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +65 $60 100¢ $65 +$5 10-28 12:00
Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +60 $50 99¢ $59 +$9 10-28 15:27
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +89 $43 65¢ $58 +$15 10-29 19:46
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,871 $58 3¢ $55 -$3 10-27 21:57
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +50 $50 100¢ $50 +$0 10-27 19:13
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,907 $59 2¢ $48 -$11 10-27 21:57
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +101 $55 44¢ $44 -$11 10-28 10:10
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +98 $38 44¢ $43 +$5 10-29 14:21
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +88 $39 47¢ $42 +$3 10-28 10:52
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +35 $31 87¢ $30 $0 10-31 07:37
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026? No +30 $27 98¢ $29 +$3 10-30 18:49
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan? No — +29 $29 100¢ $29 $0 10-30 23:15
Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? No — +29 $29 99¢ $29 $0 10-30 23:08
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +29 $3 98¢ $29 +$25 10-29 02:22
Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No — +27 $26 99¢ $27 +$0 10-31 02:14
Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +26 $19 100¢ $26 +$7 10-28 12:12
Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio? No — +23 $23 100¢ $23 $0 10-31 07:37
Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas? No — +23 $23 100¢ $23 $0 10-31 07:37
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio? No — +23 $23 99¢ $23 +$0 10-31 07:37