Realized P&L (7d)
+$50
Unrealized P&L
+$65
Hit rate
91.8%
Resolved (7d)
137
Trades (7d)
1,322
1,322 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$6.69K
$6.69K lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$1.54K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-26
last 10-30 15:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
61% 84% +$41
Politics
30% 100% +$12
Sports
4% 0% -$3
Tech
4% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 882 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +190 $190 100¢ $190 +$0 10-28 11:10
Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +101 $86 99¢ $100 +$14 10-28 15:00
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +436 $79 19¢ $84 +$5 10-27 21:57
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +197 $76 39¢ $77 +$1 10-27 21:57
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5,329 $83 1¢ $77 -$6 10-27 21:57
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,184 $75 4¢ $76 +$2 10-27 21:57
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,804 $71 2¢ $70 -$1 10-27 21:57
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +4,105 $78 2¢ $70 -$8 10-27 21:57
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +66 $65 100¢ $66 +$1 10-28 01:27
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +66 $61 99¢ $66 +$4 10-28 02:11
Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +65 $60 100¢ $65 +$5 10-28 12:00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +89 $43 71¢ $63 +$20 10-29 19:46
Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +60 $50 99¢ $60 +$9 10-28 15:27
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,871 $58 3¢ $55 -$3 10-27 21:57
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +50 $50 100¢ $50 +$0 10-27 19:13
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,907 $59 2¢ $48 -$11 10-27 21:57
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +98 $38 47¢ $46 +$8 10-29 14:21
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +101 $55 40¢ $41 -$14 10-28 10:10
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +88 $39 44¢ $39 +$0 10-28 10:52
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +29 $3 99¢ $29 +$25 10-29 02:22
Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +26 $19 98¢ $26 +$7 10-28 12:12
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? No +25 $20 100¢ $25 +$5 10-30 12:21
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +50 $23 48¢ $24 +$1 10-28 19:34
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? No +110 $18 14¢ $15 -$3 10-29 15:20
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes -21 -$13 64¢ $-14 $0 10-27 10:11
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No -19 -$13 68¢ $-13 $0 10-27 10:11
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +13 $13 100¢ $13 +$0 10-28 16:10
Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +13 $11 99¢ $13 +$2 10-28 15:29
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +16 $12 74¢ $12 +$0 10-29 20:36
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +17 $12 72¢ $12 +$0 10-29 20:36