Hideous-Toughguy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$523

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.5%

Resolved

Trades

997

lifetime

Volume

$45.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 07-20 09:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

88% 75% +$523

Other

12% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	14	$3.2K	3,749	3,593	+156	open	—	04-03 15:43
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	39	$2.4K	1,674	1,261	+412	open	—	05-29 19:48
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	18	$2.3K	4,639	4,466	+173	open	—	04-07 22:33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	20	$1.7K	609	1,501	-892	open	—	07-19 18:25
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	20	$1.6K	1,088	812	+276	open	—	04-06 02:22
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	25	$1.3K	1,023	840	+183	open	—	05-28 19:35
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	10	$1.3K	819	819	+0	open	—	05-23 14:10
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	10	$1.1K	228	1,011	-783	open	—	07-19 18:25
russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	12	$1.1K	633	639	-6	open	—	07-19 18:23
iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	15	$990	606	659	-53	open	—	06-19 02:45
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	5	$985	180	969	-788	open	—	07-20 09:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	10	$968	673	673	+0	Yes	+$3	05-04 18:50
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	9	$830	208	1,376	-1,168	open	—	07-20 09:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	11	$773	990	341	+649	Yes	+$420	05-09 13:15
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	9	$769	491	496	-5	open	—	07-18 18:56
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	10	$722	181	737	-556	open	—	07-18 18:56
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	28	$707	504	630	-127	open	—	06-18 20:01
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	3	$706	125	606	-481	open	—	06-06 14:50
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	29	$675	707	707	+0	open	—	04-22 03:00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	10	$665	582	182	+399	open	—	05-29 17:59
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	11	$650	468	468	+0	open	—	05-23 15:39
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	4	$574	302	302	+0	open	—	05-23 20:34
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	7	$572	436	363	+74	open	—	05-23 15:03
russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	7	$549	395	395	+0	open	—	07-19 18:25
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	4	$524	334	313	+21	open	—	04-28 13:54
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	23	$487	510	510	+0	open	—	07-20 09:55
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	16	$484	470	72	+398	open	—	05-14 06:39
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?	3	$483	56	440	-384	open	—	06-29 19:28
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?	4	$452	42	415	-373	open	—	06-29 19:27
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	13	$441	284	284	+0	No	$-11	05-04 15:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 09:55:55	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	SELL	195	39¢	$76	0xd86222…
07-20 09:55:55	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	442	58¢	$257	0xb59b13…
07-20 09:55:55	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,120	50¢	$560	0xb07dfb…
07-20 09:55:55	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by september 30 2026	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xae0d21…
07-20 09:55:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	40	60¢	$24	0x61fd03…
07-20 09:55:54	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	805	86¢	$691	0x47b7a2…
07-20 09:54:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	30	60¢	$18	0x67d0cb…
07-19 18:26:46	trump meets with putin by december 31	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xde5df0…
07-19 18:25:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	233	79¢	$184	0xd85751…
07-19 18:25:52	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	SELL	363	66¢	$240	0xf495bf…
07-19 18:25:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	156	69¢	$108	0xe7b704…
07-19 18:25:28	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	SELL	399	39¢	$156	0xea41d0…
07-19 18:25:25	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	11	88¢	$10	0x3d6671…
07-19 18:24:43	trump meets with putin by december 31	No	SELL	220	69¢	$152	0x37fbd3…
07-19 18:24:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	212	64¢	$136	0x93a1bd…
07-19 18:23:25	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	No	SELL	639	87¢	$556	0xd490d6…
07-19 18:23:25	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xbc2c26…
07-19 18:23:22	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	832	87¢	$727	0x90596e…
07-19 16:11:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	19	71¢	$13	0x120696…
07-19 15:02:45	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	BUY	87	40¢	$35	0x22771d…
07-18 20:33:24	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	BUY	47	44¢	$21	0xf35f1d…
07-18 18:56:46	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	737	81¢	$597	0xc3167c…
07-18 18:56:42	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	SELL	496	76¢	$377	0x3af4f2…
07-18 18:55:46	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	288	95¢	$273	0x69ce8f…
07-18 18:54:58	Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	No	SELL	243	90¢	$218	0x609137…
07-18 18:54:04	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	No	SELL	75	92¢	$69	0x552a58…
07-18 18:54:00	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547	No	SELL	62	45¢	$28	0xc5e90b…
07-18 18:53:57	will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026	No	SELL	42	80¢	$33	0x903c2a…
07-18 18:53:52	will russia capture kupiansk by december 31 2026	No	SELL	5	68¢	$4	0x4edefe…
07-18 17:20:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	23	72¢	$16	0x9fee61…
07-18 16:51:52	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x8e7668…
07-18 16:51:31	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876	No	BUY	66	65¢	$43	0x80879e…
07-17 14:14:15	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	No	SELL	6	89¢	$6	0x4e3c0f…
07-17 14:13:55	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	No	BUY	76	95¢	$72	0x5e0207…
07-16 21:14:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	34	78¢	$27	0x239572…
07-16 20:27:13	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	23	58¢	$13	0x1d6177…
07-16 20:26:53	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	35	58¢	$20	0x02bccf…
07-16 15:40:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	34	77¢	$27	0x3d5b0c…
07-16 11:39:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0xb802c5…
07-16 01:06:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	45	78¢	$35	0xbee315…
07-15 22:58:28	trump meets with putin by september 30	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0xc3a8ff…
07-15 22:00:49	will russia capture kupiansk by december 31 2026	No	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0xaedb2c…
07-15 20:41:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	585	79¢	$463	0x7ee71b…
07-15 19:50:20	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	46	57¢	$26	0x19d4e1…
07-15 12:36:26	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	BUY	26	65¢	$17	0xf04f14…
07-15 11:51:10	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	BUY	80	41¢	$33	0xc4b7de…
07-15 11:39:10	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	No	BUY	27	87¢	$24	0x3e2c42…
07-14 19:54:38	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	No	BUY	7	88¢	$7	0x586cf3…
07-14 15:14:50	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xce6dbd…
07-13 02:50:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$5	0xa0e883…
07-13 01:48:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xd29984…
07-13 01:45:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x4d9866…
07-12 09:59:37	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x55011c…
07-12 09:57:23	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	No	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0x0f4ce6…
07-12 05:09:35	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xbeda21…
07-12 04:46:22	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x3d8ece…
07-12 03:46:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	25	84¢	$21	0xbb4862…
07-12 00:32:50	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	14	55¢	$7	0xdadb8a…
07-11 23:59:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	52	84¢	$43	0x721f80…
07-11 23:15:28	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	8	57¢	$4	0xb1a4dd…
07-11 22:42:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	113	84¢	$95	0x3173d4…
07-11 22:27:19	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x921e60…
07-11 22:22:28	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	14	67¢	$9	0x7b6ef0…
07-11 22:16:28	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xf78dec…
07-11 19:15:28	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	No	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0x392650…
07-11 18:34:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	55	8¢	$4	0x8a1bf5…
07-11 18:33:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0x73f4be…
07-11 17:21:53	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	48	40¢	$19	0x6e11bc…
07-11 14:20:28	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	61	79¢	$48	0x660c78…
07-11 13:40:28	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	7	79¢	$5	0x501832…
07-11 13:10:28	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	13	79¢	$11	0x5c61f5…
07-11 12:38:44	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	7	79¢	$5	0x0edc5e…
07-10 21:58:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	45	23¢	$10	0x9f27d2…
07-10 21:53:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	45	25¢	$11	0x786351…
07-10 15:45:55	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547	No	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xdef643…
07-10 14:30:23	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0xe2eaf7…
07-09 00:37:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	113	84¢	$95	0xc703b3…
07-08 21:57:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	145	85¢	$123	0x1ed8eb…
07-08 13:29:44	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	21	69¢	$15	0xf4cc3b…
07-08 13:29:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	346	85¢	$294	0x74b571…
07-08 08:39:37	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xd77b00…
07-08 08:34:20	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	No	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x054764…
07-08 08:29:35	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xd6efc1…
07-08 08:23:11	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	36	46¢	$16	0x8acba7…
07-08 02:39:34	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x7166a4…
07-07 23:27:35	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0xa34092…
07-07 22:19:05	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xd052a0…
07-07 21:43:31	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	83	82¢	$68	0xe1b368…
07-07 21:40:31	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x9e247c…
07-07 21:19:47	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0xb5cc74…
07-07 21:13:20	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x089008…
07-07 19:46:52	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	No	BUY	27	70¢	$19	0x46c76b…
07-07 11:12:22	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0x4c968e…
07-06 21:11:49	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x988fa8…
07-06 21:11:31	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	No	SELL	54	84¢	$45	0x4a7102…
07-06 15:18:10	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x19cd87…
07-06 09:59:31	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0xbb0888…
07-05 22:06:28	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547	No	BUY	48	51¢	$24	0x7dfd73…
07-05 22:03:07	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547	No	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x5e26c2…
07-05 22:03:05	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547	No	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x8e804d…