Realized P&L
+$523
Unrealized P&L
-$110
Hit rate
80.5%
Resolved
4
Trades
864
lifetime
Volume
$37.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$44
Open exposure
$3.11K
26 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 06-29 21:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
88% 75% +$523
Other
12%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No -481 $-462 100¢ $-481 $-19 06-06 14:50
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? No -384 $-373 100¢ $-383 $-10 06-29 19:28
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30? No -373 $-371 100¢ $-372 $-2 06-29 19:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -207 $-191 100¢ $-207 $-16 05-31 09:42
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? No -185 $-184 100¢ $-184 $-1 06-29 19:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +233 $161 76¢ $176 +$14 06-15 14:17
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No -174 $-172 100¢ $-173 $-2 06-29 19:27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -199 $-177 86¢ $-172 +$5 06-24 17:36
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? No -142 $-139 100¢ $-142 $-3 06-06 14:51
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +181 $125 74¢ $133 +$8 06-04 22:43
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -127 $-10 100¢ $-127 $-117 06-18 20:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +212 $104 57¢ $122 +$17 06-15 06:33
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -98 $-96 100¢ $-97 $-2 06-14 07:04
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -87 $-86 100¢ $-87 $-2 06-13 08:14
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +90 $74 86¢ $77 +$2 06-08 07:44
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -75 $-34 50¢ $-37 $-3 06-27 07:02
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No -41 $-40 86¢ $-35 +$5 06-15 06:32
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? No -27 $-26 100¢ $-27 $-1 06-06 14:51
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No -24 $-20 89¢ $-22 $-2 06-13 08:13
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No -23 $-20 85¢ $-20 +$0 06-15 06:33
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +17 $19 88¢ $15 $-5 06-28 15:24
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -12 $-11 100¢ $-12 $-0 06-12 20:37
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -7 $-22 100¢ $-7 +$15 06-15 06:34
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No +5 $8 93¢ $5 $-4 06-20 12:12
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +0 $-10 99¢ $0 +$10 06-09 21:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +9 $-1 $0 +$1 06-26 11:38