Realized P&L
+$523
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
80.5%
Resolved
4
Trades
997
lifetime
Volume
$45.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$46
Open exposure
$3.74K
10 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 07-20 09:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
88% 75% +$523
Other
12%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No -788 $-671 88¢ $-698 $-26 07-20 09:55
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No -783 $-684 88¢ $-693 $-9 07-19 18:25
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -1,168 $-579 58¢ $-678 $-98 07-20 09:55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -892 $-721 72¢ $-638 +$83 07-19 18:25
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -556 $-472 76¢ $-425 +$47 07-18 18:56
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No -283 $-265 95¢ $-270 $-5 07-18 18:55
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No -266 $-238 89¢ $-237 +$1 07-18 18:54
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +90 $74 88¢ $79 +$5 06-08 07:44
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No -24 $-20 92¢ $-23 $-3 06-13 08:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +0 $1 $0 $-1 07-11 18:34