Realized P&L
+$523
Unrealized P&L
+$34
Hit rate
80.5%
Resolved
4
Trades
639
lifetime
Volume
$30.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$48
Open exposure
$2.46K
23 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 06-10 06:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
89% 75% +$523
Other
11%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No -481 $-462 98¢ $-473 $-12 06-06 14:50
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? No -384 $-372 98¢ $-376 $-4 06-06 14:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -207 $-191 94¢ $-194 $-3 05-31 09:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +255 $177 72¢ $185 +$7 06-05 06:27
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? No -142 $-139 99¢ $-141 $-1 06-06 14:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +249 $123 55¢ $136 +$12 06-05 02:58
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +181 $125 74¢ $133 +$8 06-04 22:43
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +127 $104 86¢ $109 +$5 06-08 07:43
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +96 $77 90¢ $86 +$9 05-29 19:48
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +88 $84 97¢ $85 +$1 06-09 23:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +101 $85 82¢ $83 $-2 05-28 19:40
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +125 $83 63¢ $79 $-5 06-09 14:58
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +89 $77 84¢ $76 $-1 05-28 19:40
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +90 $74 82¢ $74 $-0 06-08 07:44
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +54 $39 88¢ $48 +$9 06-10 06:37
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30? No +42 $41 97¢ $41 +$0 05-28 19:40
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No +33 $32 96¢ $32 +$0 05-28 19:39
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No +33 $30 92¢ $30 $-0 05-28 19:34
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +30 $25 89¢ $27 +$1 05-28 19:34
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? No -27 $-26 98¢ $-26 $-1 06-06 14:51
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +16 $15 98¢ $16 +$0 05-28 19:38
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? No -15 $-14 98¢ $-14 +$0 06-01 20:18
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +0 $-10 76¢ $0 +$10 06-09 21:16