Realized P&L (30d)
Unrealized P&L
-$19
Hit rate
Resolved (30d)
0
Trades (30d)
16
16 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$663
$663 lifetime
Avg / trade
$41
Open exposure
$590
12 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-10 02:01
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
75%
Other
25%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? No -142 $-133 99¢ $-140 $-7 05-07 09:26
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31? No +135 $116 89¢ $121 +$5 05-09 19:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +60 $46 78¢ $47 +$1 05-07 21:55
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +57 $48 80¢ $46 $-2 05-09 18:30
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No +51 $46 88¢ $45 $-0 05-09 18:56
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +51 $46 80¢ $41 $-5 05-09 18:35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? No -45 $-31 84¢ $-37 $-6 05-06 15:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -74 $-30 48¢ $-35 $-6 05-07 09:27
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? No +36 $27 84¢ $30 +$3 05-06 16:32
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? No +29 $27 88¢ $26 $-1 05-10 02:01
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No +15 $13 87¢ $13 $-0 05-09 19:32
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +13 $9 62¢ $8 $-1 05-09 18:40