Realized P&L
+$120
Unrealized P&L
+$47
Hit rate
64.2%
Resolved
4
Trades
783
lifetime
Volume
$14.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$773
9 positions
First seen
2026-04-13
last 07-23 22:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
91% 50% +$120
Other
9%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +197 $136 77¢ $151 +$15 06-15 14:17
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +132 $119 89¢ $117 $-2 07-19 18:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +173 $86 64¢ $110 +$24 06-05 02:58
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +147 $75 62¢ $92 +$17 07-22 16:38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +128 $109 70¢ $90 $-19 07-23 19:13
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +100 $88 88¢ $89 +$0 07-20 09:55
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +89 $60 76¢ $68 +$8 06-04 22:43
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +63 $52 88¢ $56 +$4 06-08 07:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +0 $1 $0 $-1 07-11 18:34