Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$120

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.2%

Resolved

Trades

838

lifetime

Volume

$17.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 08-04 12:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

89% 50% +$120

Other

11% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	26	$1.2K	725	796	-71	open	—	08-04 12:50
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	14	$998	640	645	-5	open	—	08-04 12:31
russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	12	$940	551	557	-6	open	—	08-04 12:34
iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	15	$885	538	585	-47	open	—	06-19 02:45
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	29	$801	604	370	+235	open	—	05-29 19:48
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	26	$615	446	560	-114	open	—	06-18 20:01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	20	$454	377	271	+106	open	—	05-27 11:01
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	12	$454	292	292	+0	open	—	05-23 14:10
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	25	$361	655	551	+104	open	—	06-15 00:47
will russia capture vodianske by december 31 20260724162613572	7	$327	358	358	+0	open	—	08-04 12:32
russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	6	$321	400	0	+400	open	—	07-15 12:36
trump meets with putin by december 31	10	$311	225	225	+0	open	—	08-04 12:37
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	6	$305	132	209	-77	open	—	08-04 12:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	8	$303	197	197	+0	open	—	08-04 12:31
russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	12	$281	369	369	+0	open	—	08-04 12:50
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	28	$280	625	70	+555	open	—	08-04 10:02
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	10	$256	189	189	+0	open	—	06-15 03:37
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	8	$246	280	0	+280	open	—	05-29 17:22
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	16	$245	239	87	+151	open	—	07-12 09:59
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	12	$243	199	315	-116	open	—	08-04 12:33
will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	12	$238	385	0	+385	open	—	07-12 09:57
will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	7	$237	134	134	+0	open	—	08-04 12:32
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	17	$223	623	362	+261	open	—	06-18 19:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	12	$216	520	512	+8	open	—	06-26 11:38
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	8	$214	153	153	+0	open	—	05-23 15:39
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	3	$213	100	139	-39	open	—	08-04 12:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	11	$209	237	94	+144	Yes	+$94	05-09 13:15
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	7	$205	152	152	+0	open	—	05-29 15:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	7	$200	173	173	+0	open	—	08-04 12:32
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	4	$194	102	102	+0	open	—	05-23 20:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-04 12:50:15	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	SELL	369	36¢	$133	0x6b72d4…
08-04 12:50:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	214	80¢	$171	0x56ff08…
08-04 12:48:17	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547	No	SELL	68	63¢	$43	0x3a1c66…
08-04 12:37:33	trump meets with putin by december 31	No	SELL	225	72¢	$162	0xcf44b3…
08-04 12:37:26	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	209	89¢	$186	0x9367d8…
08-04 12:34:05	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	No	SELL	557	88¢	$490	0xe38b0d…
08-04 12:33:54	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	315	45¢	$142	0x5e270e…
08-04 12:32:57	will russia capture kupiansk by december 31 2026	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xd21d8e…
08-04 12:32:53	will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026	No	SELL	39	81¢	$32	0x1fc7c6…
08-04 12:32:47	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	No	SELL	73	90¢	$66	0x802f1c…
08-04 12:32:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	173	66¢	$114	0x6696e2…
08-04 12:32:17	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x1a2082…
08-04 12:32:09	will russia capture vodianske by december 31 20260724162613572	No	SELL	358	41¢	$146	0x66ceba…
08-04 12:32:00	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	131	80¢	$105	0xdcdde4…
08-04 12:31:54	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	SELL	645	76¢	$490	0x2b900d…
08-04 12:31:38	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	139	90¢	$125	0x17ace7…
08-04 12:31:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	197	85¢	$167	0x3b462d…
08-04 10:02:18	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xf5e31d…
08-04 07:29:50	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	14	38¢	$5	0x691dc9…
08-02 18:39:45	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	13	44¢	$6	0x60e941…
08-02 07:46:35	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xa19473…
08-02 06:14:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	72	81¢	$58	0xe4a172…
07-31 21:27:57	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	BUY	41	78¢	$32	0xd6319d…
07-31 21:01:53	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xe0d6c5…
07-31 21:01:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	49	30¢	$15	0x31f3a4…
07-31 20:57:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0xb05d55…
07-31 10:18:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	35	57¢	$20	0xf3e3c2…
07-31 10:07:47	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	43¢	$4	0x138fc6…
07-31 01:55:12	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x8c22bc…
07-30 18:44:20	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x079cc1…
07-30 17:00:24	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0xf8760e…
07-29 11:50:56	will russia capture vodianske by december 31 20260724162613572	No	BUY	68	47¢	$32	0x96d976…
07-27 19:06:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	43	77¢	$33	0xc7a93b…
07-27 16:29:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	23	56¢	$13	0x43ca64…
07-27 15:25:34	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	53	43¢	$23	0xdec8d2…
07-27 10:50:37	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	34	51¢	$17	0x96155e…
07-27 09:19:36	will russia capture vodianske by december 31 20260724162613572	No	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x991a33…
07-26 14:12:03	will russia capture vodianske by december 31 20260724162613572	No	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x31184a…
07-26 14:12:01	will russia capture vodianske by december 31 20260724162613572	No	BUY	122	49¢	$60	0x99914b…
07-26 13:39:43	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0x2fc67f…
07-26 11:48:24	will russia capture vodianske by december 31 20260724162613572	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb5f822…
07-26 11:48:24	will russia capture vodianske by december 31 20260724162613572	No	BUY	63	54¢	$34	0x2a3315…
07-26 01:35:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	67	75¢	$50	0xbd5592…
07-26 00:13:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	63	76¢	$48	0x6b9c39…
07-25 23:31:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	84	76¢	$64	0x1ff1d1…
07-25 22:08:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xd65fe2…
07-25 21:37:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x6f0de2…
07-25 21:30:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x7a667c…
07-25 21:22:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	11	44¢	$5	0x3e524a…
07-25 21:22:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	23	45¢	$10	0x04ee4d…
07-25 01:15:06	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x5df721…
07-24 21:56:07	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	BUY	22	75¢	$16	0x6b4362…
07-24 21:04:33	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xf79e39…
07-24 19:35:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	44	71¢	$31	0x69542d…
07-24 17:32:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0xdf2565…
07-23 22:02:55	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	BUY	44	77¢	$34	0x6e23bd…
07-23 19:13:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0x454a53…
07-23 15:43:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896	Yes	BUY	31	36¢	$11	0x8f179e…
07-23 12:44:48	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	BUY	35	78¢	$28	0x6378e2…
07-22 16:38:09	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	51	57¢	$29	0x391ef9…
07-22 16:19:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x5cd4d3…
07-22 16:19:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	Yes	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0x0ca63c…
07-22 14:03:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	SELL	43	56¢	$24	0x9df48d…
07-22 08:35:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x160707…
07-22 02:09:42	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547	No	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x51d79a…
07-21 20:13:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	BUY	43	63¢	$27	0x0fa0c5…
07-21 19:54:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	Yes	BUY	67	48¢	$32	0x5e8318…
07-21 18:37:45	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	SELL	69	20¢	$14	0xfc55cf…
07-21 17:14:54	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x023c26…
07-21 17:03:00	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x9d0d18…
07-21 16:52:00	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x0b9533…
07-21 05:17:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	40	64¢	$25	0x937e0c…
07-20 16:21:49	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xebe195…
07-20 16:21:22	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xcef82b…
07-20 11:37:39	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x2d87af…
07-20 09:55:57	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xe4d278…
07-20 09:54:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	29	60¢	$17	0x1da86e…
07-19 18:23:25	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0xee7a48…
07-19 16:11:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	22	71¢	$15	0x8901e6…
07-19 15:02:45	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x4247fe…
07-18 20:33:24	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0xda0ba2…
07-18 20:33:24	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	BUY	26	45¢	$12	0x5f5376…
07-18 17:20:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	22	72¢	$16	0x4a1dbb…
07-18 16:51:52	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x6f9250…
07-18 16:51:31	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876	No	BUY	64	65¢	$41	0xb5697e…
07-17 14:14:15	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0xba6c88…
07-17 14:13:55	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	No	BUY	73	95¢	$70	0xd2739d…
07-16 21:14:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	33	78¢	$26	0x14ca4b…
07-16 20:27:13	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0x933eef…
07-16 20:26:53	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xc379cd…
07-16 15:40:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	33	77¢	$26	0x88cd48…
07-16 11:39:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	13	58¢	$8	0xa163d2…
07-16 01:06:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	44	78¢	$34	0xc2cd72…
07-15 22:58:28	trump meets with putin by september 30	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x4ab8d7…
07-15 22:00:49	will russia capture kupiansk by december 31 2026	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x1d5161…
07-15 20:41:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	320	79¢	$253	0xfdcfff…
07-15 19:50:20	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x52ada8…
07-15 12:36:26	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	BUY	25	65¢	$16	0x486925…
07-15 11:51:11	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	BUY	77	41¢	$31	0x09566a…
07-15 11:39:10	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	No	BUY	26	87¢	$23	0xadcb80…