Realized P&L
+$120
Unrealized P&L
+$40
Hit rate
64.2%
Resolved
4
Trades
448
lifetime
Volume
$6.66K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$698
11 positions
First seen
2026-04-13
last 06-09 16:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
94% 50% +$120
Other
6%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +177 $123 72¢ $128 +$5 06-05 06:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +173 $86 55¢ $95 +$9 06-05 02:58
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +85 $83 98¢ $83 +$0 05-31 11:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -70 $-64 94¢ $-66 $-1 05-31 09:42
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +89 $60 74¢ $65 +$5 06-04 22:43
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +67 $65 97¢ $65 +$0 06-09 23:06
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +70 $56 86¢ $61 +$5 06-02 17:34
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +65 $52 90¢ $59 +$7 05-29 19:48
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +63 $52 82¢ $52 $-0 06-08 07:44
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +27 $23 87¢ $23 +$1 06-08 07:43
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +0 $-8 74¢ $0 +$8 06-09 21:16