(anonymous) 0xef0d5a…397e94
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Realized P&L
+$120
Unrealized P&L
+$48
Hit rate
64.2%
Resolved
4
Trades
670
lifetime
Volume
$11.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$544
9 positions
First seen
2026-04-13
last 07-03 12:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
92% 50% +$120
Other
8% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +197 $136 76¢ $149 +$12 06-15 14:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +173 $86 60¢ $103 +$17 06-05 02:58
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +94 $83 90¢ $84 +$1 06-28 15:24
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +89 $60 78¢ $69 +$9 06-04 22:43
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +65 $58 88¢ $57 $-1 07-02 14:02
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +63 $52 86¢ $55 +$2 06-08 07:44
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +37 $16 58¢ $22 +$6 06-27 07:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -7 $-6 86¢ $-6 $-0 06-24 17:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +8 $-1 0¢ $0 +$1 06-26 11:38