Monthly-Slang — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$36

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

26.4%

Resolved

Trades

190

lifetime

Volume

$1.80K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$22

1 position

First seen

2026-01-13

last 06-15 02:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

62% 100% +$4

Politics

38% 0% $-40

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+48	$19	46¢	$22	+$3	06-14 19:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	6	$123	84	84	+0	open	—	04-05 08:35
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	5	$108	80	130	-50	open	—	04-20 16:50
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	3	$105	75	75	+0	open	—	04-27 18:14
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	6	$103	81	81	+0	open	—	03-27 18:05
russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 17	9	$88	142	27	+115	open	—	04-15 22:00
Will Russia capture Rodynske by April 30?	2	$82	55	55	+0	open	—	03-21 14:45
russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 2 2026	2	$63	41	41	+0	open	—	03-13 15:33
russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 3	4	$60	65	65	+0	open	—	04-03 21:39
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$58	109	68	+41	open	—	03-27 13:52
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 total 3pt5	6	$49	41	40	+1	open	—	04-07 19:41
lal bar ray 2026 03 22 total 3pt5	2	$47	40	40	+0	open	—	03-22 14:10
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	6	$43	85	22	+63	open	—	04-30 13:55
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	15	$41	484	484	+0	open	—	03-01 02:22
will russia capture all of drobysheve by march 31	2	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	03-21 14:16
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$35	24	24	+0	open	—	03-01 08:06
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	3	$32	1,400	0	+1,400	open	—	04-24 20:07
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	2	$32	70	0	+70	open	—	04-21 14:28
ucl liv1 gal 2026 03 18 total 3pt5	2	$29	19	19	+0	open	—	03-18 21:42
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$28	17	17	+0	open	—	04-05 08:35
efl ars mnc 2026 03 22 ars win	2	$28	19	19	+0	open	—	03-22 17:51
russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 9 2026	3	$24	47	12	+34	open	—	03-17 13:56
lal bil bet 2026 03 22 bil	2	$22	43	43	+0	open	—	03-22 18:02
will russia enter sofiivka by february 28	2	$21	13	13	+0	open	—	02-04 15:21
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$21	34	34	+0	open	—	03-30 19:11
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$20	23	23	+0	open	—	03-25 18:36
russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 31	6	$20	69	69	+0	open	—	04-01 05:16
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 mnc1	2	$20	15	15	+0	open	—	03-17 22:25
russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 23	3	$20	25	25	+0	open	—	03-22 10:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$20	50	0	+50	Yes	$-20	05-08 18:43
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	1	$20	44	0	+44	Yes	$-20	05-07 16:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 02:42:13	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?	Yes	SELL	11	48¢	$5	0x9ef82d…
06-14 19:59:16	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	40¢	$19	0x574dc7…
06-14 19:58:49	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xd92127…
06-14 19:58:46	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0xa01514…
06-08 21:42:36	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in june 2026	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe72130…
05-11 20:02:52	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xb413f9…
05-11 16:29:06	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x434d11…
05-11 16:16:33	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x7cdc07…
05-11 15:35:42	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xaff2f4…
05-11 15:35:24	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	294	2¢	$5	0x4da4ae…
05-11 13:51:27	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x5c3f86…
05-11 13:50:14	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xe35f5f…
05-08 18:43:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xb6e081…
05-08 18:42:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x1c0f19…
05-07 16:51:44	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x5f5a37…
05-06 21:36:30	KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Avangard Omsk	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x034df9…
05-06 12:01:18	KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Avangard Omsk	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xece708…
05-03 18:51:24	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	3¢	$2	0x800f02…
05-03 18:49:18	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x9df797…
05-03 11:10:36	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xbf1056…
04-30 13:55:06	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x116422…
04-30 10:43:12	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$19	0x2cb0d9…
04-30 10:42:42	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbbf594…
04-30 10:42:40	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0a5ebd…
04-29 07:35:46	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xc078b3…
04-29 07:35:14	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xa81aa7…
04-27 18:14:56	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0x01bf89…
04-27 16:11:02	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x3455c9…
04-27 13:05:06	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x186252…
04-24 20:07:06	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4bc6dc…
04-21 14:28:28	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0xc820fe…
04-20 20:21:08	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	300	2¢	$5	0x181838…
04-20 18:25:52	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x2d1098…
04-20 17:10:02	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	200	8¢	$15	0x7efbc6…
04-20 16:50:46	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	97	85¢	$83	0x3debe7…
04-20 14:18:30	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0xe4e2aa…
04-15 22:00:44	russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 17	No	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x204a8e…
04-15 06:26:00	russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 17	No	BUY	44	48¢	$21	0x13a202…
04-15 06:13:20	russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 17	No	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x3456b7…
04-15 06:07:46	russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 17	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb43ba3…
04-15 01:12:50	russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 17	Yes	SELL	9	75¢	$7	0xd587d1…
04-15 01:11:52	russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 17	Yes	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0x679700…
04-14 23:09:22	russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 17	Yes	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xa4b8c4…
04-13 12:01:59	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	30¢	$9	0xbba15e…
04-12 21:08:49	russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 17	Yes	SELL	9	75¢	$7	0x0dfa9a…
04-12 19:55:15	russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 17	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xe6d6f5…
04-07 19:41:59	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0xe84b31…
04-07 19:40:23	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0x59fd81…
04-07 19:39:57	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0xc9c0ee…
04-07 19:38:17	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0xdfb8f2…
04-07 12:41:21	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	39¢	$9	0x6d4ec2…
04-07 09:04:31	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xa35f17…
04-07 08:58:45	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x5a1f23…
04-07 08:54:43	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x3d5f51…
04-05 23:15:43	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x112ccf…
04-05 08:35:19	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xc4101b…
04-05 08:35:13	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x4be4c7…
04-04 21:34:43	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0xc40e56…
04-03 21:39:35	russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 3	Yes	SELL	16	6¢	$1	0xf6a2d4…
04-03 20:20:15	russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 3	Yes	SELL	16	35¢	$6	0x793af4…
04-03 19:37:01	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	26	84¢	$22	0xda4910…
04-03 07:50:11	russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 3	Yes	SELL	32	68¢	$22	0x547635…
04-02 19:26:25	russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 3	Yes	BUY	65	48¢	$31	0x2af1be…
04-02 19:26:11	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	49	63¢	$31	0x2b2f0f…
04-01 16:16:09	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x4afece…
04-01 05:16:17	russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 31	Yes	SELL	69	2¢	$1	0x5c6a7c…
03-31 20:21:39	khl akb tra 2026 03 31	Traktor	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0xe886d4…
03-31 15:02:13	khl avt sal 2026 03 31	Salavat Yulaev Ufa	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xebde5f…
03-30 19:12:37	russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 31	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x7f7e0c…
03-30 19:12:03	russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 31	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5d38e8…
03-30 19:11:45	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	SELL	38	1¢	$1	0x1b23b4…
03-30 19:11:41	will russia enter verkhnia tersa by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	29	0¢	$0	0x9ed4d8…
03-30 19:11:39	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	34	2¢	$1	0x9f0352…
03-30 19:11:37	will russia capture toretske by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0x3cc2cd…
03-30 19:11:15	russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 31	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x7a60ee…
03-30 19:10:27	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x0eff34…
03-30 15:47:43	khl hcd din 2026 03 30	Dinamo Minsk	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x41a18d…
03-30 15:44:17	khl akb tra 2026 03 31	Traktor	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xc9fc16…
03-30 01:35:40	russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 31	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x6b0f62…
03-30 01:30:44	russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 31	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x213162…
03-29 10:39:56	khl tra akb 2026 03 29	Traktor	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x19512c…
03-29 00:07:18	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	17	67¢	$11	0x72f025…
03-28 19:15:12	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0x044570…
03-27 18:05:13	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	SELL	69	66¢	$45	0xe44a86…
03-27 18:00:13	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	SELL	12	66¢	$8	0xc8ecc6…
03-27 13:52:55	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	41	30¢	$12	0x18a8ce…
03-27 13:52:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	27	20¢	$5	0xcdef5d…
03-27 11:51:07	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	19	62¢	$12	0x6e3ff0…
03-26 03:52:23	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in march 928	Yes	SELL	19	20¢	$4	0xf49e89…
03-25 19:23:45	russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 27 387	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x491d64…
03-25 18:49:25	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in march 928	Yes	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0xbb9ab4…
03-25 18:36:45	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	23	45¢	$10	0x0fe6c2…
03-23 14:16:39	will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	Yes	SELL	4	41¢	$1	0x659729…
03-23 11:59:05	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	24¢	$7	0x6cf794…
03-23 11:55:27	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0x2d0d04…
03-23 11:54:39	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x1604c1…
03-23 11:43:17	cs2 prv vit 2026 03 23	PARIVISION	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x851ae0…
03-23 10:00:59	will russia enter verkhnia tersa by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x35491f…
03-23 05:42:37	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in march 928	Yes	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0xfaeaaf…
03-22 18:02:05	lal bil bet 2026 03 22 bil	No	SELL	43	28¢	$12	0x719fec…