Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
107
lifetime
Volume
$2.13K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$310
18 positions
First seen
2026-05-23
last 06-09 01:58
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
55%
Other
30%
Crypto
14%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $39 82¢ $41 +$2 05-30 12:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $36 68¢ $34 $-2 06-04 02:14
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +29 $22 86¢ $25 +$3 06-01 01:26
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +50 $28 48¢ $24 $-4 05-30 01:26
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30? No +20 $19 96¢ $19 +$0 06-03 23:43
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +20 $16 88¢ $18 +$2 06-05 15:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -21 $-12 82¢ $-17 $-5 05-28 02:34
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +15 $14 90¢ $14 +$0 06-05 16:32
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30? No +15 $13 86¢ $13 $-0 06-07 05:11
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +15 $13 86¢ $13 $-0 06-06 22:47
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +15 $13 86¢ $13 $-0 06-09 01:19
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30? No +15 $13 84¢ $13 $-1 06-07 05:11
Tony Gonzales charged by June 30? No +15 $14 81¢ $12 $-1 06-07 20:04
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30? No +15 $13 80¢ $12 $-1 06-07 04:42
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +15 $11 80¢ $12 +$1 05-30 12:21
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No +15 $12 78¢ $12 +$0 06-07 07:18
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 06-03 23:56
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31? No +10 $9 87¢ $9 $-0 06-03 23:43