Original-Physiology-Savannah — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$107

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.5%

Resolved

138

Trades

556

lifetime

Volume

$9.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-23

last 07-31 10:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Other

67% 74% +$275

Politics

24% 58% -$80

Tech

6% 100% +$2

Crypto

3% 67% -$88

Sports

0% 90% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-31).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	29	$1.9K	1,978	7	+1,971	No	+$77	07-15 01:24
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	33	$1.4K	1,345	220	+1,125	No	+$73	06-30 05:21
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?	2	$513	515	0	+515	No	+$2	07-04 13:59
will russia capture pokrovka by july 31	11	$469	505	29	+476	Yes	+$9	07-15 16:39
will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	59	$467	481	203	+278	No	+$62	07-31 10:35
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	2	$310	311	0	+311	No	+$1	05-31 23:05
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	43	$250	155	155	+0	Yes	+$6	07-26 07:22
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	21	$224	127	127	+0	Yes	+$10	07-26 07:22
will trump restart project freedom by june 30	5	$188	111	111	+0	Yes	-$3	06-10 18:49
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$179	100	100	+0	Yes	+$1	06-01 00:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	4	$158	100	100	+0	Yes	+$6	06-14 18:24
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?	2	$128	100	100	+0	No	-$8	05-23 14:17
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	8	$117	158	50	+109	No	-$93	06-01 15:21
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	3	$111	58	58	+0	No	+$4	05-31 03:18
will russia capture pokrovka by december 31	1	$96	97	0	+97	Yes	+$1	07-14 14:24
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	3	$80	44	44	+0	No	+$8	05-30 01:13
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	10	$74	40	40	+0	No	$0	07-17 17:31
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	2	$70	50	50	+0	Yes	-$6	05-31 03:18
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	7	$68	48	48	+0	Yes	+$1	06-08 23:39
will russia enter novooleksandrivka by june 30 2026	4	$66	79	0	+79	No	+$13	06-29 05:08
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	2	$65	36	36	+0	Yes	+$2	05-23 14:17
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	10	$61	65	0	+65	No	+$3	07-14 07:02
Will Russia enter Moskovka by May 31?	2	$59	60	0	+60	No	+$1	05-31 23:29
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	3	$58	30	30	+0	No	+$2	06-07 22:04
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$57	32	32	+0	Yes	-$3	06-14 18:24
will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 19	3	$53	57	0	+57	No	+$4	07-18 08:16
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	3	$51	28	28	+0	No	+$4	06-01 01:29
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	2	$51	29	29	+0	No	+$7	06-30 03:53
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	4	$51	50	50	+0	Yes	-$19	06-07 15:45
will russia enter novooleksandrivka by july 31 2026	5	$48	53	20	+33	Yes	-$3	07-22 20:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 10:35:29	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x6b9644…
07-31 10:33:12	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0x3ddfdb…
07-31 10:29:30	will russia capture orikhiv by september 30 2026	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xe59fc9…
07-31 10:28:54	will russia capture stavky by july 31	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3b38aa…
07-31 10:28:33	will russia capture bilytske by september 30 2026 564	Yes	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x8e860e…
07-31 10:28:11	will russia capture bilytske by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	15	22¢	$3	0xd61312…
07-31 10:27:41	will russia capture kozacha lopan by december 31 2026 20260630005737621	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x8c0853…
07-31 10:27:30	untitled market 1 20260630004444282	Yes	SELL	43	19¢	$8	0xe76f8c…
07-29 17:08:56	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x5271d9…
07-29 07:28:47	Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?	Yes	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0xffc072…
07-28 17:38:35	will russia capture dovha balka by september 30	Yes	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xe19fc3…
07-28 14:44:59	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x71415e…
07-27 21:03:25	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0x056413…
07-27 20:04:46	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	130	89¢	$116	0xddad0f…
07-27 20:04:34	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xddd435…
07-27 19:51:18	will russia enter ternuvate again by july 31	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x8c3d74…
07-27 11:42:27	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x186f01…
07-27 11:40:30	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x49922f…
07-27 10:00:04	will russia capture bilytske by september 30 2026 564	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x89fcd4…
07-27 09:59:15	will russia capture bilytske by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0xb816ee…
07-27 05:49:15	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0xe19443…
07-27 04:16:04	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x38dc3f…
07-27 01:07:19	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xdfffa7…
07-27 00:45:22	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	23	92¢	$22	0x730bef…
07-26 07:22:39	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0x968005…
07-26 07:22:13	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	SELL	35	75¢	$26	0xc6c565…
07-25 21:20:58	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x3d72a8…
07-25 20:03:09	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xabd76c…
07-25 16:16:10	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	SELL	75	94¢	$71	0xca0be0…
07-24 16:19:15	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x9044c3…
07-24 14:12:22	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xef7841…
07-24 13:01:10	will ukraine re enter hryshyne by july 31 20260604220043035	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xa35be4…
07-24 09:31:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	SELL	26	14¢	$4	0xa8bdbd…
07-23 14:23:55	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x58b164…
07-22 20:46:34	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0xf25452…
07-21 10:36:12	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x8fe59f…
07-20 20:31:16	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x948648…
07-20 18:29:40	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xc834b2…
07-20 14:49:10	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x035d2d…
07-19 16:56:03	untitled market 1 20260630004444282	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x4b9832…
07-19 10:21:42	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x4a9c7f…
07-18 12:50:57	untitled market 1 20260630004444282	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8fd2b9…
07-18 08:16:55	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 19	No	BUY	27	98¢	$27	0x92a053…
07-17 23:07:01	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x548a2b…
07-17 22:42:21	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xbe571c…
07-17 17:31:46	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xe2c865…
07-17 12:05:31	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1cf96a…
07-17 11:04:12	will russia capture kozacha lopan by december 31 2026 20260630005737621	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x21233f…
07-17 10:01:37	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd12b98…
07-17 09:16:33	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xbdf6f8…
07-16 19:01:53	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x1b9d80…
07-16 02:53:01	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x4f9869…
07-15 20:56:38	untitled market 1 20260630004444282	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x0c667f…
07-15 20:53:47	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	17	16¢	$3	0xfd222a…
07-15 20:53:37	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	SELL	14	94¢	$13	0x8c9036…
07-15 19:02:43	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xafd760…
07-15 16:39:31	will russia capture pokrovka by july 31	Yes	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0x750973…
07-15 16:38:41	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0xed73fb…
07-15 13:33:55	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0xce0eb8…
07-15 12:30:16	will ukraine re enter hryshyne by july 31 20260604220043035	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf90e05…
07-15 12:01:26	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x353417…
07-15 10:15:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0x17d146…
07-15 10:09:13	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xd15653…
07-15 10:08:53	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	17	26¢	$4	0xfa80f7…
07-15 08:07:59	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by september 30 2026 358	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xbd1a30…
07-15 02:14:31	will russia capture pokrovka by july 31	Yes	BUY	75	98¢	$74	0x13a868…
07-15 02:10:50	will russia capture pokrovka by july 31	Yes	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x2a3c73…
07-15 01:24:01	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0xbb240d…
07-15 00:51:59	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x13dc98…
07-15 00:51:53	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x459876…
07-15 00:51:44	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	90	96¢	$86	0x05bd2a…
07-15 00:51:40	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x336c38…
07-15 00:51:34	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xbb35ff…
07-15 00:51:23	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x3a7da7…
07-15 00:51:13	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xe2c94a…
07-14 19:03:22	will russia capture pokrovka by july 31	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xad34d2…
07-14 18:43:56	will russia enter ternuvate again by july 31	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x701371…
07-14 18:14:59	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	398	97¢	$386	0xac84bd…
07-14 14:31:38	will russia capture pokrovka by july 31	Yes	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0xcd2931…
07-14 14:31:14	will russia capture pokrovka by july 31	Yes	BUY	25	90¢	$23	0xdf2396…
07-14 14:30:04	will russia capture pokrovka by july 31	Yes	BUY	57	93¢	$53	0x8bef8b…
07-14 14:24:10	will russia capture pokrovka by december 31	Yes	BUY	97	98¢	$96	0x2f7632…
07-14 14:22:28	will russia capture pokrovka by july 31	Yes	BUY	205	97¢	$200	0x885f64…
07-14 14:21:35	will russia capture pokrovka by july 31	No	SELL	29	3¢	$1	0xae99d9…
07-14 14:19:02	will russia capture pokrovka by july 31	No	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x032195…
07-14 13:29:13	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xe687aa…
07-14 11:36:44	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 19	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xd6cc36…
07-14 10:52:40	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x437a3e…
07-14 10:19:17	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xb367ad…
07-14 10:14:53	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by september 30 2026 358	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xa6eaab…
07-14 08:37:38	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 19	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x97cc3c…
07-14 07:02:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x668801…
07-14 06:54:29	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x074b83…
07-14 06:35:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xcd7564…
07-14 06:16:07	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xc9e171…
07-14 06:14:32	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbbac40…
07-14 06:03:16	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x358a74…
07-14 06:02:07	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6d75e4…
07-14 05:25:16	will russia enter ternuvate again by july 31	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xf914d2…
07-14 05:08:47	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0xf562f2…