Realized P&L
-$816
Unrealized P&L
-$1.49K
Hit rate
36.3%
Resolved
6
Trades
3,950
lifetime
Volume
$1.38M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$349
Open exposure
$9.12K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 20:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
54% 33% $-904
Other
38% 100% +$79
Crypto
6% 100% +$9
Sports
2%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 154 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -5,171 $-4,806 92¢ $-4732 +$74 06-07 02:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +1,600 $1,310 84¢ $1.3K +$26 06-09 14:03
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +1,355 $1,324 98¢ $1.3K +$7 06-05 16:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +4,452 $1,592 16¢ $735 $-857 06-10 02:05
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -700 $-410 100¢ $-699 $-289 06-07 19:02
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No -500 $-100 34¢ $-167 $-67 05-29 15:13
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -722 $-51 16¢ $-116 $-65 06-05 15:21
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes +1,127 $264 $1 $-263 06-05 20:59
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +150 $54 $0 $-54 06-05 21:51