Unripe-Capon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$816

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.3%

Resolved

Trades

5,956

lifetime

Volume

$1.71M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$288

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-12 12:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

59% 33% $-904

Other

34% 100% +$79

Crypto

5% 100% +$9

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 283 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	179	$192.4K	121,940	101,766	+20,174	open	—	03-31 22:16
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	256	$117.2K	100,458	20,458	+80,000	open	—	03-28 19:24
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	68	$115.3K	60,355	58,355	+2,000	open	—	03-12 17:17
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	93	$104.4K	53,074	53,074	+0	open	—	01-29 23:16
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	113	$101.7K	51,340	51,473	-133	open	—	03-04 18:19
netanyahu out by march 31 854	83	$89.8K	77,625	77,625	+0	open	—	04-01 20:37
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	273	$72.3K	70,534	57,220	+13,314	open	—	06-17 02:33
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	101	$61.6K	29,828	39,829	-10,000	open	—	07-02 05:13
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	41	$42.0K	37,833	8,002	+29,831	open	—	04-07 22:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	127	$37.2K	32,480	29,789	+2,691	open	—	06-16 19:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	238	$31.1K	50,042	50,577	-534	open	—	05-29 15:45
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	38	$21.1K	45,032	35,038	+9,994	open	—	02-01 00:50
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	46	$19.3K	11,884	10,882	+1,002	open	—	04-15 23:27
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	27	$18.2K	10,834	10,834	+0	open	—	02-18 03:56
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$16.6K	16,733	0	+16,733	open	—	01-27 23:22
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	121	$16.5K	16,245	16,108	+137	open	—	05-29 18:59
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	14	$14.7K	7,632	7,632	+0	open	—	04-15 13:06
Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?	7	$13.9K	18,156	0	+18,156	open	—	01-25 15:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	129	$13.4K	16,129	16,129	+0	Yes	$-1,018	03-12 17:09
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	4	$13.3K	6,712	6,712	+0	open	—	04-28 23:45
no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	59	$13.2K	13,332	0	+13,332	open	—	01-21 03:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	51	$12.5K	14,500	9,364	+5,136	open	—	06-01 22:09
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	26	$11.7K	12,000	2,571	+9,429	open	—	06-02 22:08
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	6	$11.7K	6,000	6,000	+0	open	—	02-09 15:27
mwoh den lat 2026 02 15	9	$11.3K	20,991	0	+20,991	open	—	02-15 19:41
Fed rate hike in 2026?	37	$10.5K	7,625	7,625	+0	open	—	07-30 21:30
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	2	$10.2K	14,941	0	+14,941	open	—	02-08 01:28
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	121	$10.1K	13,598	12,969	+629	open	—	08-07 19:09
Will Tempo launch a token by March 31 2026?	2	$10.0K	5,005	5,005	+0	open	—	03-31 17:33
Will Ali Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	2	$9.9K	4,947	4,947	+0	open	—	03-17 23:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 13:20:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	160	3¢	$5	0x457e0e…
08-12 13:07:37	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	162	98¢	$159	0x9681fc…
08-12 12:47:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	Yes	SELL	69	1¢	$1	0x031422…
08-12 12:45:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0xf57679…
08-12 12:44:58	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xf15ffb…
08-12 12:36:34	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	542	23¢	$125	0x72a3cd…
08-12 12:04:16	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x495d4f…
08-12 11:48:27	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x66d707…
08-12 11:30:54	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x2f617c…
08-12 10:54:43	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xda4eac…
08-12 10:22:43	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	343	90¢	$309	0x721b44…
08-12 09:57:46	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x528704…
08-12 09:53:04	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xd48fb4…
08-12 09:30:18	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xfb54b1…
08-12 09:21:03	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xda80df…
08-12 06:35:48	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	16	90¢	$14	0x41e7c8…
08-12 06:29:03	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0x7dd7ff…
08-12 06:26:34	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x1a7b36…
08-12 02:39:03	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x092eb1…
08-12 00:36:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	Yes	SELL	31	2¢	$1	0x18f2ea…
08-12 00:31:21	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x126dfe…
08-12 00:30:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	Yes	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0xc0f55c…
08-11 23:54:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x5ced04…
08-11 23:54:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	154	4¢	$7	0x4f6178…
08-11 23:49:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	Yes	SELL	83	2¢	$2	0xdf0f79…
08-11 22:55:28	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	60	90¢	$54	0x1116ba…
08-11 22:47:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	800	97¢	$773	0x1b67c7…
08-11 22:36:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$8	0xd000e7…
08-11 21:45:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	BUY	114	63¢	$72	0x5aa62f…
08-11 21:44:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xb16359…
08-11 21:43:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	BUY	128	64¢	$82	0xe561d4…
08-11 21:17:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0x5d0305…
08-11 21:16:34	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	No	BUY	105	81¢	$85	0xbca168…
08-11 21:07:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$8	0x364f54…
08-11 21:06:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$6	0xf1c4d8…
08-11 21:04:37	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	2,000	95¢	$1,900	0xd28e85…
08-11 20:50:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0xa5bb7b…
08-11 19:19:07	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	Yes	BUY	86	26¢	$22	0xe01ded…
08-11 18:07:10	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x75259c…
08-11 17:55:09	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	Yes	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0x28f247…
08-11 17:19:19	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	Yes	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0xdcfd70…
08-11 14:58:19	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0x5f646a…
08-11 14:24:13	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	156	98¢	$153	0xf86e90…
08-11 14:12:34	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	600	36¢	$216	0x9601cc…
08-11 13:54:48	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	No	BUY	32	81¢	$26	0x59520f…
08-11 08:08:15	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,279	24¢	$1,027	0x286474…
08-11 06:42:06	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long 20260807064756494	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xad1d29…
08-11 00:22:46	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long 20260807064756494	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xa95c4f…
08-11 00:22:28	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long 20260807064756494	No	BUY	29	74¢	$21	0xb5f603…
08-11 00:22:07	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long 20260807064756494	No	BUY	60	74¢	$44	0xb9241d…
08-10 22:27:07	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long 20260807064756494	No	BUY	35	74¢	$26	0x1393d3…
08-10 22:07:09	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long 20260807064756494	No	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0x128182…
08-10 12:40:33	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	206	53¢	$109	0xcfbe6f…
08-10 11:22:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	700	3¢	$18	0x12a20b…
08-10 11:17:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	500	12¢	$60	0xf5c2b2…
08-10 09:40:18	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x0efbd0…
08-10 07:03:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	1,000	12¢	$120	0x2457e9…
08-10 05:59:15	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	183	53¢	$97	0xd8cda3…
08-09 20:13:37	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	76	53¢	$40	0xa6686f…
08-09 19:31:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x35e17a…
08-09 18:50:30	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x78c08b…
08-09 18:25:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$11	0x1c31ae…
08-09 18:14:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	600	60¢	$360	0x2b0cd6…
08-09 17:01:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	106	45¢	$48	0x19f861…
08-09 16:59:37	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	600	57¢	$342	0xc9364d…
08-09 15:45:04	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xa02e7a…
08-09 13:55:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	BUY	60	70¢	$42	0x7cd5a4…
08-09 13:30:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$7	0x8c871f…
08-09 10:32:09	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	43	53¢	$23	0xcb7bbb…
08-09 09:15:28	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x0863fd…
08-09 08:34:31	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	No	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0xb54dcb…
08-09 08:34:31	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	No	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0x7c90bd…
08-09 08:34:31	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	No	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0x278f0e…
08-09 08:21:09	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	No	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0xd897e3…
08-09 08:21:07	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	No	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0x1631a5…
08-09 08:21:06	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	No	BUY	1	81¢	$0	0x9a01c2…
08-09 08:05:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	305	4¢	$12	0x61efbf…
08-09 07:17:55	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x228850…
08-09 07:15:31	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	290	53¢	$154	0xafcd45…
08-09 06:47:03	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x133da4…
08-09 06:46:04	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xa90950…
08-09 06:45:31	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x052d4e…
08-09 06:45:01	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xe5bb7d…
08-09 06:39:13	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0x7238c5…
08-09 06:38:46	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xdf0c45…
08-09 06:37:46	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x4e7c69…
08-09 06:32:30	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xc66ab9…
08-09 06:31:30	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0x7b6cfa…
08-09 06:30:37	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x3739ef…
08-09 06:29:10	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	197	60¢	$118	0x90ffec…
08-09 06:29:03	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x4c3b62…
08-09 06:27:49	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x3f21f0…
08-09 06:27:22	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x28a93b…
08-09 06:26:55	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xbe5bd2…
08-09 05:52:24	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	235	18¢	$42	0x956ac6…
08-09 04:36:04	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x189e5d…
08-09 03:53:40	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb70ace…
08-09 00:11:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	250	56¢	$140	0x13c798…
08-09 00:04:13	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	128	96¢	$122	0x3d0dd3…
08-08 23:56:34	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	BUY	25	62¢	$16	0xcede1f…