Realized P&L
-$816
Unrealized P&L
+$427
Hit rate
36.3%
Resolved
6
Trades
5,066
lifetime
Volume
$1.60M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$316
Open exposure
$16.4K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 18:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
59% 33% $-904
Other
34% 100% +$79
Crypto
5% 100% +$9
Sports
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 283 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -15,000 $-13,950 92¢ $-13725 +$225 07-02 05:13
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +2,046 $1,391 66¢ $1.4K $-31 07-20 12:22
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No -989 $-593 60¢ $-588 +$5 07-09 22:19
Ostium FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +269 $220 96¢ $258 +$38 07-15 15:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -500 $-645 50¢ $-252 +$392 06-16 23:53
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -200 $-106 36¢ $-73 +$33 07-11 02:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +166 $160 36¢ $59 $-101 07-22 22:24
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +100 $55 40¢ $40 $-15 07-01 17:07
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -722 $-51 $-25 +$26 06-05 15:21
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +250 $145 $0 $-145 06-19 23:52