Realized P&L
-$816
Unrealized P&L
+$671
Hit rate
36.3%
Resolved
6
Trades
4,858
lifetime
Volume
$1.57M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$324
Open exposure
$14.4K
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-02 05:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
59% 33% $-904
Other
34% 100% +$79
Crypto
5% 100% +$9
Sports
2%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 283 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -15,000 $-13,950 88¢ $-13275 +$675 07-02 05:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $460 42¢ $425 $-35 06-21 13:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -500 $-645 82¢ $-412 +$232 06-16 23:53
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +500 $225 30¢ $153 $-73 06-22 19:31
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +100 $55 54¢ $54 $-2 07-01 17:07
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -722 $-51 $-32 +$18 06-05 15:21
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +250 $145 $0 $-145 06-19 23:52