Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$958

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.1%

Resolved

431

Trades

1,285

lifetime

Volume

$15.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-20

last 10-16 18:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 79 days

Categories

Sports

45% 36% +$189

Other

23% 22% -$639

Politics

20% 26% -$422

Crypto

7% 47% -$67

Tech

4% 15% -$1

Pop-Culture

1% 33% -$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will south korea reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120736	5	$822	567	567	+0	No	+$62	06-26 06:19
will argentina reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120771	6	$749	425	425	+0	Yes	+$23	06-28 03:24
will spain reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120763	5	$598	361	361	+0	Yes	-$2	07-01 05:50
iran successfully targets shipping on july 17	6	$593	350	350	+0	No	+$6	07-17 22:39
iran military action against a gulf state on july 18 20260708212322943	3	$453	235	235	+0	Yes	+$13	07-18 07:39
will austria reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120772	8	$450	360	360	+0	No	-$10	06-28 20:55
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	12	$435	432	432	+0	Yes	+$10	07-05 02:35
will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by december 31 2026 20260715004553752	8	$421	270	270	+0	Yes	+$81	07-28 02:38
Will Egypt be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	8	$396	212	212	+0	No	-$4	07-02 02:44
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	4	$388	387	387	+0	No	-$14	07-06 21:38
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	13	$310	91,614	0	+91,614	Yes	-$310	07-23 10:30
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$297	398	398	+0	No	-$5	07-05 02:35
will ivory coast reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120753	6	$256	183	183	+0	No	-$4	06-30 19:09
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 17, 2026?	4	$248	312	312	+0	Yes	+$100	08-25 14:43
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	10	$220	757	257	+500	No	+$94	07-04 17:39
will argentina go unbeaten in the 2026 fifa world cup group stage 20260612152622429	2	$205	106	106	+0	Yes	+$5	06-28 03:22
Will Morocco be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	6	$203	133	133	+0	No	+$3	07-04 18:45
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$200	115	115	+0	No	$0	07-09 16:21
Will France win on 2026-06-22?	3	$199	107	107	+0	Yes	+$5	06-22 21:57
will houthis successfully target shipping on august 5 2026 20260722225036929	12	$198	8,339	0	+8,339	No	-$198	08-11 17:12
Will Germany be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	4	$198	115	115	+0	No	-$2	06-29 20:16
will cape verde reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120766	2	$196	109	109	+0	No	-$4	06-27 04:08
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	4	$186	1,208	1,208	+0	No	-$40	08-05 21:15
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$165	241	241	+0	No	-$6	07-06 08:07
will france reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120767	4	$158	119	59	+59	Yes	+$7	06-29 20:27
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	8	$127	7,270	270	+7,000	Yes	+$93	07-09 23:36
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$125	791	791	+0	No	+$18	07-06 08:07
Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?	8	$124	514	514	+0	No	+$113	07-28 18:12
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k?	6	$121	116	116	+0	Yes	+$19	08-07 23:14
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	9	$119	444	444	+0	No	+$75	07-28 04:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 18:24:05	katie zacharia out as press secretary by october 19	No	BUY	184	2¢	$3	0xf564e2…
10-13 18:27:19	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	BUY	329	1¢	$3	0x160a49…
10-13 18:04:33	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xcf6173…
10-12 21:09:23	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x7d5a73…
09-30 17:03:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x954eb6…
09-30 17:03:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$2	0x8e5e21…
09-30 17:02:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0x42fa13…
09-30 17:02:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xe92f91…
09-20 20:11:32	Will US Lecce win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	1,770	0¢	$2	0xb779ba…
09-20 20:10:58	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0x6fa42c…
09-20 19:53:16	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb10943…
09-20 19:25:11	Will US Lecce win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xfa30e3…
09-20 16:07:18	Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	430	1¢	$5	0xc366bd…
09-20 15:35:15	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	162	6¢	$10	0xdedd48…
09-16 17:14:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	62	14¢	$9	0x5a4b66…
09-16 17:13:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xe59251…
09-14 05:25:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	698	0¢	$3	0x6afe79…
09-14 05:25:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	33	21¢	$7	0x75629a…
09-11 20:48:48	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	246	2¢	$5	0x9ab8ed…
09-04 21:02:43	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?	Yes	BUY	108	3¢	$3	0x3b33e2…
09-04 20:52:39	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?	Yes	BUY	121	8¢	$10	0x489691…
08-28 17:56:51	Will Julian Alvarez join Chelsea?	Yes	BUY	92	2¢	$2	0xcece5b…
08-28 17:56:30	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	SELL	4	41¢	$1	0x171cb1…
08-28 11:05:10	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	BUY	4	42¢	$1	0xc76b53…
08-28 11:04:31	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	110	9¢	$10	0xb8561b…
08-26 20:18:48	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?	No	SELL	38	33¢	$13	0xd4c68f…
08-26 20:02:19	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?	No	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xb6edb5…
08-26 20:01:42	Will Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xf5bf3f…
08-26 20:00:39	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?	No	BUY	31	31¢	$10	0xbd551c…
08-26 20:00:04	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-26?	Yes	SELL	127	8¢	$10	0x0ef2a4…
08-26 19:53:07	Will Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xee2746…
08-26 19:50:52	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-26?	Yes	BUY	127	8¢	$10	0xb6e56e…
08-26 19:44:31	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?	No	SELL	97	11¢	$11	0xe4e3c5…
08-26 19:44:22	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-26?	Yes	SELL	140	2¢	$3	0x5cbda1…
08-26 17:45:40	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-26?	Yes	BUY	140	7¢	$10	0x113708…
08-26 17:41:42	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?	No	BUY	97	20¢	$19	0x66155e…
08-25 14:43:19	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	335	4¢	$13	0xa8cfda…
08-25 14:43:13	Iran successfully targets shipping on August 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	104	31¢	$32	0x2dd952…
08-25 14:43:09	Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	312	56¢	$174	0xc5d9e2…
08-22 20:49:18	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	94	8¢	$8	0x407947…
08-22 20:48:48	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	SELL	46	18¢	$8	0xd0f685…
08-22 20:18:18	Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?	Yes	BUY	44	3¢	$1	0x09d277…
08-22 20:17:19	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0xf297e2…
08-22 20:16:07	Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?	Yes	BUY	127	2¢	$3	0x30129a…
08-22 20:15:48	Will there be between 60 and 80 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?	Yes	BUY	173	1¢	$1	0x7011ee…
08-22 20:15:42	Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?	Yes	BUY	68	1¢	$1	0x4460ed…
08-22 20:15:36	Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?	Yes	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0xcd7814…
08-22 20:15:15	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	SELL	44	18¢	$8	0x9f6816…
08-22 17:08:25	Will AC Monza win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x2a5de0…
08-22 17:07:40	Will AC Monza win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	53	6¢	$3	0xcec766…
08-22 10:38:34	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	Yes	SELL	28	26¢	$7	0x531754…
08-17 20:13:36	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	909	5¢	$50	0x638aac…
08-17 17:32:51	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 17 2026 20260722225036941	Yes	BUY	151	32¢	$49	0x536598…
08-17 17:17:40	iran successfully targets shipping on august 17 2026 20260729163314537	Yes	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0xc9417e…
08-17 17:14:01	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 17 2026 20260722225036941	Yes	BUY	66	30¢	$20	0x1078b2…
08-17 15:58:52	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	Yes	BUY	28	29¢	$8	0x2562dd…
08-17 15:58:27	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x4e98b6…
08-17 15:58:21	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	Yes	BUY	264	2¢	$5	0xedeede…
08-16 06:55:15	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	Yes	BUY	1,291	1¢	$8	0x192542…
08-15 20:48:40	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	Yes	BUY	315	3¢	$10	0x7e2b56…
08-15 20:44:10	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	Yes	BUY	109	3¢	$4	0x7aa619…
08-15 20:43:13	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x45ca13…
08-15 20:42:42	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	349	4¢	$13	0x56c2a2…
08-15 20:32:22	iran successfully targets shipping on august 15 2026 20260729163314535	Yes	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0xb64934…
08-15 20:21:06	iran successfully targets shipping on august 16 2026 20260729163314536	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x5988c8…
08-15 18:55:51	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	Yes	BUY	162	8¢	$13	0x72edc9…
08-15 10:12:09	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	Yes	BUY	312	3¢	$10	0xd0d4e0…
08-14 21:07:37	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 20 2026 20260722225036944	Yes	BUY	75	7¢	$5	0x26a4dd…
08-14 21:07:30	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 19 2026 20260722225036943	Yes	BUY	63	8¢	$5	0xb00643…
08-14 21:07:21	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 18 2026 20260722225036942	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xd20941…
08-14 21:07:16	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 17 2026 20260722225036941	Yes	BUY	95	5¢	$5	0xb738d5…
08-14 21:06:55	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 14 2026 20260722225036938	Yes	BUY	57	9¢	$5	0xf74f07…
08-14 21:06:48	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 15 2026 20260722225036939	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x148a84…
08-14 20:33:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	186	1¢	$2	0x5556b0…
08-14 17:06:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	21	17¢	$4	0x44a47e…
08-13 01:30:42	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 11 2026 20260722225036935	Yes	SELL	49	98¢	$48	0x742d64…
08-11 17:12:51	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 5 2026 20260722225036929	Yes	BUY	4,800	0¢	$5	0x201deb…
08-11 17:12:13	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 11 2026 20260722225036935	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x2d507d…
08-11 12:52:58	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 5 2026 20260722225036929	Yes	BUY	414	1¢	$6	0x597abd…
08-10 11:18:10	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 5 2026 20260722225036929	Yes	BUY	1,320	1¢	$10	0x2beb72…
08-10 03:35:40	Will there be 80 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?	Yes	BUY	925	0¢	$1	0x9a8c6e…
08-10 03:35:01	Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?	Yes	BUY	66	15¢	$10	0x233ec5…
08-10 03:17:39	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 5 2026 20260722225036929	Yes	BUY	303	3¢	$10	0x00993b…
08-10 03:07:21	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 5 2026 20260722225036929	Yes	BUY	303	3¢	$10	0x3a2e00…
08-10 03:06:48	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 5 2026 20260722225036929	Yes	BUY	304	3¢	$10	0x9999c1…
08-10 03:06:28	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 5 2026 20260722225036929	Yes	BUY	350	3¢	$10	0x3d026c…
08-09 23:22:30	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 9 2026 20260722225036933	Yes	SELL	64	70¢	$45	0x416c80…
08-09 19:10:43	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 5 2026 20260722225036929	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x2f1aaa…
08-09 18:15:55	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 5 2026 20260722225036929	Yes	BUY	95	10¢	$10	0xd9a79d…
08-09 18:14:31	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 5 2026 20260722225036929	Yes	BUY	105	9¢	$10	0x4bf9c9…
08-07 23:14:36	Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k?	Yes	SELL	54	97¢	$52	0x9c787e…
08-07 08:04:04	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xeb9e85…
08-07 07:50:57	Will Rodri join Barcelona?	No	BUY	93	11¢	$10	0x7981d5…
08-06 21:07:17	iran successfully targets shipping on august 7 2026 20260729163314527	Yes	BUY	86	35¢	$30	0x9d7884…
08-06 19:49:23	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 6 2026 20260722225036930	Yes	SELL	91	12¢	$11	0x42d4f8…
08-06 19:42:59	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0xd7120a…
08-06 19:42:15	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0x7c07b5…
08-06 19:32:15	Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k?	Yes	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x2c081d…
08-06 19:29:53	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x69f3e5…
08-06 19:29:44	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x6b5c94…