Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
+$29
Hit rate
98.2%
Resolved
4
Trades
3,681
lifetime
Volume
$48.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$1.38K
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 00:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
51%
Other
48% 75% +$1
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -275 $-270 99¢ $-271 $-1 06-07 19:50
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? No -137 $-134 99¢ $-135 $-1 06-01 04:39
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -144 $-125 90¢ $-129 $-3 06-10 00:48
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +130 $122 97¢ $126 +$3 06-05 17:17
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +123 $81 88¢ $108 +$27 06-09 09:43
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No -103 $-101 99¢ $-102 $-1 06-04 04:21
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +100 $92 92¢ $92 $-0 06-09 12:44
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -88 $-79 88¢ $-77 +$2 06-03 06:49
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +63 $56 92¢ $58 +$2 06-05 05:00
Trump out as President before 2027? No -50 $-44 90¢ $-45 $-0 06-01 14:58
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +50 $43 84¢ $42 $-1 05-27 22:03
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +34 $32 92¢ $31 $-1 06-08 13:31
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +33 $31 90¢ $30 $-0 06-02 17:36
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +31 $28 96¢ $30 +$2 05-31 16:52
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -23 $-21 92¢ $-21 $-0 06-03 05:38
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No +19 $17 94¢ $18 +$2 06-09 07:59
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? No -14 $-13 99¢ $-13 $-0 06-01 02:33
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No +11 $10 96¢ $10 $-0 06-06 23:06
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -9 $-9 99¢ $-9 $-0 06-03 05:57
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -9 $-8 99¢ $-9 $-0 05-31 00:26
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +11 $8 78¢ $9 +$1 05-30 11:24
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +5 $4 94¢ $4 +$0 06-01 13:00
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -4 $-4 86¢ $-4 $-0 06-03 18:57
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No -4 $-4 94¢ $-4 $-0 06-06 13:24
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? No -3 $-2 92¢ $-2 $-0 06-07 16:16
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No -2 $-2 84¢ $-2 $-0 05-28 08:45
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? Yes -1 $-1 88¢ $-1 +$0 05-28 22:54