Realized P&L
-$314
Unrealized P&L
-$72
Hit rate
78.5%
Resolved
317
Trades
13,254
lifetime
Volume
$121.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$2.85K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 09:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 90 days
Categories
Politics
56% 46% -$82
Other
42% 57% -$221
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Sports
1% 75% -$3
Crypto
0% 0% -$9
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 387 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +359 $314 94¢ $335 +$21 10-26 22:27
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +329 $311 92¢ $304 -$6 10-27 01:28
Trump out as President before 2027? No -239 -$207 96¢ $-229 -$22 10-16 06:44
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -188 -$174 96¢ $-182 -$7 09-17 15:48
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +176 $164 92¢ $161 -$3 10-25 20:35
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -154 -$134 98¢ $-151 -$17 10-09 06:32
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +151 $144 97¢ $146 +$2 10-11 23:15
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +142 $135 92¢ $129 -$5 10-26 03:35
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -126 -$119 98¢ $-123 -$4 07-03 06:42
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +122 $113 92¢ $112 -$2 10-24 12:48
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +115 $84 72¢ $82 -$1 10-26 23:04
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +87 $80 90¢ $77 -$2 09-29 07:11
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +82 $75 93¢ $77 +$1 10-27 10:09
will turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026 No +75 $72 93¢ $70 -$3 10-12 21:36
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? No -66 -$61 98¢ $-65 -$4 08-05 17:43
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +65 $61 95¢ $62 +$1 10-08 13:37
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -57 -$51 96¢ $-55 -$4 05-04 19:49
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +60 $51 91¢ $54 +$3 10-25 20:12
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -57 -$52 94¢ $-53 -$1 10-05 18:56
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +66 $48 70¢ $47 -$2 10-26 09:41
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +46 $37 97¢ $44 +$8 10-27 05:24
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? No -46 -$41 96¢ $-44 -$3 05-04 19:50
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? No +46 $44 95¢ $44 $0 10-23 02:41
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No +44 $41 94¢ $41 $0 10-21 14:19
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +68 $50 56¢ $38 -$13 10-19 09:31
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +33 $31 92¢ $31 +$0 10-21 07:24
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +40 $40 70¢ $28 -$12 10-26 01:31
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +25 $24 95¢ $24 $0 09-30 14:45
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +23 $23 99¢ $22 $0 10-27 10:20
will prabowo subianto cease to be president of indonesia by december 31 2026 No +23 $18 95¢ $22 +$4 10-22 18:37