Realized P&L
+$16
Unrealized P&L
+$83
Hit rate
89.9%
Resolved
5
Trades
6,606
lifetime
Volume
$274.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$42
Open exposure
$5.83K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 11:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
46%
Other
39% 100% +$14
Sports
15% 50% +$2
Tech
0%
Crypto
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +900 $781 90¢ $806 +$24 07-19 00:34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -648 $-576 94¢ $-612 $-36 07-01 09:51
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31? No -600 $-564 98¢ $-590 $-26 06-03 06:52
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No -600 $-569 96¢ $-575 $-6 06-22 06:13
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -562 $-477 72¢ $-402 +$75 07-15 10:38
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -400 $-380 96¢ $-386 $-6 06-10 20:59
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +430 $301 88¢ $378 +$77 07-08 21:37
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +400 $348 86¢ $346 $-2 07-06 18:03
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +250 $224 90¢ $224 +$0 07-17 04:11
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -200 $-193 96¢ $-191 +$2 06-30 16:44
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -200 $-192 96¢ $-191 +$0 07-07 10:52
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +200 $189 95¢ $190 +$1 07-19 19:40
Trump out as President before 2027? No -200 $-188 92¢ $-185 +$3 07-19 11:34
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No +200 $170 84¢ $168 $-2 07-21 22:52
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +170 $155 90¢ $152 $-2 07-19 07:18
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +230 $138 60¢ $139 +$1 07-18 13:25
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +200 $154 66¢ $133 $-21 07-15 22:23
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +100 $89 84¢ $84 $-4 07-11 16:40
Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026? No +95 $77 84¢ $80 +$3 07-17 23:21