Realized P&L
+$16
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
89.9%
Resolved
5
Trades
6,366
lifetime
Volume
$236.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$4.32K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 01:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
49%
Other
39% 100% +$14
Sports
12% 50% +$2
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 221 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31? No -600 $-564 96¢ $-573 $-9 06-03 06:52
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30? No -475 $-470 99¢ $-472 $-1 06-02 09:05
Will Karrigan retire by June 30? No -477 $-472 99¢ $-470 +$2 06-04 22:55
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +400 $348 88¢ $350 +$2 06-02 22:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +400 $332 76¢ $304 $-28 05-28 01:53
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +300 $291 98¢ $295 +$4 05-31 15:49
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No -300 $-287 94¢ $-281 +$7 06-07 22:27
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -324 $-279 86¢ $-280 $-2 06-04 11:59
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +260 $250 99¢ $256 +$7 06-08 04:43
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +260 $236 94¢ $243 +$7 06-09 01:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes -300 $-195 68¢ $-202 $-8 06-08 08:27
Will s1mple retire by June 30? No +200 $182 97¢ $194 +$12 05-31 07:57
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +200 $180 92¢ $183 +$3 06-05 02:48
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +200 $181 88¢ $176 $-6 06-08 14:08
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +50 $38 88¢ $44 +$6 06-05 09:03