Calm-Locomotive 0x67473b…5aa64f
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$2.24K
Unrealized P&L
+$888
Hit rate
81.1%
Resolved
440
Trades
8,937
lifetime
Volume
$379.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$43
Open exposure
$15.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 19:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 173 days
Categories
Politics
40% 83% +$866
Other
38% 68% +$1,303
Sports
21% 62% -$2
Tech
0% 100% +$66
Crypto
0% 0% -$1
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2,700 $2,395 94¢ $2.5K +$129 08-24 17:20
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,997 $1,495 92¢ $1.8K +$333 09-30 18:30
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +942 $874 92¢ $871 -$3 10-26 11:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +937 $616 82¢ $773 +$158 08-11 21:07
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +810 $571 86¢ $694 +$122 10-03 16:31
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +608 $555 97¢ $587 +$32 09-01 17:00
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +600 $558 97¢ $581 +$23 08-25 21:13
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes +600 $492 86¢ $519 +$27 10-26 16:03
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +540 $456 94¢ $505 +$49 08-10 11:56
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +550 $506 90¢ $497 -$9 08-11 05:12
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +500 $482 98¢ $488 +$6 08-26 23:55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -448 -$388 96¢ $-430 -$42 08-05 17:47
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +400 $384 97¢ $388 +$3 10-06 19:54
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? Yes +400 $356 90¢ $358 +$2 10-12 11:41
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +400 $356 86¢ $346 -$10 07-11 16:40
No one announced as next James Bond? No +450 $347 75¢ $339 -$8 10-09 09:34
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? Yes +445 $267 70¢ $314 +$47 07-17 21:12
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +390 $315 78¢ $302 -$13 09-17 13:06
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes +1,400 $397 22¢ $301 -$96 09-26 18:31
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +300 $285 98¢ $293 +$8 07-23 22:31
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +300 $269 97¢ $290 +$21 10-03 14:52
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +347 $320 84¢ $290 -$30 10-21 19:30
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No +300 $284 97¢ $290 +$5 09-16 15:48
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +350 $358 81¢ $285 -$73 09-25 14:13
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +500 $194 54¢ $272 +$78 07-11 03:16
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +300 $270 87¢ $261 -$9 08-03 01:03
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +300 $272 86¢ $259 -$13 10-03 17:38
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +2,000 $220 12¢ $250 +$30 10-05 19:16
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +240 $123 92¢ $220 +$97 08-06 18:41
kanye west performs in russia by october 31 No +218 $194 100¢ $217 +$23 09-25 13:31