Realized P&L
+$16
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
89.9%
Resolved
5
Trades
6,445
lifetime
Volume
$247.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$4.62K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 18:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
48%
Other
38% 100% +$14
Sports
13% 50% +$2
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 221 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? Yes +900 $852 94¢ $845 $-7 07-01 12:06
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -648 $-576 94¢ $-606 $-29 07-01 09:51
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +600 $590 100¢ $599 +$10 06-29 14:04
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31? No -600 $-564 96¢ $-575 $-11 06-03 06:52
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No -600 $-569 91¢ $-544 +$25 06-22 06:13
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -400 $-380 96¢ $-385 $-5 06-10 20:59
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +400 $348 90¢ $362 +$14 06-02 22:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +400 $332 82¢ $330 $-2 05-28 01:53
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -200 $-193 96¢ $-192 +$2 06-30 16:44
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +200 $181 93¢ $185 +$4 06-08 14:08