Calm-Locomotive — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.9%

Resolved

Trades

6,676

lifetime

Volume

$282.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-12 02:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

46% — —

Other

39% 100% +$14

Sports

15% 50% +$2

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	28	$11.2K	5,819	5,819	+0	open	—	03-24 11:50
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	9	$8.1K	4,200	4,003	+197	open	—	04-10 23:48
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	34	$8.0K	4,051	4,051	+0	open	—	04-20 11:07
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	34	$7.9K	3,690	4,365	-675	open	—	01-23 02:17
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	31	$6.8K	5,830	1,130	+4,700	open	—	02-24 15:49
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	30	$6.6K	3,430	3,430	+0	open	—	01-27 04:06
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	39	$6.5K	4,417	2,697	+1,720	open	—	03-29 00:54
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	7	$6.2K	4,145	2,072	+2,072	open	—	03-24 13:49
will iran strike israel on march 10	3	$6.0K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	03-17 22:59
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	42	$5.0K	3,010	2,810	+200	open	—	01-31 23:24
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	04-07 08:40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	25	$4.1K	2,300	2,562	-262	open	—	08-11 21:07
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	38	$4.0K	3,882	400	+3,482	open	—	03-04 16:07
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	35	$3.9K	2,350	2,350	+0	open	—	02-01 04:10
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	26	$3.8K	2,300	2,300	+0	open	—	03-03 08:14
will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	15	$3.7K	2,099	1,699	+400	open	—	02-28 11:51
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	13	$3.5K	2,650	950	+1,700	open	—	03-10 17:54
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	15	$3.2K	1,850	1,450	+400	open	—	02-07 21:16
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	26	$3.2K	1,951	1,951	+0	open	—	03-11 18:03
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	9	$3.2K	2,700	800	+1,900	open	—	08-10 01:19
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	19	$3.1K	1,714	1,590	+124	open	—	01-29 15:55
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	10	$3.1K	3,100	0	+3,100	open	—	03-08 21:45
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	18	$3.1K	1,900	2,200	-300	open	—	03-01 13:35
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	18	$3.0K	2,000	1,500	+500	open	—	06-17 18:54
will 2025 be the hottest year on record	24	$3.0K	1,000	2,007	-1,007	open	—	01-12 19:39
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	04-05 00:21
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	19	$2.8K	2,916	0	+2,916	open	—	03-18 01:53
will vitality win the hltv team of the year award	17	$2.7K	539	2,180	-1,641	open	—	01-10 21:14
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	8	$2.6K	1,398	1,398	+0	open	—	07-11 17:46
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	5	$2.6K	2,600	0	+2,600	open	—	04-15 12:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 02:57:51	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	215	95¢	$204	0xf648a6…
08-11 21:07:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	300	82¢	$246	0xd27471…
08-11 09:18:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x9bacc8…
08-11 08:08:15	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	330	75¢	$248	0x286474…
08-11 07:42:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	220	93¢	$205	0x830619…
08-11 06:41:18	Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9b25d0…
08-11 03:56:00	Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc046d8…
08-10 22:36:21	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	200	21¢	$42	0x32b38c…
08-10 19:06:34	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	300	85¢	$255	0xa00242…
08-10 17:17:19	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0xe6de0c…
08-10 17:17:16	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	92	95¢	$88	0x952a01…
08-10 11:56:18	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0x30d849…
08-10 11:51:58	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xeee4e4…
08-10 11:51:54	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x9c654f…
08-10 11:51:27	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	215	88¢	$189	0x639c36…
08-10 05:51:28	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	300	86¢	$258	0x8dc49d…
08-10 01:19:34	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	400	93¢	$372	0x41d4e1…
08-09 21:08:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x426d18…
08-09 14:51:27	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x0b21cb…
08-09 04:57:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	300	86¢	$258	0xc386ab…
08-09 04:55:21	Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x05cd2c…
08-09 03:02:49	Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8bcafc…
08-08 21:20:40	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	SELL	254	96¢	$243	0xbaa482…
08-08 19:29:45	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0xecdd6f…
08-08 19:25:10	Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xc18aea…
08-08 12:54:18	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	BUY	300	86¢	$258	0xb9adb6…
08-06 18:41:21	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	80	72¢	$58	0x2f8161…
08-06 12:40:11	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x64e1b6…
08-06 01:34:47	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	BUY	4	90¢	$3	0xd6b017…
08-05 17:47:35	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	176	94¢	$165	0x7fa269…
08-05 15:22:09	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	24	94¢	$23	0x7dbeac…
08-05 12:47:59	Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x5e4c47…
08-04 15:42:11	Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?	No	BUY	77	96¢	$74	0x73f1bf…
08-04 06:34:20	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x665b74…
08-04 06:24:09	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	234	96¢	$225	0x8ba234…
08-04 05:59:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	290	87¢	$252	0x20d476…
08-01 15:48:06	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	172	81¢	$139	0x24271a…
08-01 15:46:51	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	78	81¢	$63	0xda950a…
08-01 15:18:53	iran leadership change by august 31 669	No	BUY	300	96¢	$287	0x473570…
08-01 12:59:45	Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026?	No	SELL	395	69¢	$272	0x0f4618…
08-01 12:13:14	Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026?	No	SELL	50	81¢	$41	0x2705b8…
08-01 07:01:18	Will any FaZe member come out as a furry by July 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x78fdc2…
07-28 16:08:32	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	SELL	89	99¢	$89	0x4096f8…
07-28 14:21:59	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	SELL	261	99¢	$259	0xdd5703…
07-28 05:11:01	Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?	No	BUY	28	96¢	$26	0xab3e05…
07-28 05:10:42	Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?	No	BUY	39	96¢	$37	0xa29db2…
07-28 03:33:40	Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x228ec1…
07-28 03:33:19	Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$16	0x20bc9d…
07-27 07:18:45	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0x189a9e…
07-27 07:05:40	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	62	63¢	$39	0x1b1d3e…
07-25 19:48:15	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	39	53¢	$21	0x1155e0…
07-25 15:56:16	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	139	53¢	$74	0x12ef9f…
07-25 15:42:45	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	31	53¢	$17	0x079e18…
07-25 13:10:10	Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026?	No	BUY	50	83¢	$41	0x06116c…
07-25 13:09:33	Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026?	No	BUY	50	83¢	$41	0x8fad9a…
07-25 13:09:33	Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026?	No	BUY	50	83¢	$41	0x7781c1…
07-25 13:09:31	Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x14471b…
07-25 02:11:51	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x55f9f5…
07-25 02:01:07	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	300	91¢	$273	0x96b429…
07-24 13:16:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x2bcf47…
07-23 23:57:13	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	22	93¢	$20	0x69ea63…
07-23 21:36:09	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	30	93¢	$28	0x29e2df…
07-23 19:53:30	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	32	93¢	$29	0x784bfb…
07-23 19:06:58	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	31	93¢	$29	0xdb5b9c…
07-23 18:03:21	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	120	93¢	$112	0x7505cd…
07-23 17:50:22	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0xac700f…
07-23 09:35:10	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	92¢	$367	0xfac7ad…
07-23 06:39:39	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x9d18a0…
07-23 00:16:01	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xf3b9d4…
07-22 13:01:36	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	299	95¢	$285	0xce513a…
07-22 11:59:18	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5a23fd…
07-22 09:10:40	andrew tate extradited to uk by sep 30 20260719022813213	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xe7b6ff…
07-21 22:52:52	Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x0de989…
07-21 21:41:06	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0xe46f6c…
07-19 22:51:37	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0x4888bd…
07-19 19:40:24	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	26	94¢	$25	0x0bf6d3…
07-19 15:02:19	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	375	98¢	$369	0xc845ca…
07-19 11:34:18	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	200	94¢	$188	0xa57d80…
07-19 07:18:21	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	91¢	$155	0x442278…
07-19 00:34:15	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	400	89¢	$356	0x3e61a5…
07-18 21:42:54	will kylian mbappe score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup copy	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x45f151…
07-18 14:47:39	world cup fastest goal in a final record broken 20260609182956386	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xd9d1c8…
07-18 14:43:58	world cup fastest goal in a final record broken 20260609182956386	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xf3f174…
07-18 13:25:00	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	45	60¢	$27	0x986474…
07-18 12:23:34	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	185	60¢	$111	0xb5af09…
07-18 09:10:58	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	450	100¢	$448	0x7aa66c…
07-18 06:14:03	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	300	99¢	$298	0xe0407a…
07-18 05:44:04	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	125	98¢	$122	0xac3d9b…
07-17 23:21:55	Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026?	No	BUY	45	82¢	$37	0x9815c0…
07-17 22:58:45	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	992	96¢	$950	0x1067c0…
07-17 13:53:54	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	174	94¢	$164	0x7acf83…
07-17 04:11:24	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	BUY	250	90¢	$224	0x513262…
07-17 00:32:32	Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026?	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xbf524c…
07-16 23:42:47	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	800	96¢	$767	0xed398a…
07-16 20:36:38	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x8c62a3…
07-16 20:36:32	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	Yes	BUY	288	57¢	$164	0xf13f31…
07-16 02:12:34	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x7b8537…
07-15 23:11:35	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	BUY	300	93¢	$279	0x1930de…
07-15 22:23:34	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	BUY	11	77¢	$8	0x64fb82…
07-15 21:54:20	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xd3a734…