Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
471
lifetime
Volume
$1.00K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$58
14 positions
First seen
2026-03-22
last 07-03 15:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
65% 0% $-2
Other
32%
Sports
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +25 $20 86¢ $22 +$2 06-18 18:47
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No -11 $-9 88¢ $-10 $-0 05-28 08:45
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-5 90¢ $-5 +$0 06-13 14:41
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +4 $4 100¢ $4 +$0 07-02 18:44
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +5 $3 78¢ $4 +$0 07-03 15:20
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? No +4 $3 94¢ $3 $-0 06-22 16:29
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No -3 $-2 90¢ $-3 $-0 06-05 22:49
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -3 $-2 92¢ $-2 $-0 05-31 10:09
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 $-0 06-27 23:01
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No -2 $-2 92¢ $-2 $-0 06-05 01:01
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 07-02 17:43
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -1 $-0 90¢ $-1 $-0 07-02 22:47
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 06-21 20:59
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -0 $-0 88¢ $-0 $-0 07-02 08:35