Realized P&L
+$11
Unrealized P&L
+$68
Hit rate
26.8%
Resolved
4
Trades
1,508
lifetime
Volume
$21.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$880
15 positions
First seen
2026-05-13
last 06-11 18:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
87%
Crypto
8% 75% +$11
Other
4%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 287 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -219 $-211 94¢ $-205 +$6 06-11 12:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -249 $-204 82¢ $-203 +$1 06-03 22:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No -819 $-240 24¢ $-192 +$48 06-10 16:31
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +126 $65 100¢ $126 +$61 06-07 22:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes -54 $-39 76¢ $-41 $-2 06-11 14:54
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +138 $40 28¢ $38 $-2 06-06 06:41
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +302 $20 $19 $-1 06-11 11:08
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +13 $12 98¢ $13 +$1 06-11 19:36
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +844 $20 $13 $-7 06-05 08:21
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? No +794 $20 $12 $-8 06-11 12:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -31 $8 34¢ $-10 $-18 06-11 21:24
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes +7 $5 74¢ $5 $-0 06-10 06:40
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +4 $-16 48¢ $2 +$18 06-11 17:04
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -4 $3 36¢ $-1 $-5 06-10 17:48
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No +64 $24 $0 $-23 06-07 20:19