Realized P&L
+$11
Unrealized P&L
-$175
Hit rate
26.8%
Resolved
4
Trades
1,746
lifetime
Volume
$24.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$718
7 positions
First seen
2026-05-13
last 07-20 13:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
85%
Crypto
7% 75% +$11
Other
7%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 287 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -1,195 $-155 30¢ $-353 $-197 06-23 00:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -249 $-204 70¢ $-176 +$29 06-03 22:50
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -150 $-117 86¢ $-130 $-13 06-23 00:04
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +229 $35 12¢ $29 $-6 06-30 23:30
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -133 $-27 14¢ $-18 +$9 06-23 00:04
New pandemic in 2026? Yes -133 $-12 $-9 +$3 06-23 00:04
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -19 $-6 24¢ $-5 +$1 06-23 00:04