(anonymous) 0xa3de21…02111a
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Realized P&L
+$11
Unrealized P&L
-$54
Hit rate
26.8%
Resolved
4
Trades
1,703
lifetime
Volume
$24.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$650
10 positions
First seen
2026-05-13
last 07-01 13:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
86% — —
Crypto
7% 75% +$11
Other
6% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 287 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -249 $-204 86¢ $-215 $-11 06-03 22:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -1,195 $-155 14¢ $-161 $-6 06-23 00:04
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -150 $-117 82¢ $-124 $-7 06-23 00:04
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +85 $50 72¢ $62 +$12 06-30 15:43
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +229 $35 16¢ $37 +$2 06-30 23:30
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -133 $-27 18¢ $-23 +$3 06-23 00:04
New pandemic in 2026? Yes -133 $-12 8¢ $-11 +$1 06-23 00:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +53 $10 18¢ $9 $-1 07-01 13:53
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -19 $-6 24¢ $-5 +$1 06-23 00:04
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +80 $50 3¢ $2 $-48 06-28 15:38