Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

26.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,766

lifetime

Volume

$24.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 08-11 13:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

85% — —

Crypto

7% 75% +$11

Other

7% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 287 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	92	$3.2K	2,757	3,775	-1,018	open	—	05-25 01:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	222	$2.8K	5,146	4,990	+156	open	—	05-31 15:21
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	104	$1.6K	43,144	42,800	+344	open	—	06-03 23:08
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	94	$1.5K	3,224	3,172	+52	open	—	05-31 10:45
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	72	$1.5K	2,085	2,040	+45	open	—	05-31 10:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	100	$1.3K	3,271	3,274	-3	open	—	05-27 01:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	70	$930	1,785	1,454	+330	open	—	06-17 19:50
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	40	$756	673	455	+217	open	—	05-27 22:47
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	50	$744	1,446	1,495	-49	open	—	05-30 18:24
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	45	$695	1,283	838	+445	open	—	06-17 21:10
will turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026	37	$689	1,456	1,503	-47	open	—	06-23 00:04
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	70	$673	1,151	1,201	-50	open	—	06-23 00:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	67	$617	2,989	2,787	+202	open	—	05-22 20:58
iran closes its airspace by june 15	9	$468	476	668	-192	open	—	06-07 23:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	24	$417	215	1,105	-890	open	—	06-14 21:13
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	3	$360	0	1,444	-1,444	open	—	06-23 00:04
iran closes its airspace by june 8	31	$323	526	428	+98	open	—	06-08 00:57
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	61	$311	711	854	-143	open	—	06-17 11:44
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	24	$307	2,372	2,063	+309	open	—	05-26 19:27
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	22	$267	1,181	1,158	+23	open	—	05-29 14:32
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	22	$265	444	423	+22	open	—	07-07 02:34
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	8	$252	25	333	-308	open	—	06-23 00:04
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	58	$228	268	325	-57	open	—	06-14 23:31
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	27	$218	694	79	+615	open	—	05-15 18:37
Fed rate hike in 2026?	11	$212	213	186	+27	open	—	07-29 20:10
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	8	$198	75	145	-69	open	—	05-25 23:11
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	9	$194	57	340	-283	open	—	06-23 00:04
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	12	$193	512	87	+424	open	—	05-25 23:22
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	28	$185	234	156	+78	open	—	05-24 23:07
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	9	$184	282	355	-73	open	—	05-25 23:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 13:15:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x2d41c1…
08-11 11:24:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0x36be64…
08-11 11:05:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xe2ea59…
08-10 09:57:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xce55d5…
08-10 09:32:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x4ce368…
08-10 08:11:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$0	0xe8cabc…
08-09 23:35:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x679746…
08-09 23:20:45	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0x743a13…
08-08 13:29:25	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xf9311b…
08-08 13:26:54	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x3c93f0…
07-29 20:10:45	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xdc6ac5…
07-28 23:10:43	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0xb51e5c…
07-28 23:10:38	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0xd07b47…
07-28 17:05:34	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x7ff9c7…
07-28 16:40:53	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x752950…
07-28 00:19:42	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x303e04…
07-28 00:15:33	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xb1f4e3…
07-27 20:04:34	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xac74bf…
07-27 20:04:21	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?	Yes	BUY	433	2¢	$10	0x3f15ae…
07-24 13:49:45	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x2ebbcc…
07-20 13:20:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	53	45¢	$24	0x36bf2e…
07-20 13:20:04	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	85	89¢	$76	0xf81832…
07-08 21:16:31	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdbd2a7…
07-07 02:34:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	78	21¢	$16	0x0fe2b9…
07-07 02:31:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x0d2772…
07-07 02:31:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x00009d…
07-07 02:31:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0xc7e7f9…
07-07 02:30:59	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	11	22¢	$2	0xe5895a…
07-07 01:11:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xad82f8…
07-06 22:37:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xd64424…
07-06 22:28:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	13	23¢	$3	0x6ab4b3…
07-06 22:25:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	13	17¢	$2	0xe7636c…
07-06 22:21:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x108261…
07-06 22:20:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x9f53b7…
07-06 21:37:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	11	26¢	$3	0x8d6198…
07-06 21:37:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x4e855f…
07-06 21:35:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	193	24¢	$46	0x9f9b84…
07-06 21:25:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xa051cf…
07-06 21:25:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0x2b14c9…
07-06 21:25:25	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xd72a8d…
07-06 21:25:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x861d82…
07-06 21:25:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xa593be…
07-06 21:22:25	will graham platner drop out by july 17	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xc7943f…
07-06 21:22:25	will graham platner drop out by july 31	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x4bcd85…
07-06 21:05:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	92	86¢	$79	0xd14e18…
07-06 21:04:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xc40d59…
07-06 21:04:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0x2a0942…
07-06 19:55:01	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x695c14…
07-06 11:18:59	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xd7549e…
07-06 04:50:17	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xa6f967…
07-05 20:20:23	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x387a4e…
07-05 20:01:55	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 4 20260626160825418	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x82d65f…
07-03 16:37:20	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	28	27¢	$7	0xc9cdad…
07-03 16:25:29	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xdb3d95…
07-03 15:40:10	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xaeb2df…
07-03 00:31:37	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xec69f7…
07-02 21:49:43	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0x2dec79…
07-02 21:28:34	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0x48da6a…
07-02 21:26:41	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x0774b3…
07-02 21:26:04	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xf6cde1…
07-02 21:26:04	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x760333…
07-02 21:25:56	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xbdb40d…
07-02 21:20:46	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xbc2207…
07-01 13:53:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x4fb875…
07-01 12:34:16	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xb5c1ff…
07-01 11:45:04	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x1bbdd1…
07-01 11:44:25	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x241678…
07-01 11:44:23	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xe2938a…
07-01 11:44:23	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x8c6426…
07-01 10:36:38	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x861cb0…
07-01 03:03:04	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x07caec…
06-30 23:30:26	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x4dbf49…
06-30 20:15:41	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xb252e0…
06-30 20:12:59	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xb605e1…
06-30 20:12:04	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xc41e8e…
06-30 15:43:14	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xe81846…
06-30 15:29:34	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xbcf633…
06-30 15:29:32	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xc77a15…
06-30 15:29:32	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x40306e…
06-30 15:07:26	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x0d32fe…
06-30 15:04:11	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	90¢	$19	0xbae5c1…
06-30 15:02:52	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xc028d3…
06-30 14:59:02	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x972513…
06-29 23:13:35	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	65	15¢	$10	0x86ba99…
06-29 23:09:41	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x6d8598…
06-29 22:56:56	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xeebdb1…
06-29 22:56:55	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xdff38e…
06-29 22:56:55	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xd6ffb7…
06-29 13:35:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	59	79¢	$47	0xe2d388…
06-28 20:22:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb45312…
06-28 20:22:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xaf3c3d…
06-28 20:22:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x24fba6…
06-28 15:38:10	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x5591e9…
06-28 15:36:43	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xab065a…
06-28 15:35:49	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x18abf8…
06-28 15:28:32	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xce0495…
06-28 15:28:29	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xd2b55e…
06-28 15:14:26	Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x32290d…
06-23 17:29:46	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x70193e…
06-23 00:04:19	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	157	29¢	$46	0x8c1653…