Realized P&L
+$95.0K
Unrealized P&L
-$63.1K
Hit rate
73.7%
Resolved
1,188
Trades
530,554
lifetime
Volume
$9.22M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$350.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-19
last 10-30 04:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 106 days
Categories
Sports
76%
97%
+$83,746
Other
18%
92%
+$61,639
Politics
4%
92%
+$2,044
Tech
2%
54%
-$52,478
Crypto
0%
100%
+$3
Pop-Culture
0%
—
—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk
• peak 483 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 10,557 | $1.31M | 200 | 6,499,377 | -6,499,177 | No | +$1,313,395 | 07-11 03:13 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 8,857 | $977.9K | 0 | 6,503,272 | -6,503,272 | Yes | -$5,525,387 | 07-15 21:08 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 9,127 | $758.3K | 0 | 6,503,272 | -6,503,272 | No | +$758,253 | 07-15 21:08 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 7,310 | $686.2K | 0 | 6,502,272 | -6,502,272 | No | +$686,182 | 07-15 20:30 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | 2,049 | $682.7K | 26,723 | 809,977 | -783,254 | Yes | -$137,478 | 07-27 20:56 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 10,342 | $574.5K | 0 | 6,425,257 | -6,425,257 | No | +$574,541 | 07-06 18:27 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 8,190 | $493.4K | 1,000 | 6,370,979 | -6,369,979 | No | +$492,355 | 07-05 22:02 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 6,486 | $282.4K | 0 | 5,459,608 | -5,459,608 | No | +$282,376 | 06-29 20:37 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 7,589 | $229.4K | 0 | 5,459,734 | -5,459,734 | No | +$229,364 | 06-30 02:33 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 8,731 | $159.6K | 0 | 6,499,177 | -6,499,177 | No | +$159,610 | 07-11 04:19 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | 1,798 | $129.1K | 0 | 836,701 | -836,701 | No | +$129,100 | 07-27 21:24 |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 8,201 | $121.8K | 0 | 6,435,576 | -6,435,576 | No | +$121,775 | 07-07 17:39 |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 8,133 | $114.2K | 0 | 6,495,600 | -6,495,600 | No | +$114,219 | 07-09 15:50 |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 7,825 | $111.9K | 5 | 6,495,605 | -6,495,600 | No | +$111,911 | 07-09 20:39 |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 8,322 | $107.3K | 0 | 6,425,257 | -6,425,257 | No | +$107,346 | 07-06 18:27 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 7,058 | $97.5K | 0 | 5,399,925 | -5,399,925 | No | +$97,453 | 06-29 20:42 |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 8,514 | $94.4K | 0 | 6,407,528 | -6,407,528 | No | +$94,389 | 07-06 01:41 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | 2,728 | $94.0K | 0 | 232,272 | -232,272 | No | +$93,966 | 07-24 15:41 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | 528 | $84.4K | 0 | 105,232 | -105,232 | open | — | 08-02 14:52 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 2,134 | $79.3K | 0 | 178,956 | -178,956 | No | +$79,301 | 07-18 21:27 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 556 | $71.4K | 0 | 121,756 | -121,756 | Yes | -$50,362 | 08-02 08:01 |
| Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | 280 | $70.6K | 0 | 73,036 | -73,036 | Yes | -$2,464 | 07-02 19:58 |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 2,466 | $68.3K | 0 | 178,956 | -178,956 | Yes | -$110,657 | 07-18 21:27 |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 8,509 | $66.5K | 0 | 6,499,177 | -6,499,177 | No | +$66,531 | 07-11 03:07 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | 88 | $63.9K | 0 | 64,974 | -64,974 | Yes | -$1,040 | 06-05 12:18 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | 2,654 | $56.9K | 0 | 232,272 | -232,272 | No | +$56,903 | 07-24 15:45 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | 549 | $51.1K | 0 | 58,129 | -58,129 | Yes | -$7,066 | 07-17 09:20 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | 743 | $50.3K | 0 | 86,834 | -86,834 | Yes | -$36,499 | 07-31 14:48 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | 2,761 | $45.8K | 0 | 232,272 | -232,272 | No | +$45,802 | 07-24 17:13 |
| Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 5,153 | $44.9K | 0 | 4,804,672 | -4,804,672 | No | +$44,929 | 06-26 23:50 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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