Realized P&L
+$95.0K
Unrealized P&L
-$63.1K
Hit rate
73.7%
Resolved
1,188
Trades
530,554
lifetime
Volume
$9.22M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$350.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-19
last 10-30 04:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 106 days
Categories
Sports
76% 97% +$83,746
Other
18% 92% +$61,639
Politics
4% 92% +$2,044
Tech
2% 54% -$52,478
Crypto
0% 100% +$3
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 483 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -105,232 -$84,385 97¢ $-102233 -$17,848 08-02 14:52
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -86,140 -$33,395 39¢ $-33939 -$544 07-14 17:05
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -53,464 -$4,980 41¢ $-21867 -$16,886 07-09 09:47
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -86,140 -$19,669 18¢ $-15893 +$3,776 07-13 18:25
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes -16,193 -$13,284 91¢ $-14736 -$1,453 08-02 19:48
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -26,306 -$15,700 52¢ $-13679 +$2,021 07-31 15:35
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -12,759 -$9,892 97¢ $-12402 -$2,510 07-12 15:12
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -26,306 -$5,673 45¢ $-11785 -$6,112 08-01 00:03
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -53,464 -$11,196 16¢ $-8822 +$2,375 07-09 14:48
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -53,464 -$893 16¢ $-8688 -$7,795 07-09 09:43
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes -15,732 -$13,655 50¢ $-7945 +$5,710 08-02 15:24
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes -36,821 -$6,291 22¢ $-7917 -$1,625 07-24 16:06
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes -7,638 -$4,350 100¢ $-7611 -$3,261 06-26 11:52
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes -15,733 -$1,921 48¢ $-7489 -$5,567 07-31 19:35
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -36,028 -$7,094 20¢ $-7025 +$68 06-29 21:47
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes -36,821 -$8,144 18¢ $-6444 +$1,700 07-24 16:06
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -53,464 -$5,527 11¢ $-5614 -$87 07-10 00:19
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes -8,232 -$2,976 66¢ $-5433 -$2,457 08-02 17:58
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -31,713 -$6,295 17¢ $-5312 +$983 07-14 09:35
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -31,713 -$4,334 16¢ $-5233 -$899 07-22 06:15
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -31,713 -$3,363 16¢ $-4963 -$1,600 07-16 20:42
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes -8,000 -$802 58¢ $-4680 -$3,878 08-03 14:07
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -36,028 -$5,520 13¢ $-4558 +$962 06-28 22:08
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -36,028 -$1,924 12¢ $-4485 -$2,562 06-29 21:49
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes -6,126 -$2,728 70¢ $-4258 -$1,530 07-30 10:28
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes -5,581 -$2,902 72¢ $-3990 -$1,088 07-31 17:26
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes -36,821 -$2,865 10¢ $-3516 -$651 07-24 16:12
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -36,028 -$1,868 9¢ $-3405 -$1,537 06-29 20:45
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -36,028 -$5,097 9¢ $-3188 +$1,908 06-26 16:40
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes -36,821 -$448 8¢ $-3111 -$2,664 07-24 16:06