Cloudy-Horst — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30.9K

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

62.3%

Resolved

210

Trades

1,263

lifetime

Volume

$200.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$158

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-25

last 08-10 02:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 79 days

Categories

Other

94% 41% -$27,872

Sports

4% 28% +$0

Politics

1% 2% -$2,921

Crypto

0% 36% -$152

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-10).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes		+10	$3	1¢	$0	-$3	06-15 19:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
dota2 xtreme flc 2026 02 27	50	$23.8K	24,027	24,027	+0	Team Falcons	-$5,607	02-27 17:47
netanyahu out by march 31 854	242	$19.0K	2,471,900	0	+2,471,900	No	-$19,037	03-30 03:44
cs2 mzp leo2 2026 03 03	15	$8.4K	4,460	4,460	+0	Metizport	+$482	03-03 17:28
cs2 sfe tl1 2026 03 03	11	$7.3K	3,900	3,900	+0	Liquid	+$478	03-03 16:34
cs2 nip m80 2026 03 02	28	$6.6K	3,725	3,725	+0	M80	+$891	03-02 20:42
atp pellegr darderi 2026 02 27	5	$6.3K	6,605	6,605	+0	Luciano Darderi	+$33	02-27 23:53
epl wol ast 2026 02 27 wol	2	$6.3K	3,335	3,335	+0	Yes	+$332	02-27 23:23
cbb norfst coppst 2026 02 28	8	$6.1K	3,200	3,200	+0	Norfolk State Spartans	+$302	03-01 00:17
dota2 tundra liquid 2026 02 27	4	$5.7K	3,496	3,496	+0	Team Liquid	+$1,245	02-27 15:14
cwbb incar utrgv 2026 03 02	9	$5.7K	3,000	3,000	+0	Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros	+$297	03-02 23:57
cbb alast alaam 2026 02 28	17	$5.7K	5,800	5,800	+0	Alabama State Hornets	-$2,343	03-01 01:05
atp piraino xilas 2026 03 03	5	$5.5K	3,000	3,000	+0	Ioannis Xilas	+$447	03-03 14:42
val tl1 gm 2026 03 02	2	$5.5K	2,922	2,922	+0	Gentle Mates	+$318	03-02 23:20
cbb rich loych 2026 02 28	13	$5.3K	2,800	2,800	+0	Loyola Chicago Ramblers	+$249	02-28 23:29
cs2 nip nrg 2026 03 03	4	$5.3K	2,000	7,000	-5,000	NIP	-$2,863	03-03 23:54
cbb quin niagra 2026 02 27	20	$5.2K	4,780	4,780	+0	Niagara Purple Eagles	-$2,167	02-28 01:40
cs2 leo2 ww 2026 02 27	4	$5.1K	3,000	3,000	+0	WW Team	+$897	02-27 15:19
nba min den 2026 03 01	16	$5.0K	3,000	3,000	+0	Timberwolves	+$464	03-01 23:16
cbb utah arzst 2026 02 28	16	$4.8K	2,600	2,600	+0	Arizona State Sun Devils	+$361	02-28 22:30
epl new eve 2026 02 28 eve	7	$3.7K	2,181	2,181	+0	Yes	+$623	02-28 17:44
cs2 prv mnte 2026 03 04	9	$3.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	Monte	+$298	03-04 16:50
lol wb tes 2026 03 02	6	$3.4K	2,000	2,000	+0	Weibo Gaming	+$598	03-02 13:37
lol g2 kc 2026 03 01	10	$3.4K	2,000	2,000	+0	G2 Esports	+$608	03-01 21:09
cbb george xav 2026 02 28	8	$2.9K	2,300	2,299	+1	Xavier Musketeers	+$138	02-28 20:57
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	8	$2.2K	1,111,111	0	+1,111,111	No	-$2,222	04-30 19:52
cs2 g2 nip 2026 03 05	11	$2.1K	1,176	1,176	+0	G2	+$220	03-05 17:41
bun wer hei 2026 02 28 wer	2	$2.0K	1,031	1,031	+0	Yes	+$30	02-28 16:36
cdr rso ath 2026 03 04 rso	24	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$149	03-04 22:16
cs2 imp11 metano 2026 03 04	7	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	Imperial	+$149	03-04 17:47
cs2 prv lgc 2026 03 03	7	$1.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	Legacy	-$1,211	03-03 15:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 02:50:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7?	No	BUY	1,624	0¢	$2	0xeca691…
08-10 02:45:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7?	No	BUY	6,000	0¢	$6	0x58fad7…
08-10 02:38:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7?	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x2d83bd…
08-10 02:35:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xf50e42…
08-10 02:35:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x1aefd2…
08-10 02:31:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xd7512a…
08-10 02:31:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7?	No	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x47e98f…
08-10 02:30:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xf0bc8d…
08-10 02:30:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	1,370	0¢	$1	0x9d9a50…
08-10 02:30:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	457	0¢	$0	0x9796ff…
08-10 02:30:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	1,001	0¢	$1	0x33403a…
08-10 02:30:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7?	No	BUY	1,001	0¢	$1	0xf4a791…
08-10 02:28:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x5c4180…
08-10 02:18:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x028637…
08-09 19:32:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	820	0¢	$1	0xd81f93…
08-09 16:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x49b90c…
08-09 15:58:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	1,226	0¢	$1	0x222d9f…
08-09 15:54:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7?	No	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xb144eb…
08-09 15:25:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0x41bbd3…
08-09 15:16:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7?	No	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x370290…
08-09 15:13:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	77	0¢	$0	0xd18444…
08-08 17:38:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	4,913	0¢	$5	0x8f424c…
08-08 16:58:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	87	0¢	$0	0x1d94b1…
08-04 02:04:23	mlb lad chc 2026 08 03	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x099838…
08-02 18:56:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x0da332…
08-02 18:47:47	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	9,000	0¢	$9	0x94c973…
08-02 18:47:03	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x8c7713…
08-02 18:20:39	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	30,000	0¢	$30	0x00c9fd…
08-02 18:02:14	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xc105e8…
08-02 17:48:53	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x6ffcb1…
07-29 16:17:03	wta fernand eala 2026 07 29	Alexandra Eala	BUY	99	60¢	$60	0xa6fc37…
07-29 16:16:56	wta fernand eala 2026 07 29	Alexandra Eala	BUY	1	60¢	$0	0xec1c18…
07-26 16:48:27	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xa16199…
07-21 14:47:49	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?	No	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x636050…
07-21 14:44:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	No	BUY	810	0¢	$1	0x998257…
07-21 14:38:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xe5ad2a…
07-21 13:58:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xd36a6e…
07-21 08:41:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	No	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0xab98b9…
07-21 08:19:15	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?	No	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xcc3d5d…
07-21 07:04:30	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?	No	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0x281390…
07-21 07:03:22	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?	No	BUY	58	0¢	$0	0x595c65…
07-20 22:31:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	No	BUY	4,500	0¢	$4	0x448105…
07-20 22:09:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x95a1ef…
07-20 21:35:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	No	BUY	250	0¢	$0	0x65d172…
07-20 21:33:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x10aeab…
07-20 16:50:42	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xa20ab1…
07-20 16:13:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	No	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x323bd9…
07-20 13:45:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	No	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x906079…
07-20 03:50:45	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	41,533	0¢	$42	0xd4b9a9…
07-20 03:49:30	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26,531	0¢	$27	0x3e992d…
07-20 03:45:10	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20,000	0¢	$20	0xdbff9d…
07-20 03:44:22	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xca6a5a…
07-20 03:44:22	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7bfd1e…
07-20 03:44:19	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	51	0¢	$0	0xc2c4c8…
07-20 03:44:19	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	51	0¢	$0	0x45b2bf…
07-20 03:44:13	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	82	0¢	$0	0x9ba0db…
07-20 03:44:13	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	82	0¢	$0	0x921e5b…
07-20 03:44:07	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0xf7d00e…
07-20 03:44:07	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x28d7ee…
07-20 03:44:01	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	105	0¢	$0	0x7da5fe…
07-20 03:44:01	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	105	0¢	$0	0x44f35d…
07-20 03:43:55	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	316	0¢	$0	0x880a1f…
07-20 03:43:55	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	316	0¢	$0	0x42bddc…
07-20 03:43:51	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	11,879	0¢	$12	0x2b6eb5…
07-20 03:43:33	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xcb49bc…
07-20 02:54:22	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0xa4beaf…
07-20 02:54:21	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc178d2…
07-20 02:54:16	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	98	0¢	$0	0x1a0a4e…
07-20 02:54:10	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	82	0¢	$0	0x3f496c…
07-20 02:54:04	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	246	0¢	$0	0x70c55f…
07-20 02:53:58	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	105	0¢	$0	0xf313bc…
07-20 02:53:52	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	316	0¢	$0	0x6bff08…
07-20 02:52:49	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,700	0¢	$2	0xff3bd7…
07-20 02:13:25	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	661	0¢	$1	0xec3879…
07-20 02:12:37	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5,005	0¢	$5	0x941d86…
07-20 02:12:31	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20,000	0¢	$20	0x9e43d6…
07-20 02:12:00	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9,104	0¢	$9	0x49516a…
07-20 02:07:51	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x4628cd…
07-20 02:05:57	Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3,473	0¢	$3	0x521153…
07-20 02:05:55	Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb944fb…
07-20 02:05:55	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4a8561…
07-20 02:05:55	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	896	0¢	$1	0x2f1c50…
07-20 02:05:54	Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	268	0¢	$0	0xa56db2…
07-20 02:05:51	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	78	0¢	$0	0xade3a7…
07-20 02:05:51	Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	78	0¢	$0	0x4c153a…
07-20 02:05:46	Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	69	0¢	$0	0xda4d5b…
07-20 02:05:45	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	69	0¢	$0	0xecaec3…
07-20 02:05:39	Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	148	0¢	$0	0xd68e03…
07-20 02:05:39	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	148	0¢	$0	0x5d84d4…
07-20 02:05:34	Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	81	0¢	$0	0x3ecb70…
07-20 02:05:33	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	81	0¢	$0	0x624cc4…
07-20 02:05:30	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa9bf50…
07-20 02:05:28	Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xae84b3…
07-20 02:05:27	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	43	0¢	$0	0xfe95e5…
07-20 02:05:27	Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	43	0¢	$0	0xcb87fc…
07-20 02:05:21	Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	171	0¢	$0	0x6e7e36…
07-20 02:05:21	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	171	0¢	$0	0x11f0f1…
07-20 02:05:16	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	94	0¢	$0	0x46ae1c…
07-20 02:05:16	Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	94	0¢	$0	0x154152…
07-20 02:05:09	Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	196	0¢	$0	0x191b44…