Realized P&L
-$4
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
33.3%
Resolved
3
Trades
342
lifetime
Volume
$487
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$42
10 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 07-02 23:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
50% 0% $-2
Other
49% 50% $-2
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -28 $-25 86¢ $-24 +$0 06-21 13:46
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +43 $10 22¢ $10 $-0 07-03 09:35
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +6 $2 38¢ $2 +$0 07-02 23:17
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -2 $-1 66¢ $-1 $-0 06-14 18:36
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +6 $2 24¢ $1 $-1 06-16 12:24
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? Yes +25 $2 $1 $-1 06-15 18:20
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +6 $2 15¢ $1 $-1 06-24 06:24
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30? Yes +13 $2 $0 $-2 06-15 23:28
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -1 $-0 15¢ $-0 +$0 06-16 01:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +1 $2 $0 $-2 06-21 03:42