Respectful-Midcourse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$150

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.2%

Resolved

1,464

Trades

2,382

lifetime

Volume

$22.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 10-28 17:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 162 days

Categories

Other

95% 64% -$244

Politics

4% 64% +$70

Sports

0% 88% +$17

Crypto

0% 50% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	12	$893	2,569	1,233	+1,336	No	-$219	05-14 10:16
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	21	$889	1,792	1,792	+0	No	-$8	05-15 11:53
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	15	$823	2,015	1,891	+124	No	-$23	05-15 07:26
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	8	$631	679	679	+0	No	+$161	05-12 14:34
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	6	$625	576	576	+0	Yes	+$186	05-11 12:11
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	8	$563	853	853	+0	No	+$63	05-14 19:29
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	7	$536	760	760	+0	Yes	+$156	05-11 16:17
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	6	$533	558	308	+250	Yes	-$425	05-06 14:37
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	10	$524	2,522	2,075	+447	No	+$16	05-15 12:08
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$500	503	0	+503	No	+$3	05-04 19:43
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	6	$481	1,066	1,066	+0	No	-$5	05-09 11:09
Will Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?	7	$472	276	307	-31	Yes	+$99	05-08 14:34
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	23	$356	1,124	1,124	+0	No	-$30	05-14 19:39
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	3	$336	501	182	+319	No	-$35	04-28 10:15
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	3	$291	290	132	+159	No	+$1	04-28 20:55
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	10	$289	1,676	1,676	+0	No	-$53	05-13 06:52
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	4	$289	292	337	-45	No	+$85	04-24 12:21
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	3	$288	269	211	+57	No	+$38	05-12 17:26
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	2	$255	263	34	+229	No	+$12	04-26 07:51
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	1	$250	321	0	+321	No	+$71	05-02 21:26
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	3	$240	300	0	+300	Yes	+$60	05-01 21:35
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	13	$235	792	792	+0	No	-$65	05-16 18:10
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	6	$222	401	401	+0	Yes	+$16	05-14 17:39
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	6	$218	494	494	+0	No	-$10	05-08 20:57
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	2	$201	201	237	-36	No	+$3	04-29 22:13
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	1	$200	201	0	+201	No	+$1	04-29 22:09
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	1	$173	0	431	-431	Yes	-$258	04-24 14:06
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	4	$155	226	226	+0	No	+$15	05-09 21:05
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 340 359	1	$145	145	0	+145	No	+$0	04-22 19:09
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	4	$143	317	317	+0	No	+$5	05-14 19:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 17:33:01	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x2305b6…
10-28 15:40:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x4a1273…
10-28 13:36:08	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x095417…
10-28 13:28:17	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x4bfbfa…
10-28 12:35:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xa6410a…
10-28 12:05:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0x932e68…
10-28 11:09:14	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x063460…
10-28 10:59:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xd5e42c…
10-28 10:56:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x4105c8…
10-27 16:04:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7d7de0…
10-27 15:55:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xfb261c…
10-27 14:07:03	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x2b665a…
10-27 14:07:02	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 27?	No	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0xfe13eb…
10-27 14:07:02	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0x25a159…
10-27 14:05:09	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x23d782…
10-27 13:37:17	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xa81cfa…
10-27 13:37:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 27?	No	BUY	3	46¢	$2	0xac4ac3…
10-27 13:28:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xf6a928…
10-27 12:31:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0xa8a7bf…
10-27 11:22:27	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x4dd178…
10-27 11:05:24	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0x750f97…
10-25 14:51:15	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf15b60…
10-25 14:43:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 25?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0x061dc8…
10-25 14:31:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x43b047…
10-25 14:20:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x11e5c3…
10-25 13:22:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 25?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xb646f0…
10-25 12:55:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x3904e3…
10-25 11:29:08	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 25?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$2	0x93dd32…
10-25 11:27:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x15a30a…
10-25 10:41:17	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xb4d82d…
10-25 09:45:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xdfca6b…
10-25 09:42:15	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x2c8c3f…
10-23 16:34:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6b583b…
10-23 15:50:11	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 23?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x1929b1…
10-23 15:36:29	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x035781…
10-23 15:35:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 23?	No	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x01ae67…
10-23 14:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x6c4135…
10-23 13:54:38	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 23?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x758335…
10-23 13:06:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 23?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xea6f16…
10-23 13:05:44	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb3c2f2…
10-23 13:05:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x044b47…
10-23 13:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0x819ae9…
10-23 11:54:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xd2a22e…
10-23 11:54:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x784ae8…
10-23 11:34:26	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xe48ccc…
10-23 11:25:26	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xd47794…
10-23 07:54:18	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0x49af34…
10-22 15:18:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xcb3665…
10-22 14:54:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x4807f6…
10-22 13:48:45	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x4c01c2…
10-22 13:14:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xa2966c…
10-22 12:20:03	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x29d3bc…
10-22 12:07:56	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x18d5ac…
10-22 11:39:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x814c81…
10-22 10:36:27	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$2	0xceeb8c…
10-21 14:44:44	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x2c4e40…
10-21 14:35:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x09eb73…
10-21 12:57:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x2cd9e1…
10-21 12:22:36	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x1b4fb5…
10-21 12:04:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x0c2728…
10-21 12:04:05	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xef8cef…
10-21 10:59:23	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xbc6128…
10-03 13:14:14	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x3a000b…
10-03 13:12:02	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on October 3?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xbcaf13…
10-03 12:08:29	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 3?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x4ab0f6…
10-03 10:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 3?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xc49687…
10-03 10:10:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xc343a4…
10-03 10:10:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 3?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x5dbbf8…
10-02 12:22:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 2?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xd40dda…
10-02 12:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x314b30…
10-02 11:55:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x77fb11…
10-02 11:13:35	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$2	0xda69b4…
10-02 08:57:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0xe09a69…
09-30 14:24:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x60177a…
09-30 14:10:21	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x2d7ef4…
09-27 15:53:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 27?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xfb3410…
09-27 14:38:02	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 27?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xe4a09b…
09-27 14:37:50	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 27?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xc340d7…
09-27 14:04:26	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x0ab82c…
09-27 14:03:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 27?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x2d4041…
09-27 13:39:02	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 27?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x228fe4…
09-27 13:36:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0x98cad4…
09-27 13:35:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x3d60e2…
09-27 12:22:54	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xc0d5db…
09-27 12:04:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$2	0x52c550…
09-15 12:43:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x7a8e93…
09-14 13:43:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf40ac7…
09-14 13:38:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x59eceb…
09-11 15:27:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$2	0xe7aaa3…
09-11 15:25:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 11?	Yes	SELL	3	86¢	$2	0x1ac27e…
09-11 15:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 11?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x40ea42…
09-11 14:50:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 11?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x31cf45…
09-11 14:39:43	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 11?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3f3743…
09-11 14:32:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 11?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x48ca56…
09-11 13:27:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x2b77c9…
09-11 13:26:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 11?	Yes	SELL	2	23¢	$1	0xfa9af1…
09-11 13:07:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 11?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x06a83b…
09-11 12:36:03	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x19b5f5…
09-11 12:36:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 11?	Yes	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0xee147c…
09-11 12:25:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 11?	Yes	SELL	17	5¢	$1	0xf35e65…