Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

81.6%

Resolved

Trades

193

lifetime

Volume

$276

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-23 05:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

52% 50% $-1

Sports

22% 75% +$1

Politics

13% — —

Crypto

12% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes		-1	$-1	73¢	$-1	$-0	05-30 05:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	3	$29	12	23	-11	open	—	05-31 05:05
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$21	13	14	-1	open	—	05-30 05:06
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	06-01 04:49
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 360 379	2	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	03-24 16:40
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	5	$7	5	4	+1	open	—	03-13 07:06
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 520 539	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	01-06 20:31
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$6	5	10	-5	open	—	04-27 05:57
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	5	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-19 19:32
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	5	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	01-31 10:33
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-15 05:57
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$5	9	15	-7	No	+$1	04-27 05:58
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	4	$5	3	9	-6	open	—	04-27 05:58
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 360 379	2	$4	6	6	+0	open	—	03-13 07:04
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$4	6	6	+0	open	—	03-26 06:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	06-08 05:20
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$4	2	3	-2	open	—	03-05 05:49
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	03-31 05:58
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-21 18:36
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	3	$4	6	5	+2	open	—	04-28 05:55
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-27 05:24
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	3	$3	4	4	+0	open	—	06-23 05:58
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	05-16 05:52
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	3	$3	5	3	+3	open	—	04-28 05:54
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	04-11 06:11
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$2	5	5	+0	open	—	04-27 05:58
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	05-15 05:57
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-05 05:50
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-06 04:58
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-14 05:53
Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-15 06:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 05:58:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0xdbfd8e…
06-19 05:36:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xddd4e5…
06-18 05:12:17	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8d78a9…
06-12 05:39:18	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x5110a6…
06-11 04:53:12	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb64307…
06-08 05:20:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x659388…
06-06 04:58:49	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xdaf106…
06-03 06:07:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x3ae674…
06-03 06:06:47	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x7a7269…
06-03 06:03:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7?	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x46f10b…
06-01 04:49:36	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	81¢	$10	0xb7c612…
06-01 04:49:21	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xdb9585…
05-31 05:05:22	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	12	88¢	$11	0x18ea7d…
05-30 05:08:35	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x89616b…
05-30 05:06:35	Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	14	77¢	$11	0x5260e3…
05-28 05:26:45	Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xc56013…
05-28 05:26:09	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	11	80¢	$9	0x9e91c8…
05-27 05:24:17	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0x59d5cb…
05-16 05:52:55	Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x3b4a51…
05-15 06:01:21	Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x529dfc…
05-15 06:00:06	Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x9ebeaa…
05-15 05:57:42	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x13fc5a…
05-15 05:57:11	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x4e1c89…
05-14 05:54:39	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x39d500…
05-14 05:53:10	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xd58101…
05-14 05:52:49	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x944c45…
05-14 05:52:37	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xb58873…
05-06 05:47:50	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x545844…
05-06 05:46:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xee3fba…
04-28 05:56:18	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x3329a7…
04-28 05:55:40	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa9d76b…
04-28 05:55:16	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa9fd9a…
04-28 05:54:54	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4753b5…
04-28 05:53:40	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x50653a…
04-27 05:59:08	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x3bbbb7…
04-27 05:59:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xbda3b6…
04-27 05:58:28	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x4b9772…
04-27 05:58:18	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x0a70c8…
04-27 05:58:08	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	3	49¢	$2	0xe415d0…
04-27 05:57:54	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x3b5af6…
04-27 05:57:40	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$2	0x3e0015…
04-24 05:55:54	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x88795f…
04-24 05:55:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc7e2e8…
04-21 18:37:42	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xe13f5a…
04-21 18:36:56	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xeb9e56…
04-19 19:32:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x61124b…
04-19 19:30:20	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xacb396…
04-19 19:29:36	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xbe7a24…
04-19 19:28:28	btc updown 5m 1776626700	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2b0716…
04-19 19:28:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	Yes	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0x73cc55…
04-19 19:27:46	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 260 279	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xc9400a…
04-18 05:55:32	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x175f89…
04-18 05:55:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc917e7…
04-16 05:51:24	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 260 279	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x30a35a…
04-16 05:50:52	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf8521f…
04-16 05:49:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xbb5b09…
04-16 05:48:06	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 240 259	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x537f6d…
04-15 05:58:30	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 240 259	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x244882…
04-15 05:57:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x7cfcb2…
04-15 05:56:40	btc updown 5m 1776232500	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa781ca…
04-15 05:56:14	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 240 259	Yes	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0xcc255c…
04-11 06:12:23	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 240 259	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x8308a9…
04-11 06:11:17	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xe68e02…
04-08 06:54:05	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xccd60f…
04-08 06:53:03	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x0683e5…
04-08 06:52:43	btc updown 5m 1775631000	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x44e481…
04-05 07:30:35	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xff4240…
04-05 07:29:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1544a6…
04-05 07:28:57	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd6281f…
04-05 07:28:15	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 240 259	Yes	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0xb487e9…
04-03 05:26:01	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 240 259	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x406ce5…
04-03 05:24:37	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0xd0de7b…
04-03 05:24:31	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	Yes	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0x1e4c4e…
03-31 06:02:01	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	Yes	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x746f61…
03-31 05:58:53	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	Yes	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0x24a04f…
03-28 06:13:39	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x844f50…
03-28 06:12:21	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 360 379	Yes	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0x66ba73…
03-26 06:01:21	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 360 379	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb53eeb…
03-26 06:00:15	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x7ab141…
03-26 05:59:55	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0xf106fc…
03-26 05:59:39	Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0xfe0415…
03-24 16:42:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x21739c…
03-24 16:41:43	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x2bacdb…
03-24 16:40:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x8a093e…
03-24 16:40:13	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 360 379	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc69a81…
03-24 06:16:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe9eb3c…
03-24 06:15:45	Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x3ca894…
03-24 06:14:45	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xcd94d1…
03-20 06:21:13	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 360 379	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe3f035…
03-17 05:53:41	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 240 259	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x4cc9dd…
03-15 06:51:33	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xd69544…
03-15 06:51:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x19ae8a…
03-15 06:48:53	f1 chinese grand prix winner russell 2026 03 15	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc388df…
03-15 06:48:13	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x6b5369…
03-13 07:09:13	elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 65 89	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc27cee…
03-13 07:08:11	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 340 359	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xfcd149…
03-13 07:06:43	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xd67e57…
03-13 07:06:05	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x1020ee…
03-13 07:05:13	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x22fb2c…
03-13 07:05:01	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1400plus	Yes	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x5b1726…