Outrageous-Weeder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$110

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-20 10:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

69% 100% +$11

Politics

29% 100% +$8

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	3	$850	472	472	+0	open	—	05-12 08:58
will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	5	$601	609	0	+609	open	—	01-30 12:29
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	3	$453	300	200	+100	No	+$11	04-17 12:49
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$300	306	0	+306	open	—	03-29 08:09
iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	1	$290	296	0	+296	open	—	07-20 10:02
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$199	214	0	+214	open	—	04-17 02:20
will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	1	$199	200	0	+200	open	—	03-04 07:00
will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	1	$199	200	0	+200	open	—	03-04 03:22
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	2	$198	200	0	+200	open	—	06-30 14:11
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	1	$182	189	0	+189	open	—	04-17 14:03
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$178	94	94	+0	open	—	03-21 07:31
Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	3	$148	156	0	+156	No	+$8	03-08 06:20
Will UK strike Iran by April 30?	2	$145	148	0	+148	open	—	04-17 06:43
iran strike on qatar by january 31 2026 222	2	$111	57	57	+0	open	—	01-30 12:20
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	1	$101	102	0	+102	open	—	05-28 13:54
will silver si hit low 50 by end of march	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	03-29 07:42
Military action against Iran ends on April 3, 2026?	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	04-02 08:28
Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	05-28 13:52
will italy send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952744	1	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	07-20 10:00
will silver si hit low 25 by end of march	1	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	03-04 03:27
Iran leadership change by May 31?	1	$98	100	0	+100	open	—	05-25 09:01
highest temperature in taipei on april 22 2026 36corhigher	1	$67	68	0	+68	open	—	04-22 02:55
will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	1	$65	66	0	+66	open	—	01-22 07:34
bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	03-04 06:59
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	1	$46	50	0	+50	open	—	07-20 09:52
will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	1	$45	50	0	+50	open	—	07-20 10:20
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	01-05 08:59
will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	1	$35	36	0	+36	open	—	07-20 10:19
will wti dip to 65 by april 13 2026	1	$30	50	0	+50	open	—	04-12 12:28
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	05-28 13:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 10:20:36	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xcbcc6d…
07-20 10:19:22	will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0xcd12ef…
07-20 10:02:51	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	BUY	296	98¢	$290	0x38f115…
07-20 10:00:18	will italy send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952744	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xc1f2f9…
07-20 09:52:24	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x77d27b…
07-20 09:48:57	will wti reach 115 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0229c6…
07-20 09:44:03	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x27009d…
06-30 14:11:16	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	117	99¢	$115	0x1d0d98…
06-30 09:46:50	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0x19b04f…
05-28 13:56:02	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0xe973dd…
05-28 13:54:43	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0x3416ae…
05-28 13:52:30	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x060f83…
05-25 09:01:22	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xecfa05…
05-12 08:58:19	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	472	87¢	$410	0x185f0c…
05-08 09:28:53	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$185	0x496d6e…
05-08 09:20:48	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	272	94¢	$256	0xc6709f…
04-22 02:55:12	highest temperature in taipei on april 22 2026 36corhigher	No	BUY	68	98¢	$67	0xd509ba…
04-17 14:03:38	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	189	96¢	$182	0x4051ab…
04-17 12:49:02	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	SELL	200	91¢	$182	0xd6bd72…
04-17 06:43:36	Will UK strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	98	98¢	$97	0xa9a249…
04-17 04:52:58	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x605f18…
04-17 02:22:00	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x5761a6…
04-17 02:20:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	107	99¢	$106	0x5fbfd6…
04-12 12:28:37	will wti dip to 65 by april 13 2026	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x74e5ad…
04-12 08:48:49	Will UK strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x9e43fb…
04-02 08:28:33	Military action against Iran ends on April 3, 2026?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xaf032d…
03-29 08:09:18	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	306	98¢	$300	0xe12363…
03-29 07:42:48	will silver si hit low 50 by end of march	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xdfbf6d…
03-21 07:41:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	107	87¢	$93	0x1be9cf…
03-21 07:31:09	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	94	98¢	$93	0xb09f67…
03-09 09:49:31	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	94	91¢	$86	0xc61cc2…
03-08 06:20:33	Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xca1a77…
03-06 06:18:51	Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	No	BUY	33	92¢	$31	0x36b103…
03-04 07:00:29	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x9945ac…
03-04 06:59:55	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9008aa…
03-04 03:27:35	will silver si hit low 25 by end of march	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x6b9ccf…
03-04 03:22:25	will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	No	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0xf71055…
02-23 14:47:20	Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	No	BUY	116	96¢	$111	0x467967…
01-30 12:29:14	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x8126e4…
01-30 12:20:36	iran strike on qatar by january 31 2026 222	No	SELL	57	97¢	$56	0x643ba0…
01-30 10:06:22	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	No	BUY	129	99¢	$127	0x225e31…
01-30 09:40:04	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x90393c…
01-30 08:54:16	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0xc6dacf…
01-30 08:30:10	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	No	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0x191e07…
01-22 07:34:48	will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	No	BUY	66	98¢	$65	0xec2e52…
01-22 07:34:34	iran strike on qatar by january 31 2026 222	No	BUY	57	96¢	$55	0x762758…
01-05 08:59:39	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x578eac…