Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 16?
open
Total volume
$227
Trades
29
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$682
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-16 11:20
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $0 | $6 | $5 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 13 | $155 | $50 | +$106 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $11 | $6 | +$6 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $145 | $39 | +$106 |
| Median | 2 | — | $5 | $5 |
| Below median | 3 | $4 | $6 | $2 |
| unranked | 4 | $5 | — | +$5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | +238 | $145 | $145 | 14 | 05-16 01:14 |
| United-Diaphragm 0xbe66…e61a | Yes | +121 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 11:20 |
| Thunderous-Rubric 0x97ab…a19f | No | +40 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 05-16 01:20 |
| Jolly-Particle 0x65f9…4425 | Yes | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-16 01:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xaccb…0ad0 | Yes | +11 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 18:29 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-15 21:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a33…308b | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-15 23:38 |
| Dizzy-Effector 0x670f…d2f0 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 00:24 |
| Direct-Programme 0x13e0…7465 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 19:28 |
| Sentimental-Luck 0x7a41…2562 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 04:00 |
| Sarcastic-Applause 0x378a…a773 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 11:55 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-15 11:20 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 11:20:34 | United-Diaphragm 0xbe66…e61a | Yes | BUY | 121 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x94094f… |
| 05-16 04:00:49 | Sentimental-Luck 0x7a41…2562 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xecbdac… |
| 05-16 03:36:02 | Oblong-Motorboat 0x3504…8620 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x0ce932… |
| 05-16 02:26:04 | Understated-Government-Nose 0x5b3a…9096 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc9d811… |
| 05-16 01:28:52 | Curly-Tell 0x44f9…c357 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x318524… |
| 05-16 01:20:51 | Thunderous-Rubric 0x97ab…a19f | No | BUY | 40 | 97¢ | $39 | 0x481126… |
| 05-16 01:14:08 | This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 77¢ | $15 | 0xf40749… |
| 05-16 01:14:06 | This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 77¢ | $15 | 0xcc60aa… |
| 05-16 01:14:03 | This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0x3d20f2… |
| 05-16 01:13:52 | This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 67¢ | $13 | 0x8b07f8… |
| 05-16 01:13:51 | This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 67¢ | $13 | 0xf1ef60… |
| 05-16 01:13:49 | Jolly-Particle 0x65f9…4425 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0xaa9f60… |
| 05-16 01:13:45 | This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 49¢ | $10 | 0xa51752… |
| 05-16 01:01:04 | This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 68¢ | $14 | 0x88a950… |
| 05-16 01:00:54 | This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 68¢ | $14 | 0xc2fb6b… |
| 05-16 01:00:45 | This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 68¢ | $14 | 0xdae23a… |
| 05-16 00:58:55 | This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 68¢ | $14 | 0x8dd5c1… |
| 05-16 00:24:23 | Dizzy-Effector 0x670f…d2f0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xe7cd15… |
| 05-16 00:09:02 | This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x52b123… |
| 05-16 00:08:59 | This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x0cbd7c… |
| 05-16 00:08:55 | This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 49¢ | $4 | 0xaad703… |
| 05-16 00:05:58 | This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x70a881… |
| 05-15 23:38:19 | (anonymous) 0x5a33…308b | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x1dc323… |
| 05-15 21:50:49 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x8a3267… |
| 05-15 19:40:05 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xac9c1c… |
| 05-15 19:28:25 | Direct-Programme 0x13e0…7465 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x239385… |
| 05-15 11:55:38 | Sarcastic-Applause 0x378a…a773 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x7da7b0… |
| 05-15 11:20:19 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 29¢ | $0 | 0x76a7b4… |
| 05-14 18:29:56 | (anonymous) 0xaccb…0ad0 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 36¢ | $4 | 0x385486… |