Understated-Government-Nose — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$32

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.6%

Resolved

469

Trades

932

lifetime

Volume

$3.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 08-26 02:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Other

85% 33% -$106

Politics

9% 22% +$76

Sports

5% 67% -$2

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$220	295	295	+0	No	+$116	05-24 03:04
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?	5	$81	59	59	+0	No	+$3	06-24 03:23
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 29?	7	$77	77	77	+0	Yes	+$42	05-29 05:17
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$70	197	197	+0	No	+$0	06-17 00:10
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$68	200	200	+0	Yes	-$2	06-14 03:15
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14?	5	$61	96	96	+0	Yes	-$36	06-14 06:06
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 18?	4	$60	49	49	+0	Yes	+$38	06-18 09:25
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 22?	3	$55	44	44	+0	Yes	+$32	06-22 13:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 17?	2	$53	42	42	+0	No	+$3	06-17 00:39
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on May 29?	3	$48	43	43	+0	Yes	+$33	05-29 11:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	6	$44	519	519	+0	No	-$12	05-23 05:36
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 19?	2	$43	33	33	+0	Yes	+$23	06-19 14:43
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 20?	4	$40	38	38	+0	Yes	+$20	06-20 02:07
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$40	118	118	+0	Yes	+$0	06-07 17:09
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 9?	2	$36	39	39	+0	No	+$16	06-09 06:04
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	5	$35	72	72	+0	No	+$5	05-29 02:10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 19?	2	$34	28	28	+0	Yes	+$22	06-19 14:43
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 8?	4	$34	73	73	+0	Yes	+$6	06-08 06:18
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 28?	4	$32	56	44	+11	Yes	+$15	05-28 04:58
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24?	4	$31	32	32	+0	No	-$18	06-24 07:03
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	1	$31	52	0	+52	Yes	-$31	06-11 22:10
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on June 3?	2	$31	26	26	+0	Yes	+$21	06-03 14:04
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 15?	2	$30	30	30	+0	Yes	+$14	06-15 04:14
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	2	$30	54	54	+0	open	—	06-02 16:33
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 19?	4	$30	99	99	+0	No	-$10	06-19 05:29
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 21?	6	$29	142	142	+0	No	-$15	06-21 05:08
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	5	$28	39	39	+0	Yes	+$16	08-22 05:02
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 24?	2	$26	16	16	+0	No	+$7	06-24 05:31
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 4?	2	$25	19	19	+0	Yes	+$13	06-04 13:38
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 9?	5	$23	48	48	+0	Yes	-$3	06-09 07:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-26 02:34:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0x1b79ce…
08-25 21:09:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x55848e…
08-25 20:32:25	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 25?	Yes	SELL	16	9¢	$1	0x0bcd89…
08-25 20:32:15	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 25?	Yes	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x11f91f…
08-25 06:45:40	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x2a0823…
08-25 06:44:52	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x128755…
08-25 05:36:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0x06d1e4…
08-25 05:36:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 25?	No	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x071f4b…
08-25 02:45:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	16	10¢	$1	0x8e8f50…
08-25 02:45:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf20996…
08-25 02:45:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 25?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x6b25f4…
08-25 02:44:33	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 24?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x7f7d2f…
08-25 02:44:24	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 24?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe33c90…
08-24 23:20:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0x5d5f45…
08-24 23:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x95194d…
08-24 22:56:54	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 24?	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x411232…
08-24 22:51:01	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 25?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x0df252…
08-24 21:41:16	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 24?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xc74017…
08-24 21:40:19	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 24?	Yes	SELL	16	23¢	$4	0xab91c3…
08-24 21:30:57	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 24?	Yes	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0x92c911…
08-24 21:25:36	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 24?	Yes	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0x1c4b7b…
08-24 21:25:04	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 24?	Yes	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0xcfb024…
08-24 21:22:52	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on August 24?	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0xe3bd77…
08-24 21:21:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 24?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xbf5a8f…
08-24 12:41:57	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xc93995…
08-24 12:41:37	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 24?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x6e010c…
08-24 12:40:01	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xdee3e6…
08-24 12:39:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbdd5f2…
08-24 12:38:24	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 24?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x55f5db…
08-24 12:37:33	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 24?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x445b9d…
08-24 12:36:15	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 24?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x3b1cf3…
08-24 12:34:18	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on August 24?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x589fe4…
08-24 12:31:28	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 24?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xec2d5a…
08-24 12:21:45	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 24?	Yes	SELL	7	54¢	$4	0x1eca71…
08-24 12:21:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 24?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xbd5efc…
08-24 02:52:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0x37f03a…
08-24 02:52:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	8	43¢	$4	0x823a05…
08-24 02:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xcdb9c4…
08-24 01:16:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0xac1816…
08-24 01:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3166a0…
08-24 00:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xa13f69…
08-24 00:01:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	13	31¢	$4	0xcbff6f…
08-24 00:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x4b2142…
08-23 22:25:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	7	37¢	$2	0x2cdb90…
08-23 22:21:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	9	26¢	$2	0xee6522…
08-23 20:46:28	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 23?	Yes	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0xdd2428…
08-23 20:09:36	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 23?	Yes	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x98ccae…
08-23 19:31:16	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x4e4076…
08-23 19:12:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 23?	Yes	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x33853a…
08-23 19:12:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 23?	Yes	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x909cc6…
08-23 18:05:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	13	14¢	$2	0xd9cc6c…
08-23 14:53:21	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 23?	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x33fd9f…
08-23 13:25:12	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	TEAM VISION	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0c5303…
08-23 13:23:45	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	Team Spirit	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0xedbc8a…
08-23 12:57:58	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xb051f9…
08-23 12:43:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x5c1cfd…
08-23 12:43:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xd3b5a9…
08-23 12:41:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x0c302a…
08-23 09:17:43	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 24?	Yes	BUY	7	37¢	$2	0x86e774…
08-23 05:10:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	9	66¢	$6	0xceecf9…
08-23 04:29:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xe47a27…
08-23 04:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0xf99198…
08-23 04:01:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x839837…
08-23 03:59:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe25109…
08-23 03:59:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0xce5b97…
08-23 03:43:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xff4a71…
08-23 03:42:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x6fd4ba…
08-23 03:34:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	12	53¢	$7	0xd5e0a3…
08-23 03:27:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x4c06d1…
08-23 03:25:07	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xd3130d…
08-23 03:19:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	21	7¢	$1	0x1e360a…
08-23 03:17:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0x08a6e6…
08-22 18:46:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 22?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xa0b95d…
08-22 16:31:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xbaea6f…
08-22 15:57:45	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x2e5490…
08-22 13:01:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0xd4b738…
08-22 06:53:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xa1aeab…
08-22 05:02:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x4b0595…
08-22 03:50:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xc65d27…
08-22 03:45:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x7a5491…
08-22 03:25:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 22?	Yes	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0x0c3880…
08-22 01:30:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x7dd638…
08-22 01:29:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x53d46a…
08-21 19:19:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x6b541e…
08-21 17:22:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 22?	Yes	SELL	11	38¢	$4	0x828670…
08-21 17:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	SELL	19	19¢	$4	0x7b05a4…
08-21 03:38:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x71908a…
08-21 03:37:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x85cae8…
08-20 14:43:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 21?	Yes	SELL	9	42¢	$4	0xa2d159…
08-20 06:43:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x820109…
08-19 13:45:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xce384a…
08-19 06:08:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x7532af…
08-19 06:07:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 19?	Yes	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0xfc605b…
08-18 15:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xed219a…
08-18 15:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x9edad5…
08-18 15:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x85c7ef…
06-24 07:03:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x28b9c6…
06-24 05:31:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	21	78¢	$16	0xbf4071…
06-24 05:31:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 24?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xa47251…
06-24 04:57:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 24?	No	BUY	16	59¢	$10	0x5c53b0…