Sentimental-Luck — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.53K

Unrealized P&L

+$19

Hit rate

96.0%

Resolved

6,144

Trades

13,470

lifetime

Volume

$496.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

$410

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 13:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 276 days

Categories

Other

100% 94% +$3,532

Politics

0% 62% +$1

Sports

0% 50% -$2

Crypto

0% 50% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	No		+421	$391	97¢	$410	+$19	07-17 01:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 9?	2	$2.4K	2,414	0	+2,414	No	+$2	06-09 05:39
highest temperature in seoul on february 10 2026 5corhigher	5	$1.8K	931	931	+0	No	+$36	02-10 10:52
highest temperature in chicago on march 11 2026 54forhigher	7	$1.7K	1,050	700	+350	No	+$10	03-11 14:57
Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on June 11?	3	$1.7K	1,715	0	+1,715	Yes	+$2	06-11 07:55
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 5?	1	$1.3K	1,273	0	+1,273	No	+$1	07-04 15:30
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 4?	5	$1.2K	1,248	0	+1,248	No	+$28	08-03 18:11
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 29?	9	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	No	+$8	07-28 18:02
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 7?	1	$1.1K	1,144	0	+1,144	No	+$1	07-06 15:18
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 29?	1	$1.1K	1,142	0	+1,142	No	+$7	05-29 09:47
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on June 4?	2	$1.1K	1,134	0	+1,134	No	+$1	06-04 06:03
Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on June 19?	4	$1.1K	1,088	0	+1,088	No	+$2	06-19 15:07
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 31?	8	$1.1K	1,094	0	+1,094	No	+$14	07-31 01:16
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 2?	2	$1.0K	1,050	0	+1,050	No	+$1	06-01 15:00
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 3?	3	$1.0K	1,042	0	+1,042	No	+$1	06-03 11:23
highest temperature in tokyo on march 20 2026 13c	11	$1.0K	465	565	-100	Yes	+$15	03-20 15:33
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C or below on June 25?	1	$993	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$7	06-25 03:30
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 12?	1	$988	989	0	+989	No	+$1	06-12 09:19
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 2?	3	$987	988	0	+988	No	+$1	06-02 19:01
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 15?	4	$951	952	0	+952	No	+$1	06-14 20:07
highest temperature in wellington on february 12 2026 24corhigher	1	$943	944	0	+944	Yes	+$1	02-12 04:10
highest temperature in ankara on february 11 2026 9corhigher	2	$942	943	0	+943	No	+$1	02-11 15:13
highest temperature in wellington on february 11 2026 23corhigher	1	$940	942	0	+942	No	+$2	02-11 02:14
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 10?	6	$934	936	0	+936	No	+$1	06-09 19:46
highest temperature in ankara on february 10 2026 7corhigher	3	$926	935	0	+935	No	+$10	02-10 11:57
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 6?	4	$920	934	0	+934	Yes	+$14	06-06 00:43
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 5?	2	$915	916	0	+916	No	+$1	06-05 13:31
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 3?	1	$907	908	0	+908	No	+$1	07-02 14:43
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 6?	2	$898	899	0	+899	No	+$1	07-06 02:34
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 3?	2	$893	894	0	+894	No	+$1	06-04 04:19
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 13?	9	$884	886	0	+886	No	+$2	06-12 23:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 14:08:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	No	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0xfa0e91…
10-27 13:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xa0cdea…
10-27 13:01:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x45fc09…
10-27 13:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x67bbd1…
10-27 11:05:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xcb8d86…
10-27 11:05:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 28?	No	BUY	161	99¢	$160	0x949246…
10-27 06:12:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xd9de61…
10-27 03:28:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xff1bbe…
10-27 02:19:18	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x164dfa…
10-27 01:20:09	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xbd8452…
10-27 01:19:12	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 28?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x380738…
10-27 01:18:27	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	156	99¢	$154	0x1a6ef4…
10-26 17:08:08	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xb7a899…
10-26 17:08:00	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0x4879b9…
10-26 17:06:06	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 28?	No	BUY	32	87¢	$28	0x0c76d8…
10-26 17:05:35	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd9269f…
10-26 14:03:17	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0xbdf289…
10-26 12:52:56	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 26?	No	SELL	80	95¢	$76	0x76537b…
10-26 09:31:14	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x92068a…
10-26 09:31:08	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x25c035…
10-26 09:20:29	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 26?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0xf8ae26…
10-26 06:22:26	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 26?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x3b6338…
10-26 06:21:35	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 26?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x59828c…
10-26 05:19:38	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc53341…
10-26 01:50:33	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 26?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xd0bccc…
10-26 01:50:12	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 26?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x350799…
10-25 16:57:39	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 26?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xf2d54c…
10-25 16:57:26	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 26?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xfceb53…
10-25 11:21:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 26?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xec478c…
10-25 07:24:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 26?	No	BUY	89	95¢	$84	0xcbee14…
10-25 07:10:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 26?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x083304…
10-25 03:29:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 26?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x4960a6…
10-24 16:46:09	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2a54f8…
10-24 16:45:57	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe0cc94…
10-24 15:15:20	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 25?	No	BUY	102	95¢	$97	0x9533f9…
10-24 15:14:38	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 25?	No	BUY	147	100¢	$147	0xd6f4be…
10-24 10:20:09	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 24?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xbe5bef…
10-24 10:20:03	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	41	97¢	$39	0x0ffb66…
10-24 10:19:59	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x574f71…
10-24 07:43:27	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 24?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7b1bb7…
10-24 07:39:05	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 24?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xb4023e…
10-24 07:39:02	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 24?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x94f706…
10-24 07:36:39	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3a8d6a…
10-24 07:35:59	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x678bc9…
10-24 07:21:21	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 25?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x493670…
10-24 07:20:50	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7adf67…
10-24 07:20:11	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 24?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x179a38…
10-23 16:06:26	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C or below on October 24?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xed137f…
10-23 07:45:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 23?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa7ecb7…
10-23 07:44:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 23?	No	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0xf53c84…
10-23 06:21:30	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C or below on October 24?	No	BUY	82	99¢	$82	0xfd02e2…
10-23 03:38:26	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x409118…
10-22 17:43:41	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C or below on October 24?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xab29c1…
10-22 17:43:35	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C or below on October 24?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xacce13…
10-22 16:27:50	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C or below on October 24?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc94829…
10-22 16:26:45	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 23?	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x5b7bf5…
10-22 08:05:53	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$19	0x1f501f…
10-22 08:05:17	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	52	93¢	$48	0x7a335b…
10-20 15:09:15	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 21?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x671b64…
10-20 15:09:02	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 21?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xaa9c87…
10-20 15:08:51	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 21?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xaf7b5e…
10-20 15:08:45	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 21?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x797621…
10-20 15:08:39	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 21?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x2ad7f2…
10-20 15:07:47	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc9ee74…
10-20 14:57:57	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 21?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xcd4ef4…
10-20 14:57:15	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 21?	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0xf64440…
10-20 14:30:02	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 21?	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x7f0a9b…
10-20 14:29:47	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 21?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xe1a5ef…
10-20 14:29:39	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 21?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$33	0x581825…
10-20 14:29:26	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 21?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x762560…
10-20 14:29:09	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 20?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x5cad12…
10-20 14:29:03	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	61	99¢	$61	0x3f9220…
10-20 11:19:36	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 21?	No	BUY	88	92¢	$80	0xfb5df1…
10-20 11:19:26	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x3d022b…
10-20 11:19:20	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 20?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x111407…
10-20 06:34:59	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 21?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xb432cf…
10-20 06:34:20	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x8887b8…
10-20 06:34:11	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	163	100¢	$163	0x7f5633…
10-19 17:26:51	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 20?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x82cf3c…
10-19 14:46:08	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 20?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x371af8…
10-19 14:45:03	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 20?	No	BUY	65	97¢	$63	0x277d7d…
10-19 14:20:41	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 20?	No	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0xead614…
10-19 14:19:42	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x25d873…
10-19 05:13:20	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x8ac65e…
10-19 05:11:56	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8c6967…
10-19 05:11:26	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 19?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xce1ea9…
10-19 01:52:48	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 20?	No	BUY	24	93¢	$22	0xc019ca…
10-18 16:23:12	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 19?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xaaf626…
10-18 16:23:06	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 19?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x7a8fee…
10-18 16:22:57	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 19?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x038a0e…
10-18 15:12:02	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 19?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x610700…
10-18 15:11:42	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 19?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x0ba8e8…
10-18 12:49:36	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0x058f74…
10-18 10:22:36	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 19?	No	BUY	145	98¢	$143	0xf72f57…
10-18 04:49:06	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 19?	No	BUY	116	90¢	$104	0xe94ef6…
10-18 04:47:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	98	97¢	$95	0x3dc4e3…
10-17 15:34:57	highest temperature in seoul on october 18 2026 23c	No	BUY	60	91¢	$54	0x30435c…
10-17 15:33:29	lowest temperature in tokyo on october 18 2026 15c	No	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0x39290e…
10-17 15:33:21	lowest temperature in tokyo on october 18 2026 14c	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x7ee173…
10-17 15:33:17	lowest temperature in tokyo on october 18 2026 14c	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x03c5c7…