Sentimental-Luck — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$126

Unrealized P&L

+$19

Hit rate

93.8%

Resolved (90d)

1,649

Trades (90d)

2,770

13,431 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$94.0K

$494.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

$410

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-31 03:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 281 days

Categories

Other

100% 94% +$3,511

Politics

0% 62% +$1

Sports

0% 50% -$2

Crypto

0% 50% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	No		+421	$391	97¢	$410	+$19	07-17 01:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 9?	2	$2.4K	2,414	0	+2,414	No	+$2	06-09 05:39
highest temperature in seoul on february 10 2026 5corhigher	5	$1.8K	931	931	+0	No	+$36	02-10 10:52
highest temperature in chicago on march 11 2026 54forhigher	7	$1.7K	1,050	700	+350	No	+$10	03-11 14:57
Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on June 11?	3	$1.7K	1,715	0	+1,715	Yes	+$2	06-11 07:55
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 5?	1	$1.3K	1,273	0	+1,273	No	+$1	07-04 15:30
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 4?	5	$1.2K	1,248	0	+1,248	No	+$28	08-03 18:11
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 29?	9	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	No	+$8	07-28 18:02
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 7?	1	$1.1K	1,144	0	+1,144	No	+$1	07-06 15:18
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 29?	1	$1.1K	1,142	0	+1,142	No	+$7	05-29 09:47
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on June 4?	2	$1.1K	1,134	0	+1,134	No	+$1	06-04 06:03
Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on June 19?	4	$1.1K	1,088	0	+1,088	No	+$2	06-19 15:07
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 31?	8	$1.1K	1,094	0	+1,094	No	+$14	07-31 01:16
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 2?	2	$1.0K	1,050	0	+1,050	No	+$1	06-01 15:00
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 3?	3	$1.0K	1,042	0	+1,042	No	+$1	06-03 11:23
highest temperature in tokyo on march 20 2026 13c	11	$1.0K	465	565	-100	Yes	+$15	03-20 15:33
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C or below on June 25?	1	$993	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$7	06-25 03:30
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 12?	1	$988	989	0	+989	No	+$1	06-12 09:19
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 2?	3	$987	988	0	+988	No	+$1	06-02 19:01
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 15?	4	$951	952	0	+952	No	+$1	06-14 20:07
highest temperature in wellington on february 12 2026 24corhigher	1	$943	944	0	+944	Yes	+$1	02-12 04:10
highest temperature in ankara on february 11 2026 9corhigher	2	$942	943	0	+943	No	+$1	02-11 15:13
highest temperature in wellington on february 11 2026 23corhigher	1	$940	942	0	+942	No	+$2	02-11 02:14
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 10?	6	$934	936	0	+936	No	+$1	06-09 19:46
highest temperature in ankara on february 10 2026 7corhigher	3	$926	935	0	+935	No	+$10	02-10 11:57
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 6?	4	$920	934	0	+934	Yes	+$14	06-06 00:43
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 5?	2	$915	916	0	+916	No	+$1	06-05 13:31
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 3?	1	$907	908	0	+908	No	+$1	07-02 14:43
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 6?	2	$898	899	0	+899	No	+$1	07-06 02:34
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 3?	2	$893	894	0	+894	No	+$1	06-04 04:19
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 13?	9	$884	886	0	+886	No	+$2	06-12 23:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 03:41:04	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on November 1?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7c6425…
10-31 03:40:58	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on November 1?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x0ed3a7…
10-30 20:08:09	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on October 31?	No	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0x3e0ebb…
10-30 20:06:45	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 31?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xfe3415…
10-30 19:58:33	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 31?	No	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0x91f5d0…
10-30 19:58:24	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 31?	No	BUY	41	89¢	$36	0x5e0230…
10-30 18:24:46	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C on October 31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xafb678…
10-30 16:06:57	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on October 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6c67c1…
10-30 14:57:43	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 31?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0xd176c9…
10-30 13:59:21	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on October 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x070335…
10-30 10:11:13	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x655984…
10-30 09:50:33	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 31?	No	BUY	65	95¢	$62	0xb0dcb7…
10-30 09:19:24	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4068c1…
10-30 08:37:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xdead8c…
10-30 08:08:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 30?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x95eae7…
10-30 08:07:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	48	89¢	$43	0xd4e792…
10-30 07:53:12	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 31?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x9723d1…
10-30 07:53:03	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xde7ac1…
10-30 07:28:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 30?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xafe06c…
10-30 07:27:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 30?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x504250…
10-30 06:41:10	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 31?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xc959fb…
10-30 06:25:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 30?	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x9900e3…
10-30 06:13:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 30?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x4ca356…
10-30 06:12:42	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 10°C on October 31?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xa7ab44…
10-30 06:12:34	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on October 31?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2b11c2…
10-30 06:04:42	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 31?	No	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0xe50463…
10-30 06:04:34	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8b0dbe…
10-30 06:03:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 30?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x8e5831…
10-30 06:03:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd9d789…
10-30 01:34:03	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	80	96¢	$77	0x075ba7…
10-30 01:33:40	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x86d5e5…
10-29 22:22:55	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on October 30?	No	BUY	28	97¢	$28	0xa00da7…
10-29 17:10:56	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on October 30?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x964ca0…
10-29 17:08:26	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on October 30?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x31cd6c…
10-29 16:19:08	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on October 30?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x003f8b…
10-29 16:18:40	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on October 30?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x616bf4…
10-29 14:04:17	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x573080…
10-29 12:51:40	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6aa63b…
10-29 12:51:29	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x269040…
10-29 12:51:23	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x756d95…
10-29 12:45:16	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe6b877…
10-29 12:45:08	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdf3be2…
10-29 12:44:43	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbb47da…
10-29 12:44:37	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8be674…
10-29 12:44:25	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x55967d…
10-29 12:44:19	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x623c54…
10-29 12:44:10	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6bd6fd…
10-29 12:43:55	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xca22e8…
10-29 12:43:49	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4f235a…
10-29 08:18:46	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1b7a9c…
10-29 08:18:19	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 30?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x9c0641…
10-28 19:07:55	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 10°C on October 29?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf6417b…
10-28 19:07:49	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 9°C on October 29?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x10e896…
10-28 19:07:44	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C on October 29?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xf4e986…
10-28 17:22:38	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C on October 29?	No	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0xeb9740…
10-28 17:21:37	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on October 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xe46ceb…
10-28 14:50:25	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on October 29?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x52510f…
10-28 14:38:35	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on October 29?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x6e91db…
10-28 14:37:56	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on October 28?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd7dea4…
10-28 14:34:43	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on October 28?	No	BUY	330	100¢	$330	0x5ac337…
10-28 12:44:59	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C on October 29?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xc9d54d…
10-28 10:17:44	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 28?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0xfe2c6e…
10-28 04:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0x0c9a09…
10-27 17:33:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x930538…
10-27 16:51:42	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 28?	No	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x5e5707…
10-27 16:42:24	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0x499ba5…
10-27 16:40:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x602804…
10-27 14:08:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	No	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0xfa0e91…
10-27 13:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xa0cdea…
10-27 13:01:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x45fc09…
10-27 13:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x67bbd1…
10-27 11:05:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xcb8d86…
10-27 11:05:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 28?	No	BUY	161	99¢	$160	0x949246…
10-27 06:12:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xd9de61…
10-27 03:28:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xff1bbe…
10-27 02:19:18	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x164dfa…
10-27 01:20:09	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xbd8452…
10-27 01:19:12	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 28?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x380738…
10-27 01:18:27	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	156	99¢	$154	0x1a6ef4…
10-26 17:08:08	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xb7a899…
10-26 17:08:00	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0x4879b9…
10-26 17:06:06	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 28?	No	BUY	32	87¢	$28	0x0c76d8…
10-26 17:05:35	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd9269f…
10-26 14:03:17	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0xbdf289…
10-26 12:52:56	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 26?	No	SELL	80	95¢	$76	0x76537b…
10-26 09:31:14	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x92068a…
10-26 09:31:08	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x25c035…
10-26 09:20:29	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 26?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0xf8ae26…
10-26 06:22:26	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 26?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x3b6338…
10-26 06:21:35	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 26?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x59828c…
10-26 05:19:38	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc53341…
10-26 01:50:33	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 26?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xd0bccc…
10-26 01:50:12	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 26?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x350799…
10-25 16:57:39	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 26?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xf2d54c…
10-25 16:57:26	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 26?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xfceb53…
10-25 11:21:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 26?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xec478c…
10-25 07:24:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 26?	No	BUY	89	95¢	$84	0xcbee14…
10-25 07:10:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 26?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x083304…
10-25 03:29:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 26?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x4960a6…
10-24 16:46:09	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2a54f8…