Unkempt-Rag — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$263

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.2%

Resolved

Trades

6,804

lifetime

Volume

$610.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$90

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 14:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

48% 38% $-82

Other

43% 0% $-182

Crypto

6% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 137 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	173	$25.9K	145,779	145,779	+0	open	—	04-07 23:27
spx up or down on february 17 2026	121	$18.3K	28,973	30,177	-1,204	open	—	02-17 21:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	75	$17.7K	22,932	22,932	+0	open	—	04-17 18:56
spx up or down on february 11 2026	100	$15.2K	18,223	17,251	+972	open	—	02-11 21:01
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	48	$11.1K	15,703	15,703	+0	open	—	03-06 21:32
spx up or down on february 13 2026	119	$10.7K	33,650	33,650	+0	open	—	02-13 20:59
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	85	$9.5K	37,406	37,829	-423	open	—	04-21 13:35
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	98	$9.4K	37,720	37,319	+401	No	+$405	05-08 18:11
spx up or down on february 20 2026	90	$9.2K	33,873	26,235	+7,638	open	—	02-20 20:39
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	101	$8.9K	42,433	42,433	+0	open	—	05-28 17:17
spx up or down on february 10 2026	69	$8.8K	8,397	8,397	+0	open	—	02-10 20:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	35	$7.6K	28,862	29,098	-235	open	—	05-23 21:09
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	47	$7.6K	21,952	22,933	-981	open	—	08-02 02:07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	45	$7.2K	16,827	16,827	+0	open	—	04-25 14:49
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	152	$6.9K	74,827	74,841	-14	open	—	02-28 22:22
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	29	$6.7K	10,635	10,635	+0	open	—	04-01 00:04
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	34	$6.6K	6,548	6,602	-53	open	—	01-16 18:22
us x iran nuclear talks resume by march 31	41	$6.5K	14,013	14,013	+0	open	—	02-04 20:05
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	76	$6.4K	43,015	36,713	+6,303	open	—	01-23 23:50
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	66	$6.2K	14,551	14,551	+0	open	—	04-21 11:56
spx up or down on april 6 2026	40	$6.1K	11,982	11,982	+0	open	—	04-06 18:46
spx up or down on march 25 2026	65	$6.1K	25,726	23,233	+2,492	open	—	03-25 18:58
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	37	$6.1K	22,074	22,074	+0	open	—	02-28 07:35
will the price of bitcoin be less than 86000 on january 24	7	$5.9K	15,061	15,061	+0	open	—	01-21 17:53
spx up or down on february 12 2026	48	$5.8K	12,551	9,380	+3,171	open	—	02-12 17:09
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	16	$5.8K	11,088	11,088	+0	open	—	04-01 16:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	9	$5.2K	8,183	8,183	-0	open	—	06-08 14:10
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	33	$5.0K	17,650	14,596	+3,055	open	—	04-27 15:13
will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on february 11	4	$4.9K	8,000	8,000	+0	open	—	02-05 20:58
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	102	$4.7K	24,624	20,600	+4,025	No	$-170	05-03 13:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 14:19:49	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	BUY	3,000	9¢	$270	0x0b00f4…
08-11 13:21:55	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	SELL	14,739	12¢	$1,730	0xc0e304…
08-11 09:16:52	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0x84abc3…
08-11 08:55:51	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	SELL	461	17¢	$78	0x043d7d…
08-11 03:45:16	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	4,000	3¢	$124	0x5e660d…
08-11 03:43:31	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	1,944	3¢	$60	0x574b77…
08-11 02:45:13	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	BUY	10,000	8¢	$800	0x344f7f…
08-11 02:41:28	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	BUY	4,000	12¢	$480	0xe8ff69…
08-11 01:33:16	will anthropic ipo by september 15 2026 415	Yes	BUY	2,966	1¢	$30	0x77f7df…
08-11 01:09:27	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xff82ab…
08-11 01:09:24	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	BUY	500	34¢	$170	0x2bd25e…
08-11 01:09:24	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x176270…
08-11 01:09:13	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x4a5089…
08-11 01:08:21	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	BUY	678	33¢	$224	0x78e804…
08-11 01:08:16	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	SELL	418	31¢	$129	0xc1a22e…
08-11 01:06:16	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x1ea3fa…
08-11 01:02:30	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	BUY	192	24¢	$46	0xe75811…
08-11 01:02:30	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	BUY	211	24¢	$51	0x86f7c7…
08-10 22:55:48	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	19	3¢	$1	0xb6671b…
08-10 22:05:36	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	203	3¢	$6	0x7aeb5e…
08-10 21:16:21	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	138	3¢	$4	0x972ac5…
08-10 20:33:21	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	3,000	7¢	$210	0xb6cc72…
08-10 18:14:03	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0xf2e9fa…
08-10 17:08:54	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x05ebf4…
08-10 16:23:42	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	271	3¢	$8	0xd06670…
08-10 12:43:07	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	24	3¢	$1	0x012793…
08-10 07:36:57	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	93	3¢	$3	0x1ad403…
08-10 07:17:33	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x567572…
08-10 07:05:33	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xca5e8f…
08-10 07:00:22	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3,780	3¢	$129	0xa6917e…
08-10 06:13:31	NATO article 5 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	727	6¢	$42	0x12f9e3…
08-10 02:54:28	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	469	4¢	$20	0xa26221…
08-10 02:34:07	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	521	3¢	$18	0xfb3d03…
08-09 15:37:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	4,936	7¢	$346	0x36fdda…
08-09 14:00:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0xbe4187…
08-09 13:53:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x64417f…
08-09 13:29:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	161	7¢	$11	0x50c359…
08-09 13:04:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	71	7¢	$5	0xd24d70…
08-09 12:43:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x791b56…
08-09 12:39:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	1,256	14¢	$176	0x8d3530…
08-09 12:38:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	4,207	7¢	$294	0xc09c78…
08-09 11:37:22	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,198	11¢	$132	0x3e0077…
08-09 08:49:49	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x2df853…
08-09 08:34:40	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,521	3¢	$52	0x58ecca…
08-09 03:40:33	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	161	11¢	$18	0xfb116f…
08-09 00:28:33	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	35	4¢	$1	0x80e29b…
08-09 00:28:31	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xf8f68d…
08-09 00:28:30	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	1,552	4¢	$65	0xb1d4b4…
08-08 22:54:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	4,000	8¢	$320	0x7c4dee…
08-08 17:11:04	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	6,000	4¢	$258	0xa79314…
08-08 17:10:16	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	2,340	4¢	$98	0xd5eb8f…
08-08 17:07:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	1,629	16¢	$256	0xf5a4c2…
08-08 17:07:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	1,142	22¢	$249	0xd8def4…
08-08 17:07:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0x5c7a2e…
08-08 17:06:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	3,789	10¢	$397	0xdf863a…
08-08 13:53:09	NATO article 5 before 2027?	Yes	BUY	727	3¢	$22	0x2a510a…
08-08 10:51:15	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	723	5¢	$35	0x59c7d2…
08-08 10:50:43	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	23	5¢	$1	0xb60eba…
08-07 22:35:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	6,169	1¢	$43	0xea7cfb…
08-07 22:06:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	4,900	1¢	$44	0xc1847c…
08-07 21:34:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	111	1¢	$1	0x155240…
08-07 21:19:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$9	0xa77ad7…
08-07 20:46:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	111	1¢	$1	0xe5a3ec…
08-07 20:42:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x3e70e2…
08-07 20:33:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	133	1¢	$1	0x5bcdea…
08-07 20:23:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	1,111	1¢	$10	0x6c7ac1…
08-07 20:23:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	7,000	13¢	$910	0x70ce22…
08-07 20:23:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	556	1¢	$5	0x6cc63b…
08-07 20:00:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	2,000	13¢	$260	0xa83707…
08-07 20:00:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	510	13¢	$66	0x0b5151…
08-07 19:58:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	57	13¢	$7	0xe62988…
08-07 19:56:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x7cc6c7…
08-07 19:49:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x12fd74…
08-07 19:48:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x4cc386…
08-07 19:36:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	2,000	13¢	$260	0xff01c8…
08-07 19:24:21	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2,346	13¢	$305	0x367bb1…
08-07 19:24:21	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	746	5¢	$35	0x1d6b4a…
08-07 19:19:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	441	13¢	$57	0xfda946…
08-07 19:19:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	3,000	1¢	$27	0xa8705e…
08-07 19:12:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x57bd14…
08-07 19:11:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xa33541…
08-07 19:10:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x319bed…
08-07 19:10:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x48a947…
08-07 19:08:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x4a8c56…
08-07 19:07:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1babf8…
08-07 19:05:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x6be42b…
08-07 19:05:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0x9b7eb0…
08-07 19:04:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	10,957	1¢	$99	0x348ff3…
08-06 20:24:24	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	SELL	3,000	6¢	$180	0xdfd944…
08-06 20:19:33	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x92a885…
08-06 19:20:44	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	413	6¢	$25	0xf9cc68…
08-06 17:05:21	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	2,154	3¢	$67	0x5ef139…
08-06 17:02:39	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	500	3¢	$16	0x4308ef…
08-06 16:21:00	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	130	3¢	$4	0xd041a1…
08-06 16:14:44	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	3,216	3¢	$100	0x7f639e…
08-06 12:36:18	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	SELL	994	2¢	$20	0x9c4e9f…
08-06 12:18:08	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xe50161…
08-06 11:44:38	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	2,000	3¢	$60	0xe2f083…
08-06 11:31:26	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	SELL	56	2¢	$1	0x46f537…
08-06 09:37:14	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x2e6ec0…