Realized P&L
-$263
Unrealized P&L
+$380
Hit rate
57.2%
Resolved
10
Trades
6,476
lifetime
Volume
$582.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$90
Open exposure
$1.06K
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 13:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
48% 38% $-82
Other
43% 0% $-182
Crypto
7%
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 137 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes -2,549 $-1,191 26¢ $-675 +$515 07-21 01:29
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,620 $285 11¢ $178 $-107 07-19 06:44
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? Yes +1,161 $141 $105 $-36 07-04 22:16
NATO article 5 before 2027? Yes -1,009 $-171 $-76 +$96 05-29 01:39
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No +264 $104 $18 $-86 07-21 13:44
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? Yes -47 $-2 $-4 $-2 06-01 18:37