Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

-$44

Hit rate

59.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$61

Open exposure

$518

5 positions

First seen

2026-07-18

last 10-28 14:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

88% 75% -$13

Other

12% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	+236	$207	92¢	$218	+$11	10-28 14:08
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+448	$215	36¢	$159	-$56	10-28 14:08
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+129	$124	94¢	$122	-$2	08-02 10:46
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	No	+18	$16	98¢	$18	+$2	08-03 09:25
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+0	$0	63¢	$0	+$1	08-29 20:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	5	$632	472	236	+236	open	—	10-28 14:08
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$215	448	0	+448	open	—	10-28 14:08
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$200	197	197	+0	open	—	08-29 20:54
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	3	$197	224	224	+0	open	—	08-03 16:07
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	7	$190	342	342	+0	Yes	-$46	08-17 11:09
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	2	$133	77	77	+0	Yes	+$18	08-02 08:33
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$124	129	0	+129	open	—	08-02 10:46
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$113	96	96	+0	Yes	+$14	08-03 15:27
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	3	$102	59	59	+0	open	—	07-31 21:08
will benjamin netanyahu be arrested by december 31 20260720194516249 193	1	$51	53	0	+53	open	—	08-03 09:24
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	3	$32	19	19	+0	No	+$1	08-03 09:19
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	09-26 13:22
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	1	$16	18	0	+18	open	—	08-03 09:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 14:08:19	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	438	48¢	$210	0xd9300d…
10-28 14:08:02	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	236	90¢	$212	0xdb7da9…
10-28 14:05:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	9	48¢	$5	0xc5f53c…
09-26 13:22:06	Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x730f1b…
09-20 03:27:48	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	86	87¢	$75	0x3bc6d4…
08-29 20:54:07	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	197	51¢	$100	0x46b824…
08-17 11:09:54	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	113	89¢	$101	0x4e3a50…
08-17 11:09:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	242	4¢	$10	0x53e0e5…
08-04 10:44:53	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	242	33¢	$80	0xf43929…
08-03 16:07:02	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	224	49¢	$110	0xf0fec8…
08-03 15:27:26	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	96	66¢	$63	0x8df777…
08-03 09:25:47	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	No	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0xcd4ac3…
08-03 09:24:26	will benjamin netanyahu be arrested by december 31 20260720194516249 193	No	BUY	53	95¢	$51	0xe03e73…
08-03 09:22:36	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	162	42¢	$68	0xbb8fd6…
08-03 09:19:02	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14	89¢	$12	0x2e8a76…
08-02 10:46:08	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	129	96¢	$124	0xae3b49…
08-02 08:33:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	77	99¢	$76	0xed9295…
08-01 17:54:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	77	75¢	$58	0x24369c…
08-01 17:27:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	53	62¢	$33	0xfa7d10…
08-01 17:13:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	22	62¢	$14	0xf5ce7b…
08-01 14:51:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	16	62¢	$10	0x97d71d…
08-01 14:46:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	9	62¢	$6	0xba662e…
08-01 11:23:14	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0xcf00e8…
08-01 11:20:44	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	161	89¢	$143	0xfaccc8…
07-31 21:08:29	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	SELL	53	89¢	$47	0x877dee…
07-28 11:31:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0xa7adeb…
07-28 00:08:27	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x1a9ffc…
07-24 09:54:03	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x04180f…
07-18 15:44:10	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	19	82¢	$16	0xbf54d9…
07-18 15:36:33	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xce6e9e…
07-18 15:23:25	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	197	51¢	$100	0x7e303e…
07-18 15:21:37	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x6fbb97…
07-18 15:18:28	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x8c4235…