Realized P&L
-$418
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
64.6%
Resolved
1,157
Trades
1,854
lifetime
Volume
$11.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$37
16 positions
First seen
2026-05-30
last 09-22 19:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 83 days
Categories
Other
86% 55% -$522
Sports
11% 61% +$153
Politics
2% 36% -$40
Tech
1% 50% $0
Crypto
1% 25% -$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +34 $8 22¢ $7 -$1 06-20 05:35
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +66 $8 6¢ $4 -$4 06-20 05:35
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +105 $2 4¢ $4 +$2 07-15 16:20
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +25 $2 13¢ $3 +$1 07-15 15:39
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +91 $2 3¢ $3 +$1 07-15 15:39
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +167 $2 2¢ $3 +$1 07-15 16:20
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +89 $2 3¢ $2 +$0 07-15 15:39
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +38 $2 5¢ $2 $0 07-15 15:39
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +29 $2 6¢ $2 $0 07-15 15:39
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +105 $2 2¢ $2 $0 07-15 16:03
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +100 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 07-15 15:39
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +182 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 07-15 16:03
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +62 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 07-15 15:39
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +16 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 07-15 16:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 07-17 13:10
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes +0 $0 38¢ $0 $0 07-17 13:11