Realized P&L
+$216
Unrealized P&L
+$173
Hit rate
81.1%
Resolved
42
Trades
193
lifetime
Volume
$4.44K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$891
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 10-09 08:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 26 days
Categories
Other
66% 44% +$56
Politics
25% 60% +$125
Tech
8% 100% +$37
Sports
1% 40% -$1
Crypto
0% 50% -$5
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +495 $344 97¢ $479 +$135 05-31 07:56
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No +148 $130 99¢ $146 +$16 07-02 21:06
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +51 $36 68¢ $35 -$1 06-20 12:44
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +34 $28 90¢ $30 +$3 05-18 20:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +34 $25 84¢ $29 +$4 05-18 21:07
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +31 $14 82¢ $26 +$12 06-03 10:08
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +20 $18 96¢ $19 +$1 10-09 05:33
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +20 $16 94¢ $19 +$3 07-02 08:46
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +19 $15 91¢ $18 +$3 06-28 20:12
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +20 $14 80¢ $16 +$2 10-09 05:50
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +15 $10 76¢ $12 +$2 06-27 12:31
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +39 $22 29¢ $11 -$11 07-02 08:46
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $6 70¢ $7 +$1 10-09 06:17
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +15 $4 42¢ $6 +$2 06-16 12:07
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +7 $5 80¢ $6 +$0 05-13 17:22
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +5 $4 97¢ $5 +$0 05-18 20:37
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +4 $3 99¢ $4 +$1 05-13 18:33
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +10 $5 44¢ $4 -$1 10-09 06:08
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +9 $6 44¢ $4 -$1 10-09 06:01
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +4 $2 97¢ $4 +$2 06-27 10:54
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +3 $1 99¢ $3 +$1 05-17 21:58
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +4 $2 72¢ $3 +$0 10-09 05:26
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +4 $3 68¢ $3 $0 10-09 05:35
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +24 $2 10¢ $2 $0 10-09 07:04