(anonymous) 0x63dc07…3a6839 Create alert
15L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$126
Unrealized P&L
-$32
Hit rate
0.8%
Resolved
20
Trades
55
lifetime
Volume
$291
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$28
14 positions
First seen
2026-07-16
last 10-16 10:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
46% 0% -$7
Other
44% 0% -$92
Sports
5% 0% -$14
Crypto
5% 33% -$13
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China coup attempt before 2027? Yes +231 $10 2¢ $4 -$6 07-26 22:02
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +202 $10 2¢ $4 -$6 07-26 22:01
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +92 $9 4¢ $4 -$5 07-26 21:56
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Yes +215 $10 2¢ $4 -$6 07-26 21:59
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +12 $5 22¢ $3 -$2 07-26 22:04
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +9 $5 28¢ $2 -$3 07-21 08:51
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +20 $2 10¢ $2 $0 07-19 16:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 +$0 07-23 07:36
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +48 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 07-21 16:04
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +3 $1 32¢ $1 $0 07-21 10:02
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +43 $1 2¢ $1 $0 07-29 14:31
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? Yes +17 $1 3¢ $1 $0 07-19 16:40
New pandemic in 2026? Yes +20 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 07-29 14:26
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 07-26 22:05