(anonymous) 0xe8dc20…cc3e53
hot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.69K
Unrealized P&L
-$825
Hit rate
83.3%
Resolved
29
Trades
1,136
lifetime
Volume
$71.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$63
Open exposure
$18.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-01
last 10-27 02:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
62% 89% +$2,287
Other
30% 22% -$605
Tech
4% — —
Crypto
4% 100% +$12
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 498 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,819 $2,008 74¢ $2.1K +$64 10-25 18:02
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? No +1,517 $1,441 96¢ $1.4K +$8 10-24 16:13
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,210 $1,113 92¢ $1.1K -$6 10-24 11:37
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,145 $1,061 91¢ $1.0K -$18 10-25 17:14
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +1,448 $861 62¢ $891 +$30 10-26 21:22
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +3,001 $900 26¢ $795 -$105 10-27 02:58
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No +806 $764 95¢ $764 $0 10-25 14:23
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +799 $751 94¢ $751 +$0 10-24 12:31
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +2,581 $800 26¢ $684 -$116 10-26 22:49
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +704 $582 94¢ $658 +$77 10-23 14:12
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,298 $1,359 15¢ $623 -$736 10-24 13:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +667 $620 92¢ $617 -$3 10-24 11:38
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +607 $577 94¢ $574 -$3 10-24 12:30
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +669 $552 82¢ $552 $0 10-24 07:37
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +904 $447 57¢ $518 +$70 10-24 15:22
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +556 $512 92¢ $514 +$3 10-23 18:27
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +7,790 $462 6¢ $506 +$44 10-26 14:58
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +588 $442 76¢ $450 +$8 10-24 11:37
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +502 $402 82¢ $412 +$10 10-23 23:45
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +1,486 $371 26¢ $394 +$22 10-23 11:55
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +633 $501 61¢ $386 -$116 10-24 09:03
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +402 $338 80¢ $323 -$14 10-26 12:54
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +433 $364 70¢ $301 -$63 10-25 12:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +336 $299 88¢ $297 -$2 10-24 11:37
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +299 $278 96¢ $289 +$11 10-25 14:01
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +480 $327 55¢ $264 -$63 10-24 17:13
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +898 $181 29¢ $260 +$79 10-24 21:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +294 $265 88¢ $260 -$4 10-24 12:59
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +251 $240 96¢ $242 +$2 10-24 11:37
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +320 $237 74¢ $235 -$2 10-23 18:08